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Paris vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 82-78
17-19 24-19 20-15 21-25
Position#14
Record0-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game91.5
Paris 🏆
vs
Position#10
Record1-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3· Adidas Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Paris v Zalgiris Kaunas
01 Oct 2026
PRS82
ZAL78
11 Dec 2025
PRS105
ZAL108
13 Nov 2024
PRS83
ZAL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Cholet
#5
W
95-86
95
86
+9
89avg 86
A07/06
LNB
Cholet
#5
W
94-91
94
91
+3
80avg 86
A09/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
W
95-91
95
91
+4
89avg 86
H14/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
90-102
90
102
-12
86avg 86
H17/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
W
88-77
88
77
+11
86avg 86
A19/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
84-96
84
96
-12
76avg 86
A21/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
92-101
92
101
-9
82avg 86
H23/06
LNB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
72-91
72
91
-19
61avg 86
A24/09
Euroleague
Nancy
#13
W
78-73
78
73
+5
70avg 86
A27/09
LNB
Partizan
#11
L
79-92
79
92
-13
73avg 86
H29/09
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-23
22-18
22-20
19-25
25-25
26-25
24-24
19-17
22-28
29-24
16-24
28-15
15-28
26-25
25-24
24-25
17-26
23-18
18-17
30-16
16-27
17-27
22-29
29-13
24-27
28-28
29-18
11-28
17-31
14-11
13-27
28-22
21-15
14-17
16-24
27-17
18-15
22-29
23-23
16-25
176.7Avg total
86.7Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.591.5167.0-16.00%
Season at home (1)79.092.0171.0-13.00%
Season away (1)72.091.0163.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)86.790.0176.7-3.350%
Last 5 (5)81.090.6171.6-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)76.789.3166.0-12.70%
vs Similar (11)95.891.3187.1+4.555%
vs Weaker (16)91.184.8175.8+6.369%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
95-75
95
75
+20
97avg 88
A28/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
103-93
103
93
+10
106avg 88
H31/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
107-75
107
75
+32
108avg 88
H07/06
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
100-69
100
69
+31
105avg 88
A09/06
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
95-77
95
77
+18
98avg 88
H12/06
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
W
98-77
98
77
+21
95avg 88
A17/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
93-69
93
69
+24
94avg 88
A20/09
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#2
W
83-77
83
77
+6
80avg 88
A24/09
Euroleague
Siauliai
#6
W
101-82
101
82
+19
99avg 88
H27/09
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
L
91-93
91
93
-2
89avg 88
H29/09
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
22-17
32-20
21-19
29-27
27-20
19-21
28-25
27-13
18-21
30-26
32-15
24-13
29-17
23-17
24-22
28-18
22-21
21-17
24-21
23-18
21-19
28-20
26-20
20-18
20-16
21-17
32-18
28-21
15-24
16-12
24-20
21-19
27-18
32-19
21-26
24-21
20-23
19-20
28-29
175.3Avg total
96.6Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.085.0172.0+2.050%
Season at home (1)91.093.0184.0-2.00%
Season away (1)83.077.0160.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)96.678.7175.3+17.990%
Last 5 (5)93.279.6172.8+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.077.0160.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (7)80.384.0164.3-3.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)94.078.5172.5+15.6100%
This opponent (Paris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +4.5+4.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +4.5+4.5
ParisZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A07/06
LNB
Cholet
#5
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A09/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H14/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H17/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A19/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A21/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H23/06
LNB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A24/09
Euroleague
Nancy
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A27/09
LNB
Partizan
#11
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H29/09
Euroleague
89.5Avg total
42.8Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.147.394.4-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.146.794.8+1.533%-
Last 30 away (15)46.147.994.0-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)42.846.789.5-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.245.483.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)38.746.385.0-7.70%-
vs Similar (11)51.749.7101.5+2.045%-
vs Weaker (16)45.545.891.3-0.344%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H31/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H07/06
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A09/06
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H12/06
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A17/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A20/09
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A24/09
Euroleague
Siauliai
#6
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H27/09
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H29/09
Euroleague
84.8Avg total
46.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.440.285.5+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.240.186.2+6.169%-
Last 30 away (14)44.440.384.7+4.171%-
Last 10 (10)46.538.384.8+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.483.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.045.088.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (7)36.642.178.7-5.614%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)48.339.387.6+9.091%-
This opponent (Paris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.1
54.8%
55.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.211.0
32.2%
35.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws22.117.1
77.4%
77.1%17.1
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 96.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.025.6
61.0%
55.2%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.9
40.7%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.5
78.7%
77.1%15.5
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
LWLLLWLWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWWWWWWWW
#14
League position
#10
-3.5
Net rating
+20.5
95.3
Offensive rating
111.5
98.8
Defensive rating
91.0
51.5%
Effective FG%
61.0%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
16.7%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.2%
3-point %
40.7%
62.9%
Assist %
68.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 111.5Defence98.8 · 91.0Shooting51.5% · 61.0%3-point %32.2% · 40.7%Ball care16.7% · 15.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Paris   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Paris wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
17/04/26Zalgiris Kaunas v Paris85-79
11/12/25Paris v Zalgiris Kaunas105-108
13/03/25Zalgiris Kaunas v Paris83-81
13/11/24Paris v Zalgiris Kaunas83-77
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/26HPartizan79-92
27/09/26ANancy78-73
24/09/26APanathinaikos72-91
23/06/26HMonaco92-101
21/06/26AMonaco84-96
19/06/26AMonaco88-77
17/06/26HMonaco90-102
14/06/26HMonaco95-91
09/06/26ACholet94-91
07/06/26ACholet95-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/26HOlympiacos91-93
27/09/26HSiauliai101-82
24/09/26ACrvena zvezda83-77
20/09/26ANeptunas93-69
17/09/26AGargzdai98-77
12/06/26HJuventus95-77
09/06/26AJuventus100-69
07/06/26HJuventus107-75
31/05/26HLietkabelis103-93
28/05/26ALietkabelis95-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.579.072.0
Allowed / game91.592.091.0
Point differential-16.0-13.0-19.0
Avg total167.0171.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game87.091.083.0
Allowed / game85.093.077.0
Point differential+2.0-2.0+6.0
Avg total172.0184.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos220100%96.575.5+21.0
2 Fenerbahce220100%89.072.0+17.0
3 Partizan220100%92.077.5+14.5
4 Valencia220100%103.591.0+12.5
5 Dubai220100%86.082.0+4.0
6 Olympiacos32167%97.792.0+5.7
7 Hapoel Tel-Aviv32167%89.088.0+1.0
8 Besiktas21150%101.594.5+7.0
9 Zalgiris Kaunas21150%87.085.0+2.0
10 Barcelona21150%88.088.0+0.0
11 Lyon-Villeurbanne21150%81.588.0-6.5
12 Olimpia Milano21150%81.588.5-7.0
13 Bayern21150%81.092.0-11.0
14 Anadolu Efes31233%82.783.3-0.7
15 Crvena zvezda31233%78.078.7-0.7
16 Virtus Bologna31233%83.086.3-3.3
17 Real Madrid3030%86.391.3-5.0
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv2020%83.596.5-13.0
19 Paris2020%75.591.5-16.0
20 Baskonia2020%88.5108.5-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris1724202182
Zalgiris Kaunas1919152578
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