PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-81
14-22 17-25 29-14 23-20
Position#13
Record13-15
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game78.0
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
vs
Paris
Position#9
Record16-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Paris
07 Jan 2027
ZAL v PRS
upcoming
17 Apr 2026
ZAL85
PRS79
13 Mar 2025
ZAL83
PRS81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
W
97-84
97
84
+13
90avg 80
H02/02
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
73-53
73
53
+20
67avg 80
H04/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
87-89
87
89
-2
72avg 80
H06/02
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
111-81
111
81
+30
120avg 80
H09/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
79-56
79
56
+23
70avg 80
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 80
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
88avg 80
A27/02
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
81avg 80
H02/03
LKL
Baskonia
#14
L
65-66
65
66
-1
58avg 80
A06/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
83-76
83
76
+7
78avg 80
A09/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
36-16
20-17
13-22
25-12
12-10
18-15
18-16
16-24
26-26
24-17
21-22
29-25
30-20
24-20
28-16
24-13
14-14
20-18
21-11
21-25
22-20
25-24
23-20
23-22
21-21
23-17
19-20
21-13
20-22
18-22
11-13
12-18
18-20
13-10
22-18
24-14
17-20
24-15
18-27
161.1Avg total
85.6Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.478.0155.4-0.646%
Season at home (15)76.376.0152.3+0.353%
Season away (13)78.680.4159.0-1.838%
Last 10 (10)85.675.5161.1+10.180%
Last 5 (5)81.878.4160.2+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.087.8170.8-4.825%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.182.3160.4-4.230%
vs Weaker (16)91.676.3167.9+15.2100%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
58avg 89
H05/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
83-77
83
77
+6
74avg 89
A07/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
111-96
111
96
+15
122avg 89
H09/02
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
93-78
93
78
+15
96avg 89
H11/02
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
84avg 89
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Bayern
#7
W
93-88
93
88
+5
81avg 89
H27/02
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
89avg 89
H01/03
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 89
H03/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
79-91
79
91
-12
67avg 89
H05/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#2
L
63-94
63
94
-31
66avg 89
A09/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
16-18
27-19
15-23
17-25
18-21
23-18
25-13
24-30
25-34
38-16
24-16
21-22
25-19
25-16
22-21
17-21
32-16
18-31
19-24
23-15
24-23
24-30
22-20
20-19
25-29
20-25
21-15
26-16
19-21
15-26
23-24
22-24
17-20
14-27
26-20
19-23
19-21
13-22
12-28
173.1Avg total
85.0Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.485.0170.4+0.357%
Season at home (15)82.282.8165.0-0.660%
Season away (13)89.087.6176.6+1.454%
Last 10 (10)85.088.1173.1-3.140%
Last 5 (5)80.889.6170.4-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.590.0174.5-5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.691.2177.9-4.636%
vs Weaker (13)91.682.8174.4+8.877%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
Zalgiris KaunasParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
W
64-45
64
45
+19
H02/02
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H04/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H06/02
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H09/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A27/02
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H02/03
LKL
Baskonia
#14
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A06/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A09/03
LKL
82.3Avg total
43.9Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.638.583.1+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.337.882.1+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)45.039.384.3+5.757%-
Last 10 (10)43.938.482.3+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.078.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.534.584.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.141.880.9-2.730%-
vs Weaker (16)46.937.484.2+9.581%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H05/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A07/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H09/02
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/02
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Bayern
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H27/02
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#10
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H01/03
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H03/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/03
LNB
87.1Avg total
42.4Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.844.589.3+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.744.388.0-0.635%-
Last 30 away (13)46.344.791.0+1.646%-
Last 10 (10)42.444.787.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.285.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.046.086.0-6.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.045.489.4-1.429%-
vs Weaker (13)46.243.890.0+2.346%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.617.9
54.9%
54.5%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.8
38.7%
36.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.716.6
76.5%
78.0%16.6
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.9
57.7%
54.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.7
32.1%
36.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.115.7
78.1%
78.0%15.7
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWWWWLWW
Paris
LLLLWLWWWL
#13
League position
#9
+14.8
Net rating
-2.9
119.7
Offensive rating
116.5
104.8
Defensive rating
119.4
56.4%
Effective FG%
53.2%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
16.6%
Turnover %
14.7%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.7%
3-point %
32.1%
64.8%
Assist %
51.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence119.7 · 116.5Defence104.8 · 119.4Shooting56.4% · 53.2%3-point %38.7% · 32.1%Ball care16.6% · 14.7%Off. rebounds33.6% · 32.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
1
Paris wins
DateGameScore
13/11/24Paris v Zalgiris Kaunas83-77
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25ARytas83-76
06/03/25ABaskonia65-66
02/03/25HJuventus84-81 OT
27/02/25ACrvena zvezda86-80
16/02/25ANeptunas91-89
15/02/25HLietkabelis79-56
09/02/25HSiauliai111-81
06/02/25HOlimpia Milano87-89
04/02/25HAlba Berlin73-53
02/02/25HBC Wolves97-84
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25AMonaco63-94
05/03/25HMonaco79-91
03/03/25HFenerbahce83-87
01/03/25HSaint Quentin86-88
27/02/25HBayern93-88
14/02/25HSaint Quentin86-92
11/02/25HDijon93-78
09/02/25HLyon-Villeurbanne111-96
07/02/25AVirtus Bologna83-77
05/02/25HOlympiacos73-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL46%
HomeLWLWL53%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %46%53%38%
Points / game77.476.378.6
Allowed / game78.076.080.4
Point differential-0.6+0.3-1.8
Avg total155.4152.3159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paris
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL57%
HomeWLWLL60%
AwayLLLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %57%60%54%
Points / game85.482.289.0
Allowed / game85.082.887.6
Point differential+0.3-0.6+1.4
Avg total170.4165.0176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%7%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)75% (8)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2821775%87.881.5+6.4
2 Fenerbahce2920969%82.880.4+2.3
3 Panathinaikos28181064%87.382.9+4.4
4 Monaco28171161%86.582.8+3.7
5 Bayern28171161%86.686.4+0.3
6 Crvena zvezda28161257%81.980.9+1.0
7 Paris28161257%85.485.0+0.3
8 Partizan28151354%82.979.2+3.6
9 Barcelona28151354%87.684.6+3.1
10 Olimpia Milano28151354%85.285.8-0.6
11 Anadolu Efes28141450%85.482.2+3.1
12 Real Madrid28141450%84.482.9+1.4
13 Zalgiris Kaunas28131546%77.478.0-0.6
14 Baskonia28121643%80.482.0-1.6
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne29111838%81.385.4-4.1
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv2882029%85.290.0-4.7
17 Virtus Bologna2872125%79.484.9-5.5
18 Alba Berlin2842414%78.891.4-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1417292383
Paris2225142081
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.