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PAOK vs Olympiacos Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game70.7
PAOK
Greece
vs
Form · last 5 games
2.8/10
🧊 Cold
4.0/10
Below normal
Olympiacos
Greece
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game67.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 22· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · PAOK v Olympiacos
21 Mar 2027
PAK v OLY
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
PAK81
OLY92
14 Feb 2025
PAK75
OLY94
17 Nov 2024
PAK60
OLY90
05 Nov 2023
PAK63
OLY77
25 May 2023
PAK77
OLY97
11 Dec 2022
PAK68
OLY88
04 Apr 2022
PAK73
OLY84
30 Dec 2018
PAK68
OLY78
07 Jan 2018
PAK78
OLY71
18 Dec 2016
PAK84
OLY89
16 Mar 2015
PAK72
OLY88
16 Feb 2014
PAK72
OLY74
27 Jan 2013
PAK76
OLY71
21 Apr 2012
PAK61
OLY68
24 Oct 2011
PAK52
OLY65
09 Mar 2011
PAK49
OLY77
29 Dec 2010
PAK60
OLY79
22 Nov 2009
PAK78
OLY87
08 Feb 2009
PAK66
OLY74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Lefkadas
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
77avg 79
H10/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#16
L
86-95
86
95
-9
76avg 79
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
W
88-84
88
84
+4
88avg 79
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#13
W
87-78
87
78
+9
78avg 79
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#10
W
65-62
65
62
+3
53avg 79
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
81-84
81
84
-3
77avg 79
A27/10
Eurocup
Iraklis
#8
W
63-53
63
53
+10
58avg 79
A31/10
Basket League
BC Roma
#22
W
113-111
113
111
+2
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Vikos
#13
W
93-67
93
67
+26
no box
H07/11
Basket League
Balkan
#32
W
79-56
79
56
+23
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
20-13
22-23
22-19
22-23
18-27
24-24
22-21
19-21
28-26
15-19
26-18
19-20
27-22
13-13
28-23
20-15
5-14
22-15
18-18
23-26
17-26
18-11
23-21
19-17
15-14
13-11
16-11
29-22
32-38
31-26
21-25
30-15
24-18
20-11
19-23
19-12
34-20
19-9
7-15
160.4Avg total
84.1Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.570.7151.2+9.8100%
Season at home (3)81.367.3148.7+14.0100%
Season away (3)79.774.0153.7+5.7100%
Last 10 (10)84.176.3160.4+7.880%
Last 5 (5)85.874.2160.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)84.989.1174.0-4.329%
vs Similar (7)85.778.0163.7+7.771%
vs Weaker (16)87.177.5164.6+9.694%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
W
102-97 OT
102
97
+5
99avg 90
A13/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#7
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
101avg 90
A16/10
Euroleague
Vikos
#13
W
79-68
79
68
+11
76avg 90
A18/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#5
L
61-64
61
64
-3
58avg 90
H23/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#14
W
85-45
85
45
+40
86avg 90
A25/10
Basket League
Besiktas
#13
W
81-73
81
73
+8
83avg 90
A28/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 90
H30/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#7
W
91-62
91
62
+29
89avg 90
H01/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
57-62
57
62
-5
no box
H06/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A08/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
17-28
25-12
31-19
26-30
31-17
20-19
15-26
21-23
18-13
25-15
15-17
20-8
14-16
15-21
12-19
16-12
25-17
21-8
23-8
25-23
17-13
19-22
20-15
25-19
19-25
25-17
15-17
25-18
23-12
28-12
15-20
11-19
11-21
19-11
16-11
24-20
17-21
22-24
20-16
155.8Avg total
82.8Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.867.8153.7+18.0100%
Season at home (2)95.072.5167.5+22.5100%
Season away (4)81.265.5146.8+15.8100%
Last 10 (10)82.873.0155.8+9.880%
Last 5 (5)79.271.2150.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)85.083.2168.2+1.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.974.1164.0+15.888%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
PAOKOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lefkadas
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#16
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#10
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A27/10
Eurocup
Iraklis
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A31/10
Basket League
BC Roma
#22
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H03/11
Eurocup
Vikos
#13
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H07/11
Basket League
Balkan
#32
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A10/11
Eurocup
84.9Avg total
