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Fenerbahce vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 78-67
16-16 24-12 18-19 20-20
Position#1
Record16-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#8
Record13-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game82.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Real Madrid
29 Jan 2027
FEN v MAD
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
FEN69
MAD74
06 Feb 2025
FEN78
MAD67
30 Nov 2023
FEN100
MAD99
02 Dec 2022
FEN71
MAD85
08 Feb 2022
FEN66
MAD51
08 Apr 2021
FEN67
MAD93
19 May 2019
FEN75
MAD94
28 Dec 2018
FEN65
MAD63
28 Dec 2017
FEN77
MAD79
19 May 2017
FEN84
MAD75
01 Dec 2016
FEN78
MAD77
14 Apr 2016
FEN100
MAD78
12 Apr 2016
FEN75
MAD69
30 Oct 2015
FEN77
MAD66
25 Oct 2012
FEN75
MAD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
90-73
90
73
+17
87avg 84
H09/01
Euroleague
Besiktas
#3
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 84
H12/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
96-91
96
91
+5
90avg 84
A15/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
98-86
98
86
+12
96avg 84
H17/01
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#8
W
95-81
95
81
+14
95avg 84
A19/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
W
87-77
87
77
+10
86avg 84
A24/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 84
A26/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
95-81
95
81
+14
95avg 84
H31/01
Euroleague
Yalovaspor
#16
W
100-94
100
94
+6
98avg 84
H02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#3
L
90-91
90
91
-1
86avg 84
A04/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
21-23
24-26
29-13
21-23
32-18
13-24
24-14
21-24
28-19
21-18
26-30
17-20
17-27
28-21
36-18
24-25
25-16
21-17
25-23
17-21
26-19
26-19
18-18
11-19
20-21
21-12
26-21
22-13
24-24
23-17
26-27
27-25
21-19
27-23
25-27
24-24
16-17
24-20
26-30
174.5Avg total
91.9Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.080.4162.4+1.567%
Season at home (12)83.080.3163.3+2.767%
Season away (12)80.980.5161.4+0.467%
Last 10 (10)91.982.6174.5+9.390%
Last 5 (5)90.083.2173.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.883.5166.3-0.760%
vs Weaker (20)87.179.1166.2+8.085%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
83-64
83
64
+19
77avg 83
A10/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
96-86
96
86
+10
92avg 83
H12/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
116-113
116
113
+3
110avg 83
H14/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
86-96
86
96
-10
79avg 83
H16/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
100-84
100
84
+16
99avg 83
A19/01
ACB
Baskonia
#14
W
90-89
90
89
+1
85avg 83
H23/01
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
90-74
90
74
+16
90avg 83
H26/01
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
73-77
73
77
-4
64avg 83
A31/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 83
H02/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
73avg 83
A04/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
20-8
20-12
28-18
15-20
30-22
34-16
17-28
33-30
24-33
34-27
25-23
19-22
19-25
16-26
32-23
22-24
34-17
21-18
23-25
22-21
20-24
22-22
26-22
29-12
17-18
23-21
21-23
13-20
26-16
17-23
17-18
22-20
18-19
18-19
28-15
17-25
21-13
23-18
12-23
172.8Avg total
89.3Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.282.7167.9+2.452%
Season at home (13)89.685.2174.8+4.469%
Season away (12)80.380.0160.3+0.333%
Last 10 (10)89.383.5172.8+5.870%
Last 5 (5)82.478.4160.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.281.6164.8+1.546%
vs Weaker (17)89.980.1170.0+9.888%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
FenerbahceReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H09/01
Euroleague
Besiktas
#3
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H12/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A15/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H17/01
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#8
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A19/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A24/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A26/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H31/01
Euroleague
Yalovaspor
#16
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A04/02
Euroleague
83.8Avg total
43.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.680.1+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.438.981.3+3.569%-
Last 30 away (17)40.938.379.2+2.659%-
Last 10 (10)43.040.883.8+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.482.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.740.583.2+2.260%-
vs Weaker (20)41.037.678.6+3.465%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A10/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H12/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H14/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H16/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A19/01
ACB
Baskonia
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H23/01
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H26/01
ACB
Monaco
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A31/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H02/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/02
Euroleague
85.1Avg total
43.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.583.2+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.240.483.7+2.861%-
Last 30 away (12)41.840.682.4+1.258%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.585.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.678.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.640.779.3-2.138%-
vs Weaker (17)45.840.486.1+5.476%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.716.9
53.3%
54.5%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.811.6
40.3%
36.2%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.915.9
79.9%
78.0%15.9
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.221.3
57.3%
54.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.1
34.7%
36.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.618.8
79.7%
78.0%18.8
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LWWWWWWWWW
Real Madrid
LWLWWWLWWW
#1
League position
#8
+0.1
Net rating
+8.5
118.6
Offensive rating
117.3
118.5
Defensive rating
108.9
56.7%
Effective FG%
55.1%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.8%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
40.3%
3-point %
34.7%
63.2%
Assist %
60.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 117.3Defence118.5 · 108.9Shooting56.7% · 55.1%3-point %40.3% · 34.7%Ball care17.0% · 15.8%Off. rebounds30.7% · 29.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fenerbahce wins
6
Real Madrid wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25APanathinaikos90-91
02/02/25HYalovaspor100-94
31/01/25HVirtus Bologna95-81
26/01/25ABuyukcekmece78-73
24/01/25AOlympiacos87-77
19/01/25AGalatasaray95-81
17/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas98-86
15/01/25ACrvena zvezda96-91
12/01/25HBesiktas90-79
09/01/25HAlba Berlin90-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25AAnadolu Efes73-79
02/02/25HJoventut Badalona86-73
31/01/25AMonaco73-77
26/01/25HLeyma Coruna90-74
23/01/25HBaskonia90-89
19/01/25AMoraBanc Andorra100-84
16/01/25HOlympiacos86-96
14/01/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv116-113
12/01/25HTenerife96-86
10/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas83-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game82.083.080.9
Allowed / game80.480.380.5
Point differential+1.5+2.7+0.4
Avg total162.4163.3161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL52%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayWWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %52%69%33%
Points / game85.289.680.3
Allowed / game82.785.280.0
Point differential+2.4+4.4+0.3
Avg total167.9174.8160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2518772%87.882.1+5.7
2 Fenerbahce2416867%82.080.4+1.5
3 Monaco2516964%87.282.6+4.6
4 Panathinaikos25151060%86.482.8+3.6
5 Crvena zvezda25151060%82.280.3+1.8
6 Bayern25151060%86.587.0-0.6
7 Paris24141058%85.584.9+0.6
8 Barcelona25141156%87.083.9+3.2
9 Partizan25131252%83.279.8+3.4
10 Real Madrid25131252%85.282.7+2.4
11 Olimpia Milano25131252%85.485.4+0.0
12 Anadolu Efes25121348%84.682.3+2.3
13 Zalgiris Kaunas25121348%77.278.0-0.8
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne25111444%80.984.4-3.6
15 Baskonia25101540%81.082.6-1.6
16 Virtus Bologna2571828%80.384.5-4.2
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2561924%84.490.4-6.0
18 Alba Berlin2542116%79.191.4-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1624182078
Real Madrid1612192067
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