PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Parnu vs Keila KK Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 76-72
21-14 20-27 13-15 22-16
Position#9
Record4-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game79.1
Parnu 🏆
vs
Position#12
Record3-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game98.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall
Other2025
Meetings · Parnu v Keila KK
10 Oct 2026
PAR70
KEIL75
27 Dec 2025
PAR76
KEIL72
25 Jan 2025
PAR91
KEIL82
02 May 2024
PAR87
KEIL67
28 Apr 2024
PAR60
KEIL53
24 Apr 2024
PAR79
KEIL71
27 Sep 2023
PAR83
KEIL66
18 Jan 2023
PAR89
KEIL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#8
L
60-71
60
71
-11
37avg 70
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 70
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
71-83
71
83
-12
58avg 70
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
62-78
62
78
-16
53avg 70
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 70
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
90-83
90
83
+7
93avg 70
A23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
97-70
97
70
+27
94avg 70
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
71avg 70
A13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
73-82
73
82
-9
58avg 70
H17/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
81-64
81
64
+17
68avg 70
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
23-17
14-17
9-19
26-28
10-17
18-21
24-20
13-22
27-24
15-20
16-17
15-19
16-22
18-19
13-18
17-13
14-21
21-24
26-28
26-20
22-24
24-21
18-18
16-19
38-17
22-24
21-10
24-16
22-23
14-29
20-22
11-22
20-22
20-19
22-19
22-17
24-15
16-4
19-28
156.3Avg total
77.0Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.679.1157.7-0.533%
Season at home (4)72.282.2154.5-10.00%
Season away (8)81.877.5159.2+4.250%
Last 10 (10)77.079.3156.3-2.330%
Last 5 (5)84.277.8162.0+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)76.990.8167.7-13.816%
vs Similar (5)71.879.0150.8-7.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)92.275.3167.5+16.8100%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#8
L
74-90
74
90
-16
55avg 65
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
70-117
70
117
-47
47avg 65
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
96-90
96
90
+6
86avg 65
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
82-110
82
110
-28
70avg 65
A12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
80-105
80
105
-25
63avg 65
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
81-86
81
86
-5
66avg 65
A21/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
70-97
70
97
-27
49avg 65
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
103-75
103
75
+28
101avg 65
A09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
93-117
93
117
-24
76avg 65
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
82-77
82
77
+5
71avg 65
H16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
21-17
9-18
16-26
25-20
13-31
15-33
17-33
28-19
19-20
29-29
20-22
11-27
27-24
23-29
21-30
14-31
21-20
15-37
30-17
25-21
19-22
16-20
21-23
19-16
17-38
24-22
10-21
31-20
26-20
19-20
27-15
21-24
20-35
19-22
33-36
23-15
21-23
21-16
17-23
179.5Avg total
83.1Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.498.0179.4-16.621%
Season at home (6)80.291.3171.5-11.233%
Season away (8)82.4103.0185.4-20.612%
Last 10 (10)83.196.4179.5-13.330%
Last 5 (5)85.890.4176.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)76.396.5172.8-20.28%
vs Similar (5)89.881.0170.8+8.880%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.4-3.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.4-3.4
ParnuKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H17/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
79.6Avg total
40.0Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.243.382.5-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.544.784.2-5.215%-
Last 30 away (17)38.942.281.1-3.241%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.679.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.084.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.846.884.6-9.111%-
vs Similar (5)33.638.872.4-5.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)48.335.784.0+12.7100%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A21/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
90.1Avg total
42.9Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.547.888.3-7.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.344.185.4-2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)39.950.990.8-11.119%-
Last 10 (10)42.947.290.1-4.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.446.891.2-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.848.987.6-10.124%-
vs Similar (5)49.442.291.6+7.2100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.4
48.9%
53.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.2
31.8%
32.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.614.2
62.8%
69.8%14.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.922.8
51.9%
53.1%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.2
29.8%
32.4%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.115.1
65.4%
69.8%15.1
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
WLLWWLLLLL
Keila KK
WLWLLLLWLL
#9
League position
#12
-4.1
Net rating
-15.9
99.9
Offensive rating
100.2
104.0
Defensive rating
116.1
48.4%
Effective FG%
49.3%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
17.7%
Turnover %
15.5%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.8%
3-point %
29.8%
59.8%
Assist %
42.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 100.2Defence104.0 · 116.1Shooting48.4% · 49.3%3-point %31.8% · 29.8%Ball care17.7% · 15.5%Off. rebounds27.3% · 22.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Parnu   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Parnu wins
2
Keila KK wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Keila KK v Parnu70-97
25/01/25Parnu v Keila KK91-82
28/12/24Keila KK v Parnu68-98
02/05/24Parnu v Keila KK87-67
01/05/24Keila KK v Parnu80-79 OT
28/04/24Parnu v Keila KK60-53
26/04/24Keila KK v Parnu93-69
24/04/24Parnu v Keila KK79-71
26/01/24Keila KK v Parnu88-93
27/09/23Parnu v Keila KK83-66
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AKeila Coolbet81-64
17/12/25HVentspils73-82
13/12/25AVEF Riga80-90
06/12/25AKeila KK97-70
23/11/25ABK Liepaja90-83
15/11/25ATal Tech78-86
08/11/25HValmiera Glass Via62-78
01/11/25ATartu Ulikool71-83
25/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo78-86
18/10/25ABK Ogre60-71
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/25HViimsi82-77
12/12/25AVentspils93-117
09/12/25ALatvijas Universitate103-75
06/12/25HParnu70-97
21/11/25AValmiera Glass Via81-86
15/11/25HVEF Riga80-105
12/11/25ATal Tech82-110
04/11/25HKeila Coolbet96-90
01/11/25ABC Kalev/Cramo70-117
25/10/25HBK Ogre74-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW33%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game78.672.281.8
Allowed / game79.182.277.5
Point differential-0.5-10.0+4.2
Avg total157.7154.5159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW21%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %21%33%12%
Points / game81.480.282.4
Allowed / game98.091.3103.0
Point differential-16.6-11.2-20.6
Avg total179.4171.5185.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli1514193%93.374.9+18.4
2 Tartu Ulikool1312192%85.579.2+6.2
3 VEF Riga1613381%90.777.7+13.0
4 Ventspils1511473%91.481.9+9.5
5 Tal Tech149564%85.481.6+3.8
6 BC Kalev/Cramo138562%95.082.8+12.2
7 Valmiera Glass Via159660%86.779.5+7.1
8 BK Ogre157847%79.778.3+1.4
9 Parnu124833%78.679.1-0.5
10 BK Liepaja1431121%78.188.2-10.1
11 Viimsi1431121%75.889.8-14.0
12 Keila KK1431121%81.498.0-16.6
13 Keila Coolbet1421214%76.992.1-15.2
14 Latvijas Universitate120120%74.796.1-21.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu2120132276
Keila KK1427151672
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.