PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-79
26-28 27-17 15-16 17-18
Position#5
Record22-15
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#16
Record15-22
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game91.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 38· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Paris
07 Jan 2027
ZAL v PRS
upcoming
17 Apr 2026
ZAL85
PRS79
13 Mar 2025
ZAL83
PRS81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
W
87-85
87
85
+2
81avg 87
H20/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#4
W
94-65
94
65
+29
94avg 87
H22/03
LKL
Bayern
#14
W
78-71
78
71
+7
72avg 87
H24/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
92-82
92
82
+10
97avg 87
A27/03
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
94-83
94
83
+11
90avg 87
A29/03
LKL
Barcelona
#8
W
83-71
83
71
+12
82avg 87
H02/04
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
W
94-82
94
82
+12
94avg 87
A04/04
LKL
Dubai
#11
L
65-77
65
77
-12
60avg 87
H07/04
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
83-74
83
74
+9
84avg 87
A10/04
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
101-84
101
84
+17
103avg 87
A14/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
28-26
15-17
19-13
22-15
23-22
25-20
24-8
18-18
16-20
29-19
15-14
22-25
27-19
17-18
26-20
18-25
21-24
32-22
23-12
22-21
17-19
20-16
24-15
24-18
24-22
27-29
19-13
19-14
15-10
19-15
12-38
26-22
22-19
15-16
20-17
34-20
18-20
31-20
18-24
164.5Avg total
87.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)87.782.9170.6+4.859%
Season at home (18)85.777.9163.6+7.872%
Season away (19)89.687.6177.2+1.947%
Last 10 (10)87.177.4164.5+9.790%
Last 5 (5)85.277.6162.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.094.0193.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (8)87.483.4170.8+4.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)92.380.1172.4+12.286%
This opponent (Paris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
82-93
82
93
-11
71avg 90
A17/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
81-90
81
90
-9
68avg 90
H19/03
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#7
L
85-95
85
95
-10
74avg 90
H22/03
LNB
Dijon
#11
W
92-76
92
76
+16
90avg 90
A27/03
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
103-82
103
82
+21
102avg 90
A31/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
103-93
103
93
+10
98avg 90
H02/04
Euroleague
Nanterre
#3
W
96-92
96
92
+4
86avg 90
H04/04
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
81-94
81
94
-13
74avg 90
A07/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
113-80
113
80
+33
112avg 90
H09/04
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#8
W
92-86
92
86
+6
82avg 90
A11/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
23-28
16-23
13-18
20-17
23-29
14-20
24-24
23-16
21-22
21-31
20-26
21-22
25-16
26-20
20-18
19-20
34-27
23-16
27-19
30-19
34-22
23-35
16-17
20-25
26-35
27-15
23-17
28-34
26-23
15-23
12-14
41-24
20-14
32-20
20-22
28-26
17-24
21-21
26-15
180.9Avg total
92.8Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)90.491.1181.5-0.841%
Season at home (19)91.391.0182.3+0.342%
Season away (18)89.491.2180.6-1.839%
Last 10 (10)92.888.1180.9+4.760%
Last 5 (5)97.089.0186.0+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)89.798.0187.7-8.333%
vs Similar (12)91.688.6180.2+3.050%
vs Weaker (15)96.586.0182.5+10.573%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
Zalgiris KaunasParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H20/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/03
LKL
Bayern
#14
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H24/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A27/03
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A29/03
LKL
Barcelona
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/04
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A04/04
LKL
Dubai
#11
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H07/04
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A10/04
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A14/04
LKL
84.9Avg total
44.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.840.486.2+5.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.238.685.9+8.669%-
Last 30 away (14)44.242.486.6+1.957%-
Last 10 (10)44.140.884.9+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.081.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (8)44.242.286.5+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.939.786.6+7.171%-
This opponent (Paris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A17/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H19/03
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/03
