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PAOK vs Dijon Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 95-81
20-25 22-21 25-14 28-21
Position#9
Record7-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game73.6
PAOK 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record7-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game77.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · PAOK v Dijon
08 Jan 2025
PAK95
DIJ81
05 Oct 2022
PAK66
DIJ70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dijon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
92-69
92
69
+23
96avg 71
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
60-90
60
90
-30
43avg 71
H17/11
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
82-88
82
88
-6
75avg 71
A01/12
Basket League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
W
79-71
79
71
+8
71avg 71
A04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#5
W
86-73
86
73
+13
80avg 71
H09/12
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#6
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 71
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
94-70
94
70
+24
95avg 71
H15/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
84-81
84
81
+3
81avg 71
A21/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
84-74
84
74
+10
81avg 71
H29/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
81-100
81
100
-19
69avg 71
A05/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
22-19
20-15
33-20
13-29
13-24
17-24
17-13
30-26
18-21
9-17
25-24
21-28
18-14
17-15
23-14
28-32
21-4
16-27
21-10
22-14
18-17
16-14
17-23
22-24
26-10
19-20
27-16
21-19
21-21
24-19
18-22
26-19
23-20
22-23
13-12
21-28
17-20
25-29
18-23
159.9Avg total
81.5Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.973.6154.5+7.288%
Season at home (4)84.570.0154.5+14.5100%
Season away (4)77.277.2154.5+0.075%
Last 10 (10)81.578.4159.9+3.170%
Last 5 (5)83.278.6161.8+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.988.7169.6-7.833%
vs Similar (15)80.176.7156.8+3.367%
vs Weaker (6)83.373.3156.7+10.083%
This opponent (Dijon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DijonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDijon
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
88avg 88
H16/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#34
W
113-70
113
70
+43
115avg 88
H27/11
French Cup
Nanterre
#13
W
77-72
77
72
+5
95avg 88
A30/11
LNB
CSM Oradea
#6
L
77-98
77
98
-21
69avg 88
A04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Le Portel
#15
W
86-74
86
74
+12
94avg 88
A07/12
LNB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
W
96-93
96
93
+3
99avg 88
H11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Chalon/Saone
#7
L
87-94 OT
87
94
-7
94avg 88
H14/12
LNB
Cholet
#4
L
89-95
89
95
-6
103avg 88
A17/12
LNB
Strasbourg
#12
L
91-94
91
94
-3
105avg 88
H20/12
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
84-83
84
83
+1
96avg 88
A27/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
31-26
20-20
22-19
25-18
35-19
29-16
24-17
16-16
18-16
25-19
18-21
17-34
22-26
10-20
28-18
29-13
18-19
19-18
20-24
29-15
22-22
23-26
22-30
19-15
23-21
15-22
21-20
19-25
28-20
23-26
19-24
16-25
22-17
24-24
29-28
17-23
16-20
33-23
18-17
174.9Avg total
88.5Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)93.077.8170.8+15.270%
Season at home (5)100.475.6176.0+24.880%
Season away (5)85.680.0165.6+5.660%
Last 10 (10)88.586.4174.9+2.150%
Last 5 (5)89.491.8181.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.889.8169.5-10.025%
vs Similar (12)84.785.8170.5-1.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)94.175.7169.8+18.486%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
PAOKDijon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
26-53
26
53
-27
H17/11
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A01/12
Basket League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#5
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H09/12
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H29/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A05/01
Basket League
82.2Avg total
41.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.880.1+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.738.481.1+4.275%-
Last 30 away (14)37.641.479.0-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.482.2+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.481.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.245.486.7-4.222%-
vs Similar (15)40.337.577.8+2.773%-
vs Weaker (6)39.037.276.2+1.867%-
This opponent (Dijon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DijonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#10
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H16/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#34
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H27/11
French Cup
Nanterre
#13
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A30/11
