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Alba Berlin vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-78
28-13 16-27 25-15 18-23
Position#14
Record13-19
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game79.2
Alba Berlin 🏆
vs
Panathinaikos
Position#16
Record9-21
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game80.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 19
European cup2021
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos
03 Oct 2024
ABE77
PAO87
10 Nov 2023
ABE85
PAO99
19 Oct 2022
ABE94
PAO65
06 Apr 2022
ABE87
PAO78
26 Feb 2021
ABE74
PAO65
06 Feb 2015
ABE59
PAO65
16 Jan 2013
ABE73
PAO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#5
W
90-75
90
75
+15
95avg 77
H10/03
Euroleague
Giessen
#18
W
84-58
84
58
+26
89avg 77
A13/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
95-80
95
80
+15
93avg 77
H16/03
BBL
Baskonia
#15
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 77
A18/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
79-95
79
95
-16
69avg 77
H22/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
74-70
74
70
+4
no box
H25/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#6
L
64-81
64
81
-17
58avg 77
A27/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#13
W
66-57
66
57
+9
62avg 77
A29/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
77-87
77
87
-10
70avg 77
A01/04
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#16
W
87-53
87
53
+34
90avg 77
H04/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
21-13
20-21
33-24
23-14
22-12
22-18
17-14
21-22
21-15
30-18
23-25
19-21
12-23
29-20
8-21
13-21
26-26
19-26
21-22
24-15
13-20
21-22
16-13
22-17
11-21
18-21
13-22
16-19
21-8
11-11
18-19
24-16
15-20
18-26
20-25
18-15
20-20
14-14
35-4
152.5Avg total
78.4Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)75.579.2154.7-3.741%
Season at home (16)79.378.4157.8+0.956%
Season away (16)71.779.9151.6-8.225%
Last 10 (10)78.474.1152.5+4.360%
Last 5 (5)73.669.6143.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.780.6160.2-0.944%
vs Similar ◀ (7)72.373.6145.9-1.357%
vs Weaker (14)87.471.6159.0+15.986%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
70avg 77
H04/03
Euroleague
Ionikos
#13
W
68-61
68
61
+7
66avg 77
A07/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
75-57
75
57
+18
70avg 77
H13/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#5
L
73-101
73
101
-28
58avg 77
A17/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
88-64
88
64
+24
no box
A20/03
Basket League
Bayern
#11
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 77
H22/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
77avg 77
H26/03
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
83-95
83
95
-12
80avg 77
H29/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 77
H31/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
83-69
83
69
+14
no box
A03/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
17-26
15-23
24-13
15-15
20-23
20-16
13-7
20-13
20-10
18-20
17-14
13-38
20-20
18-20
22-23
18-17
15-23
34-11
21-13
26-16
16-19
13-17
25-15
22-16
22-15
19-17
14-19
26-23
20-32
12-15
25-25
22-11
19-21
18-22
28-32
20-17
25-14
17-17
21-21
153.2Avg total
78.9Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.780.7155.5-6.030%
Season at home (17)79.279.9159.1-0.847%
Season away (13)68.981.8150.7-12.88%
Last 10 (10)78.974.3153.2+4.670%
Last 5 (5)82.076.8158.8+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.685.2159.8-10.515%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.072.4151.4+6.680%
vs Weaker (11)83.766.2149.9+17.5100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.8+2.8
Alba BerlinPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#5
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H10/03
Euroleague
Giessen
#18
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A13/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H16/03
BBL
Baskonia
#15
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A18/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H22/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H25/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#6
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A27/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#13
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A29/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A01/04
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#16
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H04/04
BBL
73.3Avg total
37.8Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.677.5+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.336.176.4+4.171%-
Last 30 away (16)39.638.878.4+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)37.835.573.3+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.271.0+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.637.775.2-0.156%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.435.672.0+0.957%-
vs Weaker (14)43.138.581.6+4.664%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H04/03
Euroleague
Ionikos
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H13/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#5
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A17/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A20/03
Basket League
Bayern
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H22/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H26/03
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H29/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H31/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A03/04
Basket League
77.8Avg total
39.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.179.2+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.839.281.0+2.658%-
Last 30 away (11)37.338.976.2-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.377.8+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.880.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.143.982.0-5.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.637.678.2+3.060%-
vs Weaker (11)41.234.275.4+7.055%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.9
54.0%
52.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.9
37.8%
35.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws13.210.3
78.0%
77.2%10.3
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.5
55.1%
52.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.7
34.5%
35.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.213.2
76.7%
77.2%13.2
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLWLWLLWWW
Panathinaikos
WWLWWWLWWL
#14
League position
#16
+6.6
Net rating
+7.4
110.0
Offensive rating
111.9
103.3
Defensive rating
104.5
55.1%
Effective FG%
53.7%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
20.1%
Turnover %
15.8%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.8%
3-point %
34.5%
66.7%
Assist %
61.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 111.9Defence103.3 · 104.5Shooting55.1% · 53.7%3-point %37.8% · 34.5%Ball care20.1% · 15.8%Off. rebounds32.1% · 28.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alba Berlin wins
5
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
10/12/21Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin82-67
26/02/21Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos74-65
17/12/20Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin92-69
02/04/15Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin66-68
06/02/15Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos59-65
15/03/13Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin82-58
16/01/13Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos73-79
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/22HBayreuth87-53
01/04/22AAnadolu Efes77-87
29/03/22AFenerbahce66-57
27/03/22AChemnitz64-81
25/03/22HCrvena zvezda74-70
22/03/22HBarcelona79-95
18/03/22ABaskonia68-85
16/03/22HBasketball Braunschweig95-80
13/03/22AGiessen84-58
10/03/22HOlympiacos90-75
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/22AAEK Athens83-69
31/03/22HReal Madrid87-86
29/03/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv83-95
26/03/22HPAOK77-67
22/03/22HBayern80-67
20/03/22AKolossos Rhodes88-64
17/03/22AOlympiacos73-101
13/03/22HPeristeri75-57
07/03/22AIonikos68-61
04/03/22HOlimpia Milano75-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL41%
HomeWWWLW56%
AwayLWLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %41%56%25%
Points / game75.579.371.7
Allowed / game79.278.479.9
Point differential-3.7+0.9-8.2
Avg total154.7157.8151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%19%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeLLWLW47%
AwayLLLWL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %30%47%8%
Points / game74.779.268.9
Allowed / game80.779.981.8
Point differential-6.0-0.8-12.8
Avg total155.5159.1150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%24%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)40% (5)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3124777%83.075.4+7.6
2 Real Madrid32221069%78.273.0+5.2
3 Olympiacos31201165%80.474.9+5.5
4 Olimpia Milano31201165%73.871.8+2.0
5 Zenit Petersburg2314961%74.073.5+0.6
6 CSKA Moscow24141058%80.879.0+1.8
7 Monaco32181456%83.880.8+2.9
8 Anadolu Efes33181555%83.080.6+2.4
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv30161453%79.578.7+0.8
10 Unics Kazan25131252%76.775.5+1.2
11 Fenerbahce29131645%74.974.3+0.6
12 Bayern30131743%74.774.9-0.2
13 Crvena zvezda32131941%73.275.3-2.2
14 Alba Berlin32131941%75.579.2-3.7
15 Baskonia32122038%74.878.8-4.0
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne31102132%72.779.6-6.9
17 Panathinaikos3092130%74.780.7-6.0
18 Zalgiris Kaunas3282425%73.079.9-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2816251887
Panathinaikos1327152378
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