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Parnu vs Arges Pitesti Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-70
16-18 21-21 23-15 13-16
Position#35
Record0-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game80.0
Parnu 🏆
vs
Position#19
Record1-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game69.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4· Parnu Spordihall
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arges Pitesti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Rapla
#3
L
59-68
59
68
-9
48avg 69
H17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
65-55
65
55
+10
59avg 69
A21/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
65-68
65
68
-3
58avg 69
H23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
66-82
66
82
-16
53avg 69
A25/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Arges Pitesti
#19
L
65-67
65
67
-2
54avg 69
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
77-53
77
53
+24
72avg 69
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 69
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Liepaja
#7
L
81-91
81
91
-10
70avg 69
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
72-89
72
89
-17
64avg 69
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
81avg 69
H26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-12
23-22
19-19
5-15
16-21
17-10
13-7
19-17
12-8
8-21
26-21
19-18
18-28
12-15
21-26
15-13
17-25
17-15
19-15
12-12
22-8
16-10
28-10
11-25
13-23
23-16
16-21
20-24
20-19
17-31
33-22
11-19
19-22
15-29
20-16
18-22
17-12
13-22
23-22
30-22
144.0Avg total
70.5Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.780.0149.7-10.30%
Season at home (2)72.086.5158.5-14.50%
Season away (1)65.067.0132.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)70.573.5144.0-3.030%
Last 5 (5)77.079.0156.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.080.6154.6-6.629%
vs Similar (8)77.874.4152.1+3.462%
vs Weaker (8)70.465.6136.0+4.850%
This opponent (Arges Pitesti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arges PitestiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPitesti
Date
Competition
Voluntari
#3
L
58-71
58
71
-13
47avg 67
H17/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#7
W
81-72
81
72
+9
79avg 67
A21/09
Divizia A
Valcea
#4
L
63-68
63
68
-5
38avg 67
A28/09
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#13
L
77-83
77
83
-6
63avg 67
H05/10
Divizia A
Parnu
#35
W
67-65
67
65
+2
62avg 67
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cluj-Napoca
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
53avg 67
A12/10
Divizia A
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
62-65
62
65
-3
51avg 67
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSM Oradea
#1
L
67-76
67
76
-9
56avg 67
H19/10
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
67avg 67
A23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Voluntari
#5
L
59-67
59
67
-8
54avg 67
A26/10
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-10
18-18
14-27
10-16
19-12
20-19
19-22
23-19
20-27
21-11
11-15
11-15
16-18
17-20
23-25
21-20
25-17
15-17
15-19
12-12
6-16
16-26
23-18
22-21
15-19
10-13
19-19
18-14
14-22
20-13
21-18
12-23
18-14
24-24
12-23
20-17
11-17
19-17
9-13
20-20
140.1Avg total
67.5Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.769.3137.0-1.733%
Season at home (1)67.065.0132.0+2.0100%
Season away (2)68.071.5139.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)67.572.6140.1-5.120%
Last 5 (5)65.873.4139.2-7.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)70.880.5151.3-9.728%
vs Similar (9)72.874.3147.1-1.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)75.073.3148.3+1.767%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
ParnuArges Pitesti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A21/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
20-29
20
29
-9
H23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A25/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Arges Pitesti
#19
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Liepaja
#7
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
69.6Avg total
32.7Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.035.971.9+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.834.770.5+1.247%-
Last 30 away (11)36.338.074.3-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)32.736.969.6-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.473.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.341.078.3-3.721%-
vs Similar (8)36.832.869.5+4.062%-
vs Weaker (8)33.030.163.1+2.962%-
This opponent (Arges Pitesti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arges PitestiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Voluntari
#3
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H17/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#7
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A21/09
Divizia A
Valcea