LNB
CSM Oradea
#6
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Le Portel
#15
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A07/12
LNB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H14/12
LNB
Cholet
#4
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A17/12
LNB
Strasbourg
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H20/12
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A27/12
LNB
85.0Avg total
43.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.240.785.0+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.441.989.3+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)41.139.680.7+1.567%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.685.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.682.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.543.280.8-5.825%-
vs Similar (12)41.942.284.2-0.358%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)48.138.786.9+9.486%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.0
48.4%
52.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.2
37.2%
34.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.413.9
75.5%
72.6%13.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dijontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dijon: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.7
58.6%
52.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.0
38.8%
34.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.616.1
82.1%
72.6%16.1
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LWWWWWWLLW
Dijon
WLLLWWLWWL
#9
League position
#5
+4.1
Net rating
+2.4
107.5
Offensive rating
114.3
103.3
Defensive rating
111.9
51.5%
Effective FG%
58.4%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.2%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
21.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.2%
3-point %
38.8%
63.1%
Assist %
71.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 114.3Defence103.3 · 111.9Shooting51.5% · 58.4%3-point %37.2% · 38.8%Ball care18.3% · 17.2%Off. rebounds31.4% · 21.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ PAOK   ■ Dijon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
PAOK wins
1
Dijon wins
DateGameScore
20/12/22Dijon v PAOK69-74
05/10/22PAOK v Dijon66-70
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25APanathinaikos81-100
29/12/24HPeristeri84-74
21/12/24AAS Karditsas84-81
15/12/24HKolossos Rhodes94-70
12/12/24HCSM Oradea73-68
09/12/24HPromitheas86-73
04/12/24ABC Kalev/Cramo79-71
01/12/24AAris82-88
17/11/24HOlympiacos60-90
13/11/24ASzolnoki Olaj92-69
Dijonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/24AGravelines-Dunkerque84-83
20/12/24HStrasbourg91-94
17/12/24ACholet89-95
14/12/24HChalon/Saone87-94 OT
11/12/24HBC Kalev/Cramo96-93
07/12/24ALe Portel86-74
04/12/24ACSM Oradea77-98
30/11/24ANanterre77-72
27/11/24HGravelines-Dunkerque113-70
16/11/24HSaint Quentin85-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game80.984.577.2
Allowed / game73.670.077.2
Point differential+7.2+14.5+0.0
Avg total154.5154.5154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dijon
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW70%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game93.0100.485.6
Allowed / game77.875.680.0
Point differential+15.2+24.8+5.6
Avg total170.8176.0165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao10100100%89.366.6+22.7
2 Cholet98189%91.676.9+14.7
3 Tofas98189%95.684.0+11.6
4 Ludwigsburg87188%81.967.9+14.0
5 PAOK87188%80.973.6+7.2
6 Basket Zaragoza97278%91.183.1+8.0
7 Dijon107370%93.077.8+15.2
8 Maroussi107370%88.179.1+9.0
9 Sassari96367%83.673.6+10.0
10 BC Kalev/Cramo96367%83.376.3+7.0
11 CSM Oradea96367%80.174.0+6.1
12 Levice64267%85.781.2+4.5
13 Le Portel85362%80.572.1+8.4
14 FC Porto85362%81.876.2+5.5
15 BC Prievidza85362%83.882.8+1.0
16 Spirou Charleroi106460%79.379.8-0.5
17 Anwil Wloclawek95456%88.276.0+12.2
18 Fribourg Olympic95456%86.277.9+8.3
19 Basketball Braunschweig63350%85.881.2+4.7
20 Spojnia Stargard63350%73.370.7+2.7
21 Bursaspor63350%85.584.0+1.5
22 Arges Pitesti63350%71.770.3+1.3
23 Alba Fehervar84450%89.693.8-4.1
24 Caledonia Gladiators63350%58.570.8-12.3
25 Norrkoping62433%79.085.5-6.5
26 Limburg62433%76.783.3-6.7
27 Antwerp Giants62433%80.287.7-7.5
28 Kutaisi62433%78.789.0-10.3
29 AEK Larnaca62433%71.085.7-14.7
30 Sporting CP82625%71.579.5-8.0
31 Anorthosis82625%75.884.2-8.5
32 BC Dnipro82625%66.087.1-21.1
33 Sabah Baku61517%73.878.8-5.0
34 Keravnos61517%84.590.7-6.2
35 Parnu61517%68.079.7-11.7
36 CSM Constanta81712%73.591.4-17.9
37 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
38 Szolnoki Olaj6060%73.886.0-12.2
39 Rilski Sportist6060%71.387.0-15.7
40 Trepca6060%57.377.3-20.0
41 Balkan6060%69.389.8-20.5
42 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
43 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2022252895
Dijon2521142181
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