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Parnu vs Neftchi IK Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 73-61
19-19 21-17 17-13 16-12
Position#38
Record0-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game80.0
Parnu 🏆
vs
Neftchi IK
Position#39
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game67.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Final· Parnu Spordihall
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neftchi IK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
82avg 69
A03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
72-71
72
71
+1
63avg 69
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
62-72
62
72
-10
56avg 69
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
70-91
70
91
-21
56avg 69
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
75-83
75
83
-8
65avg 69
A07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
88-75
88
75
+13
91avg 69
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
71-80
71
80
-9
56avg 69
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
70avg 69
H23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
L
67-80
67
80
-13
58avg 69
A23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Liepaja
#10
W
76-73
76
73
+3
61avg 69
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
19-26
21-22
16-18
21-14
19-24
12-21
20-12
15-24
18-18
16-17
13-13
21-24
17-26
19-26
13-15
13-17
17-24
27-17
18-25
27-20
26-23
25-20
10-12
21-12
20-25
13-22
17-21
20-16
15-13
20-23
19-22
13-20
16-22
19-18
19-20
16-18
23-18
18-16
19-21
156.0Avg total
75.4Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)67.080.0147.0-13.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)67.080.0147.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)75.480.6156.0-5.230%
Last 5 (5)78.079.4157.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.684.1158.7-9.57%
vs Similar ◀ (5)73.278.2151.4-5.020%
vs Weaker (10)87.273.5160.7+13.7100%
This opponent (Neftchi IK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neftchi IKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIK
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
63-92
63
92
-29
49avg 80
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
95-84 OT
95
84
+11
94avg 80
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
W
104-86
104
86
+18
103avg 80
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 80
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
82-88
82
88
-6
79avg 80
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
L
86-95
86
95
-9
73avg 80
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#38
W
80-67
80
67
+13
76avg 80
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
20-20
13-21
16-24
16-20
19-22
32-19
14-20
20-24
27-19
33-17
24-26
26-26
21-23
30-22
15-16
22-23
17-19
17-20
26-26
28-20
15-27
25-22
18-26
20-13
22-16
18-19
20-19
171.6Avg total
86.0Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.067.0147.0+13.0100%
Season at home (1)80.067.0147.0+13.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (7)86.085.6171.6+0.457%
Last 5 (5)88.884.6173.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)85.085.4170.4-0.460%
vs Weaker (2)88.586.0174.5+2.550%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -3.4-3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -3.4-3.4
ParnuNeftchi IK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Liepaja
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
79.6Avg total
38.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.979.8-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.140.879.9-1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)40.639.179.7+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)38.641.079.6-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.476.8+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.641.979.5-4.327%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)34.837.672.4-2.840%-
vs Weaker (10)45.738.283.9+7.590%-
This opponent (Neftchi IK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neftchi IKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#38
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
83.7Avg total
41.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)41.042.783.7-1.729%-
Last 30 at home (4)41.841.883.5+0.025%-
Last 30 away (3)40.044.084.0-4.033%-
Last 10 (7)41.042.783.7-1.729%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.085.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.643.085.6-0.440%-
vs Weaker (2)37.042.079.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.5
48.8%
53.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.57.6
27.6%
32.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.613.6
63.0%
72.8%13.6
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neftchi IKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neftchi IK: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.7
54.3%
53.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.1
37.0%
32.5%30.4
🏀 Free throws20.315.3
75.4%
72.8%15.3
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
WLLLWLLLWL
Neftchi IK
WLLWWWL
#38
League position
#39
-5.6
Net rating
+0.5
85.1
Offensive rating
108.4
90.7
Defensive rating
107.8
45.8%
Effective FG%
54.8%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
13.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
27.6%
3-point %
37.0%
65.3%
Assist %
57.9%
30%
Form (last 10/7)
57%

Profile

Offence85.1 · 108.4Defence90.7 · 107.8Shooting45.8% · 54.8%3-point %27.6% · 37.0%Ball care13.3% · 15.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/7)30% · 57%
■ Parnu   ■ Neftchi IK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Parnu wins
1
Neftchi IK wins
DateGameScore
23/09/26Neftchi IK v Parnu80-67
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26HBK Liepaja76-73
23/09/26ANeftchi IK67-80
23/03/26HTartu Ulikool88-89 OT
20/03/26ATartu Ulikool71-80
11/03/26HViimsi88-75
07/03/26ARigas Zelli75-83
04/03/26HTartu Ulikool70-91
11/02/26HVEF Riga62-72
07/02/26HLatvijas Universitate72-71
03/02/26AValmiera Glass Via85-92
Neftchi IKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/26HParnu80-67
19/11/25HAbsheron Lions86-95
12/11/25ABC Kalev/Cramo82-88
05/11/25HTrefl Sopot92-87
29/10/25AAbsheron Lions104-86
21/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo95-84 OT
15/10/25ATrefl Sopot63-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game67.0-67.0
Allowed / game80.0-80.0
Point differential-13.0--13.0
Avg total147.0-147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Neftchi IK
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game67.067.0-
Point differential+13.0+13.0-
Avg total147.0147.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dinamo Bucharest110100%96.058.0+38.0
2 BC Prievidza110100%103.083.0+20.0
3 Neftchi IK110100%80.067.0+13.0
4 Parnu1010%67.080.0-13.0
5 Samobor1010%83.0103.0-20.0
6 Peja1010%58.096.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu1921171673
Neftchi IK1917131261
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