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Panathinaikos vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 31 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-86
22-11 19-21 18-22 28-32
Position#16
Record8-21
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#2
Record22-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game72.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 33
European cup2021
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Real Madrid
03 Feb 2026
PAO82
MAD81
06 Mar 2025
PAO85
MAD70
07 Dec 2023
PAO78
MAD90
06 Oct 2022
PAO68
MAD71
31 Mar 2022
PAO87
MAD86
15 Dec 2020
PAO93
MAD97
23 Apr 2019
PAO82
MAD89
28 Mar 2019
PAO73
MAD74
19 Apr 2018
PAO82
MAD89
17 Apr 2018
PAO95
MAD67
24 Nov 2017
PAO82
MAD80
16 Mar 2017
PAO88
MAD82
20 Mar 2015
PAO85
MAD69
25 Jan 2013
PAO54
MAD58
15 Nov 2012
PAO79
MAD68
17 Dec 2009
PAO67
MAD76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
79-73
79
73
+6
79avg 77
H25/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
L
83-96
83
96
-13
76avg 77
H01/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
70avg 77
H04/03
Euroleague
Ionikos
#13
W
68-61
68
61
+7
66avg 77
A07/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
75-57
75
57
+18
70avg 77
H13/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#5
L
73-101
73
101
-28
58avg 77
A17/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
88-64
88
64
+24
no box
A20/03
Basket League
Bayern
#11
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 77
H22/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
77avg 77
H26/03
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
83-95
83
95
-12
80avg 77
H29/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
25-18
17-18
20-14
10-29
24-23
27-24
22-20
19-14
17-26
15-23
24-13
15-15
20-23
20-16
13-7
20-13
20-10
18-20
17-14
13-38
20-20
18-20
22-23
18-17
15-23
34-11
21-13
26-16
16-19
13-17
25-15
22-16
22-15
19-17
14-19
26-23
20-32
12-15
25-25
153.8Avg total
78.1Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.380.6154.9-6.228%
Season at home (16)78.779.6158.2-0.944%
Season away (13)68.981.8150.7-12.88%
Last 10 (10)78.175.7153.8+2.460%
Last 5 (5)80.278.8159.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.886.0159.8-12.28%
vs Similar (5)79.072.4151.4+6.680%
vs Weaker (11)85.567.5152.9+18.0100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
L
47-68
47
68
-21
36avg 75
A24/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
L
72-80
72
80
-8
65avg 75
H06/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#12
L
62-65
62
65
-3
60avg 75
A08/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
no box
H10/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
85-70
85
70
+15
88avg 75
A13/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
70-58
70
58
+12
66avg 75
H17/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#6
L
75-86
75
86
-11
65avg 75
H20/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
90-93
90
93
-3
84avg 75
A22/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
74-75
74
75
-1
no box
A24/03
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
92-77
92
77
+15
90avg 75
H27/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
18-20
8-11
10-19
16-14
22-15
16-28
18-23
15-16
13-19
14-8
20-22
25-16
16-25
23-23
17-17
22-14
19-16
22-17
22-23
20-14
16-16
15-17
19-11
22-15
19-19
16-30
18-22
21-19
30-25
28-28
11-21
21-20
23-21
22-18
8-16
22-18
23-13
22-18
25-28
151.9Avg total
75.9Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.972.6150.5+5.471%
Season at home (16)81.471.4152.8+10.094%
Season away (15)74.373.9148.1+0.447%
Last 10 (10)75.976.0151.9-0.140%
Last 5 (5)80.277.8158.0+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.064.0123.0-5.00%
vs Similar (6)78.280.0158.2-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)81.275.4156.5+5.864%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -3.4-3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -3.4-3.4
PanathinaikosReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H01/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H04/03
Euroleague
Ionikos
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H13/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#5
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A17/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A20/03
Basket League
Bayern
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H22/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H26/03
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H29/03
Euroleague
79.8Avg total
38.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.280.4-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.239.882.1+2.458%-
Last 30 away (11)36.640.977.5-4.327%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.379.8-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.883.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.845.583.4-7.731%-
vs Similar (5)40.637.678.2+3.060%-
vs Weaker (11)41.535.476.9+6.255%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A24/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H06/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#12
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A08/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H10/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A13/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H17/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#6
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H20/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A22/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A24/03
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H27/03
ACB
74.7Avg total
39.4Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.036.676.6+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.535.976.4+4.665%-
Last 30 away (13)39.537.576.9+2.062%-
Last 10 (10)39.435.374.7+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.436.079.4+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.018.047.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar (6)36.341.778.0-5.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.536.377.8+5.268%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.3
56.1%
52.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.2
33.6%
35.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.214.3
78.6%
77.2%14.3
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.018.8
47.0%
52.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.8
29.5%
35.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws16.613.9
83.7%
77.2%13.9
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWWWLWWLLW
Real Madrid
WLLLWWWLLL
#16
League position
#2
+4.6
Net rating
-1.1
111.4
Offensive rating
102.1
106.8
Defensive rating
103.2
53.7%
Effective FG%
45.9%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.8%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.6%
3-point %
29.5%
61.8%
Assist %
66.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 102.1Defence106.8 · 103.2Shooting53.7% · 45.9%3-point %33.6% · 29.5%Ball care16.9% · 17.8%Off. rebounds28.4% · 33.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Panathinaikos wins
10
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv83-95
26/03/22HPAOK77-67
22/03/22HBayern80-67
20/03/22AKolossos Rhodes88-64
17/03/22AOlympiacos73-101
13/03/22HPeristeri75-57
07/03/22AIonikos68-61
04/03/22HOlimpia Milano75-76
01/03/22HZalgiris Kaunas83-96
25/02/22HCrvena zvezda79-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/22HFuenlabrada92-77
24/03/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv74-75
22/03/22AAnadolu Efes90-93
20/03/22HManresa75-86
17/03/22HLyon-Villeurbanne70-58
13/03/22ASan Pablo Burgos85-70
10/03/22HOlimpia Milano92-88 OT
08/03/22ACrvena zvezda62-65
06/03/22HBaskonia72-80
24/02/22AZalgiris Kaunas47-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL28%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayLLLWL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %28%44%8%
Points / game74.378.768.9
Allowed / game80.679.681.8
Point differential-6.2-0.9-12.8
Avg total154.9158.2150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)25% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL71%
HomeWWLWW94%
AwayLLLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %71%94%47%
Points / game77.981.474.3
Allowed / game72.671.473.9
Point differential+5.4+10.0+0.4
Avg total150.5152.8148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%56%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3024680%83.575.5+8.1
2 Real Madrid3122971%77.972.6+5.4
3 Olimpia Milano30201067%74.171.8+2.4
4 Olympiacos30191163%80.675.2+5.4
5 Zenit Petersburg2314961%74.073.5+0.6
6 CSKA Moscow24141058%80.879.0+1.8
7 Monaco31171455%84.181.4+2.7
8 Unics Kazan25131252%76.775.5+1.2
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv29151452%79.078.9+0.1
10 Anadolu Efes31161552%82.980.9+2.0
11 Bayern27121544%74.375.1-0.7
12 Crvena zvezda30131743%72.974.2-1.3
13 Fenerbahce28121643%74.774.2+0.5
14 Alba Berlin31131842%75.578.9-3.5
15 Baskonia31112035%74.278.8-4.6
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne30102033%72.779.2-6.4
17 Panathinaikos2982128%74.380.6-6.2
18 Zalgiris Kaunas3072323%71.878.7-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2219182887
Real Madrid1121223286
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