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Mornar Bar vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 65-87
7-23 18-24 25-19 15-21
Position#14
Record8-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game91.8
Mornar Bar
vs
Crvena zvezda 🏆
Position#2
Record21-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game73.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 23
Domestic2022
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda
20 Jan 2025
MBA69
CZV110
03 Mar 2024
MBA66
CZV102
20 Apr 2023
MBA65
CZV87
24 Oct 2021
MBA69
CZV77
24 Jan 2021
MBA78
CZV86
09 Feb 2019
MBA57
CZV90
25 Mar 2018
MBA88
CZV84
17 Dec 2017
MBA74
CZV82
31 Oct 2016
MBA59
CZV71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#8
L
74-94
74
94
-20
47avg 73
A05/02
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
93-84
93
84
+9
91avg 73
H10/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#6
W
103-98
103
98
+5
no box
H14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#1
L
80-100
80
100
-20
no box
A15/02
Montenegrin Cup
Mega Basket
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
72avg 73
A06/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
104-99
104
99
+5
102avg 73
H12/03
ABA League
Split
#10
L
80-91
80
91
-11
77avg 73
A17/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
78-99
78
99
-21
65avg 73
A03/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
61avg 73
H11/04
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
L
76-101
76
101
-25
69avg 73
A15/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
16-20
21-19
16-26
27-26
19-20
22-22
25-16
25-29
20-20
19-25
39-24
25-17
20-27
17-29
18-27
24-20
15-21
17-19
22-29
31-27
22-28
29-26
22-18
28-28
14-25
18-20
20-18
20-31
14-25
25-23
19-20
23-21
21-24
17-25
17-5
18-25
17-22
12-29
29-25
177.4Avg total
84.4Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.491.8176.2-7.333%
Season at home (11)88.591.4179.8-2.955%
Season away (13)81.092.1173.1-11.115%
Last 10 (10)84.493.0177.4-8.640%
Last 5 (5)83.293.0176.2-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)82.894.1176.9-11.324%
vs Similar (12)84.284.8169.0-0.750%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
73avg 77
A17/03
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#8
W
90-70
90
70
+20
84avg 77
H19/03
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 77
H23/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
92-73
92
73
+19
89avg 77
H29/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
76-60
76
60
+16
70avg 77
A31/03
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#6
W
87-78
87
78
+9
89avg 77
A03/04
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
W
87-79
87
79
+8
no box
H06/04
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
87-82
87
82
+5
80avg 77
A09/04
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
no box
H13/04
Euroleague
Split
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
82avg 77
H17/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
21-22
21-17
22-28
29-26
17-11
24-19
20-14
21-26
18-12
18-11
17-14
20-21
26-20
23-21
23-11
17-19
20-23
19-11
20-7
25-19
26-17
21-17
15-25
26-30
19-17
20-12
22-20
19-17
23-17
22-16
23-32
15-21
26-18
16-18
22-22
23-21
16-15
24-25
20-13
159.9Avg total
84.6Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.173.1160.2+14.088%
Season at home (13)89.672.0161.6+17.692%
Season away (11)84.274.5158.6+9.782%
Last 10 (10)84.675.3159.9+9.390%
Last 5 (5)87.080.4167.4+6.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.082.0165.0+1.050%
vs Similar (13)80.278.4158.6+1.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.876.4164.1+11.486%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
Mornar BarCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A05/02
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H10/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A15/02
Montenegrin Cup
Mega Basket
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A06/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H12/03
ABA League
Split
#10
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A17/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A03/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/04
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A15/04
ABA League
90.5Avg total
42.0Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.546.888.3-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.146.389.4-3.143%-
Last 30 away (16)40.047.287.2-7.219%-
Last 10 (10)42.048.590.5-6.510%-
Last 5 (5)41.651.292.8-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.348.488.6-8.124%-
vs Similar (12)42.844.487.2-1.642%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/03
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H19/03
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H23/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H29/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A31/03
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#6
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A03/04
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H06/04
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A09/04
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H13/04
Euroleague
Split
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H17/04
ABA League
81.2Avg total
42.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.681.6+4.370%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.939.885.6+6.186%-
Last 30 away (16)40.437.678.1+2.856%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.081.2+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.482.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.543.584.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (13)41.838.880.6+3.169%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.938.483.3+6.679%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.6
52.4%
55.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.0
31.1%
35.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.917.4
72.8%
75.8%17.4
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.5
56.6%
55.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.7
34.3%
35.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.7
75.1%
75.8%15.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LWLLWLLWWL
Crvena zvezda
WWWWWWWWWL
#14
League position
#2
-11.9
Net rating
+11.1
105.2
Offensive rating
114.6
117.1
Defensive rating
103.5
50.1%
Effective FG%
54.5%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.1%
3-point %
34.3%
58.7%
Assist %
68.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 114.6Defence117.1 · 103.5Shooting50.1% · 54.5%3-point %31.1% · 34.3%Ball care18.2% · 16.1%Off. rebounds32.6% · 30.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mornar Bar wins
9
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
10/12/22Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar93-77
30/01/22Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar81-74
24/10/21Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda69-77
24/01/21Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda78-86
18/10/20Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar93-62
09/02/19Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda57-90
17/11/18Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar104-71
02/04/18Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar88-69
25/03/18Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda88-84
18/03/18Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar91-63
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/23AFMP Beograd76-101
11/04/23HCedevita Olimpija78-75
03/04/23ABuducnost78-99
17/03/23ASplit80-91
12/03/23HBorac Mozzart104-99
06/03/23AMega Basket78-89
15/02/23ABuducnost80-100
14/02/23HStudentski Centar103-98
10/02/23HMZT Skopje93-84
05/02/23AStudentski Centar74-94
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/23HSplit83-74
13/04/23HFenerbahce91-89 OT
09/04/23ABorac Mozzart87-82
06/04/23HOlympiacos87-79
03/04/23AMega Basket87-78
31/03/23ALyon-Villeurbanne76-60
29/03/23HValencia92-73
23/03/23HBaskonia74-63
19/03/23HStudentski Centar90-70
17/03/23ABarcelona79-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeLWWWW55%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %33%55%15%
Points / game84.488.581.0
Allowed / game91.891.492.1
Point differential-7.3-2.9-11.1
Avg total176.2179.8173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%9%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLLWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %88%92%82%
Points / game87.189.684.2
Allowed / game73.172.074.5
Point differential+14.0+17.6+9.7
Avg total160.2161.6158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%62%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2523292%93.677.7+15.9
2 Crvena zvezda2421388%87.173.1+14.0
3 Buducnost2518772%87.277.8+9.5
4 Cedevita Olimpija2517868%85.479.4+6.0
5 FMP Beograd26141254%90.086.3+3.6
6 Mega Basket26121446%84.785.9-1.2
7 Zadar26111542%85.885.9-0.2
8 Studentski Centar26111542%84.288.5-4.3
9 Igokea25101540%80.384.6-4.3
10 Split26101638%82.586.4-4.0
11 Cibona2691735%79.789.9-10.2
12 Mornar Bar2481633%84.491.8-7.3
13 Borac Mozzart2671927%82.689.8-7.3
14 MZT Skopje2671927%80.389.1-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar718251565
Crvena zvezda2324192187
← all games of the day
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