LNB
Dijon
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A27/03
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A31/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H02/04
Euroleague
Nanterre
#3
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H04/04
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A07/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
61-38
61
38
+23
H09/04
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A11/04
LNB
97.6Avg total
50.9Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.444.992.4+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.945.592.4+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)48.144.392.4+3.850%-
Last 10 (10)50.946.797.6+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)54.049.2103.2+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)49.051.7100.7-2.733%-
vs Similar (12)49.244.894.1+4.458%-
vs Weaker (15)45.743.789.3+2.047%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.5 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.115.4
61.4%
60.4%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.810.8
45.4%
35.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws7.55.5
73.3%
78.2%5.5
They take 48.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀50%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers16.213.1
80.9%
60.4%26.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.3
35.1%
35.9%33.9
🏀 Free throws11.58.3
72.2%
78.2%8.3
They take 48.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 67% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWWWWWWW
Paris
WWLWWWWLLL
#5
League position
#16
+11.3
Net rating
+4.3
59.2
Offensive rating
53.7
47.9
Defensive rating
49.4
64.6%
Effective FG%
62.1%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
59.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
20.6%
0.15
Free-throw rate
0.24
45.4%
3-point %
35.1%
77.5%
Assist %
76.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence59.2 · 53.7Defence47.9 · 49.4Shooting64.6% · 62.1%3-point %45.4% · 35.1%Ball care17.3% · 20.6%Free throws0.15 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
1
Paris wins
DateGameScore
11/12/25Paris v Zalgiris Kaunas105-108
13/03/25Zalgiris Kaunas v Paris83-81
13/11/24Paris v Zalgiris Kaunas83-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/26AJonava101-84
10/04/26APartizan83-74
07/04/26HDubai65-77
04/04/26ALietkabelis94-82
02/04/26HBarcelona83-71
29/03/26AJuventus94-83
27/03/26AFenerbahce92-82
24/03/26HBayern78-71
22/03/26HSiauliai94-65
20/03/26HReal Madrid87-85
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/26AStrasbourg92-86
09/04/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv113-80
07/04/26ACrvena zvezda81-94
04/04/26HNanterre96-92
02/04/26HOlimpia Milano103-93
31/03/26AVirtus Bologna103-82
27/03/26ADijon92-76
22/03/26HJL Bourg85-95
19/03/26HPartizan81-90
17/03/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv82-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW59%
HomeWWWWL72%
AwayLLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %59%72%47%
Points / game87.785.789.6
Allowed / game82.977.987.6
Point differential+4.8+7.8+1.9
Avg total170.6163.6177.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)100% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Paris
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW41%
HomeLWLWW42%
AwayWWLWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %41%42%39%
Points / game90.491.389.4
Allowed / game91.191.091.2
Point differential-0.8+0.3-1.8
Avg total181.5182.3180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%26%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)20% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos38261268%90.383.8+6.5
2 Valencia37241365%90.886.4+4.4
3 Real Madrid38241463%87.983.1+4.9
4 Fenerbahce38241463%81.980.6+1.4
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv37231462%88.384.8+3.5
6 Zalgiris Kaunas37221559%87.782.9+4.8
7 Monaco37211657%90.187.0+3.1
8 Panathinaikos37211657%86.985.6+1.4
9 Crvena zvezda38211755%87.686.2+1.3
10 Barcelona37201754%84.584.3+0.2
11 Dubai37191851%88.287.8+0.4
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv38182047%90.192.7-2.5
13 Bayern37172046%81.183.4-2.3
14 Olimpia Milano38172145%86.187.2-1.2
15 Partizan38162242%81.686.6-4.9
16 Paris37152241%90.491.1-0.8
17 Virtus Bologna38142437%81.886.4-4.6
18 Baskonia38132534%88.393.1-4.7
19 Anadolu Efes37122532%80.684.0-3.4
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3883021%79.386.6-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2627151785
Paris2817161879
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.