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Pato vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 88-80
24-11 22-18 20-16 22-35
Position#12
Record5-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game86.6
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#11
Record8-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game76.6
BrazilNBB
Other2022-23
Meetings · Pato v Caxias do Sul
09 Jan 2026
PATO85
CAXI91
20 Jan 2025
PATO78
CAXI65
29 Dec 2023
PATO78
CAXI74
06 Feb 2023
PATO88
CAXI80
08 Apr 2022
PATO59
CAXI68
08 Jan 2021
PATO77
CAXI92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#7
L
85-96
85
96
-11
H19/12
NBB
Minas
#4
L
74-88
74
88
-14
H21/12
NBB
Brasilia
#15
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A03/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
110-109
110
109
+1
A05/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A08/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
69-96
69
96
-27
A10/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H14/01
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
75-87
75
87
-12
H17/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A31/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
L
93-100
93
100
-7
A02/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
26-25
18-25
18-24
21-21
9-25
27-18
17-24
13-24
13-20
17-21
23-14
22-27
27-36
32-22
29-24
17-14
20-27
18-24
20-24
18-28
18-17
14-31
19-20
16-17
19-22
17-24
17-21
20-18
20-24
21-28
14-17
15-25
25-20
18-24
24-19
22-23
21-26
26-28
24-23
171.4Avg total
79.8Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.986.6163.5-9.723%
Season at home (10)72.284.2156.4-12.020%
Season away (12)80.888.6169.4-7.825%
Last 10 (10)79.891.6171.4-11.810%
Last 5 (5)77.691.0168.6-13.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)73.985.8159.7-11.910%
vs Similar ◀ (6)75.379.0154.3-3.750%
vs Weaker (3)88.089.3177.3-1.367%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A03/12
NBB
Pato
#12
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H06/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
62-72
62
72
-10
H08/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#8
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A19/12
NBB
Cearense
#14
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A21/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H04/01
NBB
Bauru
#7
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H06/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A17/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
98-91
98
91
+7
A30/01
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A01/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
15-22
22-22
22-15
27-15
18-23
17-24
11-22
14-21
20-25
14-17
14-9
14-16
23-23
11-13
8-11
12-19
20-30
21-21
20-14
20-18
20-25
13-15
16-19
15-20
18-13
22-18
6-23
22-24
16-11
16-20
20-17
26-24
25-31
26-16
21-20
17-20
21-17
28-22
22-19
151.6Avg total
73.7Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.576.6151.1-2.242%
Season at home (9)70.873.8144.6-3.044%
Season away (10)77.879.2157.0-1.440%
Last 10 (10)73.777.9151.6-4.230%
Last 5 (5)78.078.4156.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)66.476.1142.6-9.712%
vs Similar ◀ (8)68.473.9142.2-5.538%
vs Weaker (6)85.078.5163.5+6.583%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
PatoCaxias do Sul
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#7
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H19/12
NBB
Minas
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H21/12
NBB
Brasilia
#15
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A03/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A05/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A10/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H14/01
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A31/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A02/02
NBB
84.6Avg total
38.5Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.841.678.3-4.820%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.438.673.9-3.229%-
Last 30 away (16)38.044.282.2-6.212%-
Last 10 (10)38.546.184.6-7.610%-
Last 5 (5)38.844.082.8-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)36.840.577.2-3.724%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)34.741.576.2-6.817%-
vs Weaker (3)41.049.390.3-8.30%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/12
NBB
Pato
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H06/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H08/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A19/12
NBB
Cearense
#14
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A21/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H04/01
NBB
Bauru
#7
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H06/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A17/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A30/01
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/02
NBB
80.9Avg total
38.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.638.374.0-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.635.971.5-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)35.740.776.4-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.742.280.9-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.680.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)33.037.770.7-4.725%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.136.271.4-1.150%-
vs Weaker (6)43.342.886.2+0.550%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pato wins
3
Caxias do Sul wins
DateGameScore
06/12/22Caxias do Sul v Pato73-84
08/04/22Pato v Caxias do Sul59-68
28/12/21Caxias do Sul v Pato80-67
07/04/21Caxias do Sul v Pato83-85 OT
08/01/21Pato v Caxias do Sul77-92
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/23ARio Claro93-100
31/01/23AFranca82-88
17/01/23HPaulistano75-87
14/01/23HSao Paulo69-84
10/01/23ASao Jose69-96
08/01/23AFlamengo75-89
05/01/23ACerrado110-109
03/01/23ABrasilia66-79
21/12/22HMinas74-88
19/12/22HBauru85-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/23ABrasilia88-78
30/01/23ACerrado98-91
17/01/23AUniao Corinthians74-72
06/01/23HBauru61-74
04/01/23HPinheiros69-77
21/12/22ACearense73-84
19/12/22AUnifacisa56-63
08/12/22HCorinthians Paulista62-72
06/12/22HPato73-84
03/12/22AFranca83-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %23%20%25%
Points / game76.972.280.8
Allowed / game86.684.288.6
Point differential-9.7-12.0-7.8
Avg total163.5156.4169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%10%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Caxias do Sul
NBB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW42%
HomeWLLLL44%
AwayLLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%44%40%
Points / game74.570.877.8
Allowed / game76.673.879.2
Point differential-2.2-3.0-1.4
Avg total151.1144.6157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca20200100%89.276.8+12.3
2 Flamengo2119290%84.068.4+15.6
3 Sao Paulo2217577%88.279.0+9.2
4 Minas1914574%85.577.8+7.7
5 Paulistano2113862%75.972.8+3.1
6 Pinheiros2113862%80.377.5+2.9
7 Bauru2012860%79.070.8+8.3
8 Corinthians Paulista2012860%80.779.1+1.6
9 Sao Jose22101245%80.181.9-1.8
10 Unifacisa2091145%78.781.7-3.0
11 Caxias do Sul1981142%74.576.6-2.2
12 Brasilia2261627%78.584.8-6.4
13 Uniao Corinthians1951426%78.683.1-4.4
14 Pato2251723%76.986.6-9.7
15 Cearense2251723%72.082.4-10.4
16 Rio Claro2041620%74.288.2-13.9
17 Cerrado2241818%84.591.9-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2422202288
Caxias do Sul1118163580
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