44.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.684.1+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.640.487.0+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)40.040.880.8-0.843%-
Last 10 (10)44.240.784.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)48.441.690.0+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)42.144.186.3-2.043%-
vs Similar (7)42.039.381.3+2.771%-
vs Weaker (16)44.839.684.4+5.162%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
34-59
34
59
-25
A13/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#7
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A16/10
Euroleague
Vikos
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A18/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#5
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H23/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#14
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A25/10
Basket League
Besiktas
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H30/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#7
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H01/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H06/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A08/11
Basket League
78.8Avg total
40.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.937.282.1+7.680%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.835.280.0+9.687%-
Last 30 away (15)44.939.384.2+5.773%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.678.8+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.277.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)39.543.082.5-3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.235.882.0+10.488%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.818.5
58.2%
50.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.5
31.7%
34.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.918.5
74.3%
71.8%18.5
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.822.3
59.0%
50.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.8
34.0%
34.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
71.8%16.4
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
WWWWLWWWLW
Olympiacos
WLWWWWLWWW
#2
League position
#1
+5.7
Net rating
+16.1
100.7
Offensive rating
101.9
94.9
Defensive rating
85.8
53.3%
Effective FG%
55.7%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.7%
3-point %
34.0%
55.6%
Assist %
66.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 101.9Defence94.9 · 85.8Shooting53.3% · 55.7%3-point %31.7% · 34.0%Ball care15.8% · 15.0%Free throws0.42 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ PAOK   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
PAOK wins
10
Olympiacos wins
DateGameScore
08/03/26Olympiacos v PAOK100-73
23/11/25PAOK v Olympiacos81-92
14/02/25PAOK v Olympiacos75-94
10/02/25Olympiacos v PAOK86-60
17/11/24PAOK v Olympiacos60-90
27/01/24Olympiacos v PAOK77-62
05/11/23PAOK v Olympiacos63-77
28/05/23Olympiacos v PAOK75-54
25/05/23PAOK v Olympiacos77-97
13/05/23Olympiacos v PAOK83-65
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ABalkan79-56
07/11/26HVikos93-67
03/11/26HBC Roma113-111
31/10/26AIraklis63-53
27/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.81-84
24/10/26HAEK Athens65-62
21/10/26HUlm87-78
17/10/26AKolossos Rhodes88-84
13/10/26ALietkabelis86-95
10/10/26HLefkadas86-73
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AMaroussi83-81
06/11/26HCrvena zvezda57-62
01/11/26HPeristeri91-62
30/10/26HOlimpia Milano84-78
28/10/26ABesiktas81-73
25/10/26APromitheas85-45
23/10/26HFenerbahce61-64
18/10/26AVikos79-68
16/10/26ABarcelona105-100 OT
13/10/26AValencia102-97 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.581.379.7
Allowed / game70.767.374.0
Point differential+9.8+14.0+5.7
Avg total151.2148.7153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olympiacos
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.895.081.2
Allowed / game67.872.565.5
Point differential+18.0+22.5+15.8
Avg total153.7167.5146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos660100%85.867.8+18.0
2 PAOK660100%80.570.7+9.8
3 Panathinaikos65183%89.074.5+14.5
4 Aris65183%84.571.5+13.0
5 AS Karditsas64267%74.571.5+3.0
6 Kolossos Rhodes63350%80.781.8-1.2
7 Peristeri63350%80.587.5-7.0
8 Iraklis62433%77.073.8+3.2
9 Lefkadas62433%78.581.7-3.2
10 AEK Athens62433%75.580.0-4.5
11 Maroussi61517%75.881.5-5.7
12 Mykonos61517%73.584.5-11.0
13 Vikos61517%74.787.3-12.7
14 Promitheas61517%70.286.5-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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