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Fenerbahce vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 95-81
22-13 24-24 23-17 26-27
Position#1
Record15-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#17
Record7-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game84.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Virtus Bologna
25 Sep 2026
FEN78
VIR68
25 Nov 2025
FEN66
VIR64
31 Jan 2025
FEN95
VIR81
25 Jan 2024
FEN88
VIR75
03 Mar 2023
FEN104
VIR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#14
W
91-72
91
72
+19
93avg 83
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 83
H03/01
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#13
W
101-90
101
90
+11
100avg 83
A05/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#18
W
90-73
90
73
+17
87avg 83
H09/01
Euroleague
Besiktas
#3
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 83
H12/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
96-91
96
91
+5
90avg 83
A15/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
98-86
98
86
+12
96avg 83
H17/01
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#8
W
95-81
95
81
+14
95avg 83
A19/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
W
87-77
87
77
+10
86avg 83
A24/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 83
A26/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
25-18
17-21
26-14
24-24
19-16
21-16
20-20
18-21
29-18
33-21
21-30
16-11
21-23
24-26
29-13
21-23
32-18
13-24
24-14
21-24
28-19
21-18
26-30
17-20
17-27
28-21
36-18
24-25
25-16
21-17
25-23
17-21
26-19
26-19
18-18
11-19
20-21
21-12
26-21
170.8Avg total
91.0Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.079.9160.9+1.168%
Season at home (11)81.980.3162.2+1.664%
Season away (11)80.179.5159.6+0.573%
Last 10 (10)91.079.8170.8+11.2100%
Last 5 (5)90.881.6172.4+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)82.781.6164.3+1.170%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.478.8165.2+7.685%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
97-71
97
71
+26
104avg 79
H29/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
L
90-111
90
111
-21
85avg 79
A03/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
69-57
69
57
+12
66avg 79
A05/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
W
76-74
76
74
+2
71avg 79
H10/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
88avg 79
H12/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
62avg 79
A15/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
W
82-72
82
72
+10
85avg 79
A17/01
Euroleague
Cremona
#13
W
81-63
81
63
+18
83avg 79
H20/01
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
80-86
80
86
-6
71avg 79
H23/01
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
L
68-76
68
76
-8
67avg 79
A26/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
22-22
31-16
23-19
23-30
19-24
24-25
24-32
18-13
16-15
14-16
21-13
14-20
23-18
22-16
17-20
26-13
18-22
30-21
12-19
13-25
19-16
19-20
17-16
20-18
15-14
22-20
25-20
23-13
18-19
20-23
20-8
26-18
23-23
13-15
18-30
16-25
21-16
14-20
17-15
155.9Avg total
79.7Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.784.2164.8-3.530%
Season at home (12)80.281.1161.2-0.933%
Season away (11)81.287.5168.7-6.427%
Last 10 (10)79.776.2155.9+3.560%
Last 5 (5)75.874.8150.6+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)82.689.6172.1-7.011%
vs Similar (10)82.380.7163.0+1.660%
vs Weaker (11)85.379.7165.0+5.564%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
FenerbahceVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H03/01
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#13
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A05/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#18
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H09/01
Euroleague
Besiktas
#3
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H12/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A15/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H17/01
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#8
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A19/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A24/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A26/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.6Avg total
43.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.580.0+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.538.279.6+3.362%-
Last 30 away (17)41.438.880.2+2.659%-
Last 10 (10)43.440.283.6+3.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.283.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)43.139.582.6+3.670%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.638.078.7+2.655%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H29/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A03/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H10/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A15/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A17/01
Euroleague
Cremona
#13
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H20/01
Lega A
Monaco
#4
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H23/01
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A26/01
Lega A
77.2Avg total
39.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.182.5+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.139.680.8+1.556%-
Last 30 away (14)41.942.784.6-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.877.2+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.476.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.044.086.0-2.044%-
vs Similar (10)42.439.081.4+3.460%-
vs Weaker (11)40.240.580.7-0.445%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.416.9
52.2%
54.5%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.8
37.2%
36.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.615.4
78.6%
78.0%15.4
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.3
55.0%
54.5%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.4
35.9%
36.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.413.9
79.9%
78.0%13.9
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWWWWWWW
Virtus Bologna
LLWWLWWWLW
#1
League position
#17
-2.3
Net rating
+5.0
115.1
Offensive rating
112.3
117.4
Defensive rating
107.3
53.9%
Effective FG%
54.5%
58.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.4%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.2%
3-point %
35.9%
58.5%
Assist %
80.5%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 112.3Defence117.4 · 107.3Shooting53.9% · 54.5%3-point %37.2% · 35.9%Ball care16.3% · 17.4%Off. rebounds31.1% · 28.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Fenerbahce wins
2
Virtus Bologna wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25ABuyukcekmece78-73
24/01/25AOlympiacos87-77
19/01/25AGalatasaray95-81
17/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas98-86
15/01/25ACrvena zvezda96-91
12/01/25HBesiktas90-79
09/01/25HAlba Berlin90-73
05/01/25AKarsiyaka101-90
03/01/25HAnadolu Efes84-76
29/12/24HMerkezefendi91-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25ASassari68-76
23/01/25HMonaco80-86
20/01/25HCremona81-63
17/01/25ABayern82-72
15/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas68-77
12/01/25HBasket Napoli86-75
10/01/25HBaskonia76-74
05/01/25AReggiana69-57
03/01/25APanathinaikos90-111
29/12/24HScafati97-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeLLWWW64%
AwayWLLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%64%73%
Points / game81.081.980.1
Allowed / game79.980.379.5
Point differential+1.1+1.6+0.5
Avg total160.9162.2159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%45%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)50% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL30%
HomeLWWWL33%
AwayWLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %30%33%27%
Points / game80.780.281.2
Allowed / game84.281.187.5
Point differential-3.5-0.9-6.4
Avg total164.8161.2168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%8%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)29% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2316770%87.582.2+5.3
2 Fenerbahce2215768%81.079.9+1.1
3 Monaco2314961%87.583.0+4.5
4 Paris2314961%86.084.7+1.3
5 Panathinaikos24141058%86.282.5+3.7
6 Bayern24141058%86.587.8-1.3
7 Real Madrid23131057%86.283.1+3.1
8 Crvena zvezda23131057%83.081.3+1.6
9 Barcelona24131154%86.584.4+2.1
10 Olimpia Milano24131154%86.085.3+0.7
11 Partizan23121152%83.880.5+3.3
12 Anadolu Efes23111248%84.682.3+2.3
13 Zalgiris Kaunas24111346%77.379.0-1.7
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne24111346%81.584.9-3.4
15 Baskonia24101442%80.882.2-1.4
16 Virtus Bologna2371630%80.784.2-3.5
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2461825%84.990.0-5.0
18 Alba Berlin2442017%80.292.1-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2224232695
Virtus Bologna1324172781
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