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Partizan vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 110-78
34-21 25-20 22-20 29-17
Position#3
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#13
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeABA LeagueRound 1· Beogradska arena
Domestic2023
Meetings · Partizan v Mornar Bar
23 Mar 2025
PAR89
MBA84
02 Oct 2023
PAR110
MBA78
29 Jan 2023
PAR92
MBA74
02 Apr 2022
PAR95
MBA83
20 Mar 2021
PAR83
MBA75
05 Jan 2019
PAR75
MBA73
23 Dec 2017
PAR93
MBA98
18 Dec 2016
PAR90
MBA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Partizan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PartizanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPartizan
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#8
W
81-79
81
79
+2
64avg 82
A18/05
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
112-83
112
83
+29
111avg 82
H22/05
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
85-70
85
70
+15
78avg 82
H28/05
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
83-95
83
95
-12
66avg 82
A30/05
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
90-71
90
71
+19
91avg 82
H06/06
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
W
88-80
88
80
+8
85avg 82
H13/06
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
W
87-78
87
78
+9
85avg 82
H15/06
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
78-91
78
91
-13
74avg 82
A18/06
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
56-68
56
68
-12
no box
A20/06
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
W
96-85
96
85
+11
94avg 82
H22/06
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
21-19
20-23
21-16
27-21
30-17
23-25
32-20
18-8
24-18
18-16
25-28
26-29
15-22
19-22
23-22
24-16
17-14
24-23
25-18
29-21
27-15
17-25
15-19
23-22
21-22
24-18
19-16
21-19
20-19
18-24
19-29
13-20
11-12
15-17
17-19
30-18
24-16
21-34
21-17
165.6Avg total
85.6Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.680.0165.6+5.670%
Last 5 (5)81.080.4161.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)90.075.0165.0+15.0100%
vs Similar (15)86.884.1170.9+2.760%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.779.7165.4+6.079%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
78-99
78
99
-21
65avg 71
A03/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
61avg 71
H11/04
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
L
76-101
76
101
-25
69avg 71
A15/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
65-87
65
87
-22
55avg 71
H20/04
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
74-86
74
86
-12
67avg 71
H23/04
ABA League
Tivat
#5
L
92-92
92
92
+0
no box
H25/04
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#5
W
99-91 OT
99
91
+8
no box
A28/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#4
L
71-109
71
109
-38
no box
A30/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#4
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
H03/05
Prva A Liga
Obradoiro CAB
#3
L
56-90
56
90
-34
48avg 71
H26/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
14-25
25-23
19-20
23-21
21-24
17-25
17-5
18-25
17-22
12-29
29-25
7-23
18-24
25-19
15-21
20-27
16-21
20-16
18-22
21-19
26-12
19-26
26-35
23-25
20-13
22-25
21-23
25-27
17-31
9-29
20-22
24-22
16-31
23-21
19-22
13-21
10-35
18-15
15-19
169.7Avg total
77.1Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.192.6169.7-15.520%
Last 5 (5)80.095.6175.6-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)81.094.6175.6-13.714%
vs Similar (7)87.187.3174.4-0.157%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Partizan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
PartizanMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PartizanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A18/05
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H22/05
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H28/05
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A30/05
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H06/06
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H13/06
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H15/06
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/06
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A20/06
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H22/06
ABA League
80.9Avg total
44.0Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.439.383.7+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.240.286.4+5.962%-
Last 30 away (14)42.438.180.6+4.364%-
Last 10 (10)44.036.980.9+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.836.880.6+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.034.082.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar (15)44.839.784.5+5.173%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.839.182.9+4.650%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A03/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/04
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A15/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H20/04
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H23/04
ABA League
Tivat
#5
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H25/04
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A28/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#4
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A30/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#4
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H03/05
Prva A Liga
Obradoiro CAB
#3
L
23-56
23
56
-33
H26/09
Champions League
84.8Avg total
36.9Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.647.688.2-7.127%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.047.288.2-6.231%-
Last 30 away (14)40.148.188.1-8.021%-
Last 10 (10)36.947.984.8-11.020%-
Last 5 (5)39.047.286.2-8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)39.747.887.5-8.124%-
vs Similar (7)45.045.790.7-0.743%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Partizan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Partizantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Partizan: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.118.5
61.5%
54.3%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.9
38.2%
34.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.618.1
80.1%
73.8%18.1
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.7
49.9%
54.3%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.9
34.0%
34.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.115.3
72.5%
73.8%15.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Partizan
WLLWWWLWWW
Mornar Bar
LLLWLLLLWL
#3
League position
#13
+8.5
Net rating
-15.1
115.9
Offensive rating
101.8
107.4
Defensive rating
116.9
59.6%
Effective FG%
50.3%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
16.2%
Turnover %
19.8%
20.4%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.2%
3-point %
34.0%
57.4%
Assist %
63.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 101.8Defence107.4 · 116.9Shooting59.6% · 50.3%3-point %38.2% · 34.0%Ball care16.2% · 19.8%Off. rebounds20.4% · 31.3%Free throws0.40 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Partizan   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Partizan wins
3
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
29/01/23Partizan v Mornar Bar92-74
24/10/22Mornar Bar v Partizan62-83
02/04/22Partizan v Mornar Bar95-83
18/12/21Mornar Bar v Partizan64-66
20/03/21Partizan v Mornar Bar83-75
05/12/20Mornar Bar v Partizan77-76 OT
05/01/19Partizan v Mornar Bar75-73
14/10/18Mornar Bar v Partizan97-94
20/09/18Mornar Bar v Partizan77-91
23/12/17Partizan v Mornar Bar93-98
Partizanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/06/23HCrvena zvezda96-85
20/06/23ACrvena zvezda56-68
18/06/23ACrvena zvezda78-91
15/06/23HCrvena zvezda87-78
13/06/23HCrvena zvezda88-80
06/06/23HCedevita Olimpija90-71
30/05/23ACedevita Olimpija83-95
28/05/23HCedevita Olimpija85-70
22/05/23HStudentski Centar112-83
18/05/23AStudentski Centar81-79
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/23HObradoiro CAB56-90
03/05/23HStudentski Centar82-96
30/04/23AStudentski Centar71-109
28/04/23ATivat99-91 OT
25/04/23HTivat92-92
23/04/23HIgokea74-86
20/04/23HCrvena zvezda65-87
15/04/23AFMP Beograd76-101
11/04/23HCedevita Olimpija78-75
03/04/23ABuducnost78-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Partizan
ABA League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost110100%103.073.0+30.0
2 Crvena zvezda110100%81.063.0+18.0
3 Borac Mozzart110100%86.079.0+7.0
4 Studentski Centar110100%76.072.0+4.0
5 Cedevita Olimpija110100%89.087.0+2.0
6 KK Krka Novo mesto110100%99.097.0+2.0
7 FMP Beograd1010%97.099.0-2.0
8 Mega Basket1010%87.089.0-2.0
9 Split1010%72.076.0-4.0
10 Cibona1010%79.086.0-7.0
11 Igokea1010%63.081.0-18.0
12 Zadar1010%73.0103.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Partizan34252229110
Mornar Bar2120201778
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