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A28/09
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#13
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H05/10
Divizia A
Parnu
#35
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cluj-Napoca
#2
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A12/10
Divizia A
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSM Oradea
#1
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H19/10
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Voluntari
#5
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A26/10
Divizia A
69.0Avg total
34.0Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.638.875.4-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.736.975.6+1.858%-
Last 30 away (18)35.240.175.3-4.828%-
Last 10 (10)34.035.069.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)30.636.266.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.540.577.0-4.028%-
vs Similar (9)36.636.973.4-0.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)37.334.371.7+3.067%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.416.2
50.0%
52.6%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.8
29.4%
34.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.014.6
76.8%
72.6%14.6
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Arges Pitestitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arges Pitesti: 65.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.416.3
43.6%
52.6%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.1
33.3%
34.0%21.3
🏀 Free throws17.411.6
66.7%
72.6%11.6
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
WLLLWLLLWL
Arges Pitesti
LLLLLWLLWL
#35
League position
#19
-3.1
Net rating
-7.8
102.5
Offensive rating
97.8
105.5
Defensive rating
105.6
47.4%
Effective FG%
45.9%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
15.7%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.4%
3-point %
33.3%
61.3%
Assist %
61.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 97.8Defence105.5 · 105.6Shooting47.4% · 45.9%3-point %29.4% · 33.3%Ball care16.7% · 15.7%Off. rebounds28.4% · 27.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Parnu   ■ Arges Pitesti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Parnu wins
1
Arges Pitesti wins
DateGameScore
09/10/24Arges Pitesti v Parnu67-65
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24HValmiera Glass Via83-78
23/10/24HSpojnia Stargard72-89
19/10/24HBK Liepaja81-91
16/10/24HCSM Oradea72-84
12/10/24HLatvijas Universitate77-53
09/10/24AArges Pitesti65-67
25/05/24ARapla66-82
23/05/24HRapla65-68
21/05/24ARapla65-55
17/05/24HRapla59-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24AVoluntari59-67
23/10/24ACSM Oradea74-78
19/10/24HCSM Oradea67-76
16/10/24ASpojnia Stargard62-65
12/10/24ACluj-Napoca67-81
09/10/24HParnu67-65
05/10/24HBC Steaua Bucuresti77-83
28/09/24AValcea63-68
21/09/24ASCM Timisoara81-72
17/05/24HVoluntari58-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.772.065.0
Allowed / game80.086.567.0
Point differential-10.3-14.5-2.0
Avg total149.7158.5132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arges Pitesti
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game67.767.068.0
Allowed / game69.365.071.5
Point differential-1.7+2.0-3.5
Avg total137.0132.0139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao550100%87.259.6+27.6
2 Sassari440100%85.863.0+22.8
3 Tofas330100%99.080.0+19.0
4 Cholet440100%93.875.0+18.8
5 BC Kalev/Cramo440100%81.266.8+14.5
6 Ludwigsburg330100%78.765.3+13.3
7 PAOK330100%81.768.7+13.0
8 CSM Oradea330100%79.773.7+6.0
9 Dijon54180%97.069.6+27.4
10 Maroussi54180%90.877.0+13.8
11 Anwil Wloclawek32167%91.067.7+23.3
12 Basket Zaragoza32167%92.785.7+7.0
13 Spojnia Stargard32167%76.370.3+6.0
14 Spirou Charleroi64267%79.575.2+4.3
15 Levice32167%80.776.7+4.0
16 FC Porto32167%75.772.7+3.0
17 BC Prievidza64267%86.886.0+0.8
18 Bursaspor32167%82.782.7+0.0
19 Fribourg Olympic42250%87.079.5+7.5
20 Le Portel42250%75.269.0+6.2
21 Alba Fehervar63350%90.792.7-2.0
22 Anorthosis52340%79.282.0-2.8
23 Basketball Braunschweig31233%91.085.3+5.7
24 Arges Pitesti31233%67.769.3-1.7
25 Sporting CP62433%69.775.2-5.5
26 Antwerp Giants31233%78.784.3-5.7
27 Limburg31233%77.083.0-6.0
28 Keravnos31233%83.091.7-8.7
29 Norrkoping31233%79.788.7-9.0
30 AEK Larnaca31233%70.086.0-16.0
31 Caledonia Gladiators31233%65.384.0-18.7
32 BC Dnipro72529%66.485.3-18.9
33 Kutaisi41325%79.087.8-8.8
34 CSM Constanta51420%72.487.8-15.4
35 Sabah Baku4040%72.279.0-6.8
36 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
37 Szolnoki Olaj3030%76.386.3-10.0
38 Parnu3030%69.780.0-10.3
39 Rilski Sportist4040%73.090.0-17.0
40 Trepca3030%68.789.3-20.7
41 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
42 Balkan3030%67.790.0-22.3
43 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu1621231373
Arges Pitesti1821151670
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