PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Paris vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 93-88
23-15 24-23 24-30 22-20
Position#9
Record15-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game84.6
Paris 🏆
vs
Bayern
Position#7
Record16-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game86.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27· Adidas Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Paris v Bayern
06 Nov 2025
PRS82
BAY86
27 Feb 2025
PRS93
BAY88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
La Rochelle
#16
W
90-73
90
73
+17
101avg 90
A19/01
LNB
Partizan
#12
L
86-92
86
92
-6
79avg 90
A22/01
Euroleague
Cholet
#4
W
90-77
90
77
+13
97avg 90
H26/01
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
91-82
91
82
+9
87avg 90
H30/01
Euroleague
Nanterre
#13
W
92-78
92
78
+14
102avg 90
A01/02
LNB
Olympiacos
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
58avg 90
H05/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
83-77
83
77
+6
74avg 90
A07/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
111-96
111
96
+15
122avg 90
H09/02
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
93-78
93
78
+15
96avg 90
H11/02
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
84avg 90
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-16
13-20
28-14
11-23
34-26
15-28
20-20
17-18
24-17
16-28
33-20
17-12
20-15
34-25
15-24
22-18
27-22
24-22
19-20
22-14
15-30
16-18
27-19
15-23
17-25
18-21
23-18
25-13
24-30
25-34
38-16
24-16
21-22
25-19
25-16
22-21
17-21
32-16
18-31
19-24
173.0Avg total
89.5Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.484.6170.0+0.860%
Season at home (12)81.581.3162.8+0.267%
Season away (13)89.087.6176.6+1.454%
Last 10 (10)89.583.5173.0+6.070%
Last 5 (5)89.286.6175.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.590.0174.5-5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (12)90.990.7181.6+0.250%
vs Weaker (15)91.981.2173.1+10.787%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
72-82
72
82
-10
59avg 79
H17/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
99-84
99
84
+15
99avg 79
A24/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
W
84-82
84
82
+2
77avg 79
H26/01
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
97-82
97
82
+15
99avg 79
A30/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
W
99-86 OT
99
86
+13
92avg 79
H02/02
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
87-70
87
70
+17
87avg 79
H04/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
76-67
76
67
+9
74avg 79
H06/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
65-79
65
79
-14
54avg 79
A09/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
70-56
70
56
+14
65avg 79
H11/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
93-95
93
95
-2
85avg 79
H15/02
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
14-15
20-22
20-25
27-27
25-23
18-18
29-16
17-21
18-20
21-15
28-26
22-18
23-13
26-28
26-23
17-17
21-24
24-15
18-24
17-16
20-20
31-19
19-15
23-18
15-12
20-17
18-20
13-20
20-19
16-23
16-17
14-22
28-13
20-9
8-12
20-22
23-26
30-25
20-22
162.5Avg total
84.2Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)86.186.3172.3-0.262%
Season at home (13)90.283.2173.5+7.085%
Season away (13)81.989.3171.2-7.438%
Last 10 (10)84.278.3162.5+5.970%
Last 5 (5)78.273.4151.6+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.496.0175.4-16.620%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.883.7170.5+3.262%
vs Weaker (12)87.874.6162.3+13.283%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
ParisBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Rochelle
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A19/01
LNB
Partizan
#12
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A22/01
Euroleague
Cholet
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H26/01
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H30/01
Euroleague
Nanterre
#13
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A01/02
LNB
Olympiacos
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H05/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A07/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H09/02
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/02
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H14/02
Leaders Cup
91.0Avg total
45.5Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.244.289.3+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.343.788.0+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)46.144.690.7+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)45.545.591.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.047.289.2-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.046.086.0-6.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.646.691.2-2.025%-
vs Weaker (15)46.142.588.5+3.653%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H17/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A24/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H26/01
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A30/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H02/02
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H04/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H06/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A09/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H15/02
German Cup
78.1Avg total
39.5Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.883.7+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.239.282.4+3.959%-
Last 30 away (13)42.542.885.4-0.346%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.678.1+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.676.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.845.087.8-2.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.540.581.0+0.146%-
vs Weaker (12)45.539.484.9+6.167%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.018.5
59.7%
54.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.011.8
36.9%
36.2%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.116.5
82.1%
78.0%16.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.4
52.7%
54.5%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.412.0
37.0%
36.2%36.0
🏀 Free throws16.312.8
78.5%
78.0%12.8
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
LWWWLWWWLW
Bayern
LWLWWWWWWL
#9
League position
#7
+8.8
Net rating
+9.4
122.3
Offensive rating
115.8
113.5
Defensive rating
106.4
57.5%
Effective FG%
54.1%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.7%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.9%
3-point %
37.0%
57.4%
Assist %
69.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence122.3 · 115.8Defence113.5 · 106.4Shooting57.5% · 54.1%3-point %36.9% · 37.0%Ball care16.8% · 17.7%Off. rebounds33.5% · 35.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Paris   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Paris wins
1
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
17/10/24Bayern v Paris109-107
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/25HSaint Quentin86-92
11/02/25HDijon93-78
09/02/25HLyon-Villeurbanne111-96
07/02/25AVirtus Bologna83-77
05/02/25HOlympiacos73-90
01/02/25ANanterre92-78
30/01/25HLyon-Villeurbanne91-82
26/01/25HCholet90-77
22/01/25APartizan86-92
19/01/25ALa Rochelle90-73
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HSyntainics MBC93-95
11/02/25HFrankfurt70-56
09/02/25AVechta65-79
06/02/25HLyon-Villeurbanne76-67
04/02/25HOlimpia Milano87-70
02/02/25HAlba Berlin99-86 OT
30/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas97-82
26/01/25HBamberg84-82
24/01/25AAlba Berlin99-84
17/01/25HVirtus Bologna72-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %60%67%54%
Points / game85.481.589.0
Allowed / game84.681.387.6
Point differential+0.8+0.2+1.4
Avg total170.0162.8176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)83% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeLWLWW85%
AwayWLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%85%38%
Points / game86.190.281.9
Allowed / game86.383.289.3
Point differential-0.2+7.0-7.4
Avg total172.3173.5171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%31%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2619773%87.982.3+5.5
2 Fenerbahce2517868%81.879.9+1.9
3 Panathinaikos26161062%87.083.0+4.0
4 Monaco26161062%86.582.8+3.8
5 Bayern26161062%86.186.3-0.2
6 Paris25151060%85.484.6+0.8
7 Crvena zvezda27161159%81.980.2+1.7
8 Partizan26141254%83.379.4+3.9
9 Barcelona26141254%87.184.1+3.0
10 Olimpia Milano26141254%85.585.5+0.1
11 Real Madrid26131350%84.582.5+1.9
12 Zalgiris Kaunas27131448%77.978.5-0.6
13 Anadolu Efes26121446%84.783.1+1.6
14 Baskonia26111542%81.382.5-1.3
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne26111542%80.384.1-3.8
16 Virtus Bologna2671927%80.284.4-4.3
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2662023%84.390.3-6.0
18 Alba Berlin2642215%78.890.8-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris2324242293
Bayern1523302088
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.