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Parnu vs Keila KK Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-71
22-20 19-9 22-21 16-21
Position#6
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Parnu 🏆
Estonia
vs
Position#5
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EstoniaKorvpalli MeistriliigaKorvpalli Meistriliiga - Quarter-finals· Parnu Spordihall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Parnu v Keila KK
10 Oct 2026
PAR70
KEIL75
27 Dec 2025
PAR76
KEIL72
25 Jan 2025
PAR91
KEIL82
02 May 2024
PAR87
KEIL67
28 Apr 2024
PAR60
KEIL53
24 Apr 2024
PAR79
KEIL71
27 Sep 2023
PAR83
KEIL66
18 Jan 2023
PAR89
KEIL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
93-63
93
63
+30
96avg 69
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
81avg 69
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
69-64
69
64
+5
57avg 69
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
56-61
56
61
-5
46avg 69
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 69
H07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 69
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
82-75
82
75
+7
85avg 69
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
74-101
74
101
-27
69avg 69
A23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 69
A29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
52avg 69
H01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
17-11
23-19
31-15
20-21
25-15
23-22
15-21
10-16
16-19
17-16
26-13
18-19
8-10
7-15
23-17
21-20
25-26
19-15
19-21
22-19
11-16
18-25
22-22
17-14
26-14
16-22
23-25
15-24
28-23
20-28
11-26
30-13
12-25
18-25
17-20
16-18
19-18
13-17
15-24
152.1Avg total
75.4Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.476.7152.1-1.350%
Last 5 (5)73.883.6157.4-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.284.1157.3-10.914%
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.177.3154.4-0.157%
vs Weaker (9)82.168.3150.4+13.878%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Parnu
#8
L
88-93
88
93
-5
77avg 68
H26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Newcastle Eagles
#7
L
84-92
84
92
-8
74avg 68
H31/01
ENBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
79-92
79
92
-13
66avg 68
A05/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
97-89
97
89
+8
89avg 68
H09/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
65-89
65
89
-24
44avg 68
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
64avg 68
H06/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
L
74-79
74
79
-5
56avg 68
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
59-113
59
113
-54
40avg 68
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
83-74
83
74
+9
79avg 68
H20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
77-80
77
80
-3
59avg 68
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-26
16-25
16-27
21-15
21-23
22-28
14-18
27-23
15-25
23-24
22-24
19-19
26-15
31-26
21-28
19-20
21-28
16-26
16-15
12-20
11-24
14-20
25-17
22-16
19-22
22-16
13-18
20-23
11-31
20-30
13-30
15-22
21-12
29-21
7-21
26-20
16-17
19-22
24-17
18-24
165.6Avg total
77.8Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.887.8165.6-10.020%
Last 5 (5)73.084.6157.6-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)77.492.9170.4-15.56%
vs Similar ◀ (6)86.886.7173.5+0.250%
vs Weaker (7)89.380.0169.3+9.386%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
ParnuKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
73.7Avg total
37.8Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.276.4-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.137.374.3-0.240%-
Last 30 away (15)39.239.278.4+0.053%-
Last 10 (10)37.835.973.7+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.876.0+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.042.079.0-5.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.636.974.4+0.757%-
vs Weaker (9)40.333.473.8+6.967%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#8
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Newcastle Eagles
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H31/01
ENBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A05/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H09/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H06/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
31-61
31
61
-30
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
86.9Avg total
40.8Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.846.187.0-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.645.887.4-4.229%-
Last 30 away (16)40.246.486.6-6.231%-
Last 10 (10)40.846.186.9-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.443.079.4-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.749.286.9-11.512%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.043.886.8-0.833%-
vs Weaker (7)46.640.787.3+5.971%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.8 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.5
53.9%
47.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.07.9
27.2%
31.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.514.1
72.3%
69.4%14.1
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.8 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.615.4
45.8%
47.8%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.9
32.5%
31.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.316.5
77.5%
69.4%16.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LLLWLWLWWW
Keila KK
LWLLLLWLLL
#6
League position
#5
-1.2
Net rating
-12.5
100.6
Offensive rating
99.9
101.8
Defensive rating
112.3
47.9%
Effective FG%
47.2%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
16.9%
Turnover %
15.4%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
20.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.2%
3-point %
32.5%
71.2%
Assist %
56.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 99.9Defence101.8 · 112.3Shooting47.9% · 47.2%3-point %27.2% · 32.5%Ball care16.9% · 15.4%Off. rebounds26.0% · 20.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Parnu   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Parnu wins
0
Keila KK wins
DateGameScore
26/01/24Keila KK v Parnu88-93
27/09/23Parnu v Keila KK83-66
18/01/23Parnu v Keila KK89-66
07/10/22Keila KK v Parnu90-92
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/24HBC Kalev/Cramo63-77
29/03/24ABC Kalev/Cramo77-83
23/03/24APrometey74-101
17/03/24ATallinna Kalev82-75
09/03/24HBK Ogre73-82
07/03/24HTartu Ulikool84-82
05/03/24AValmiera Glass Via56-61
02/03/24HRigas Zelli69-64
10/02/24HBK Liepaja83-79
07/02/24HLatvijas Universitate93-63
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HValmiera Glass Via77-80
20/03/24HTallinna Kalev83-74
17/03/24APrometey59-113
09/03/24ALatvijas Universitate74-79
06/03/24HVEF Riga72-77
02/03/24ABK Ogre65-89
09/02/24HBK Liepaja97-89
05/02/24ABC Kalev/Cramo79-92
31/01/24HNewcastle Eagles84-92
26/01/24HParnu88-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Keila KK
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo110100%97.049.0+48.0
2 Tallinna Kalev1010%49.097.0-48.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu2219221679
Keila KK209212171
← all games of the day
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