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Pato vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-84
16-17 19-22 17-24 17-21
Position#12
Record5-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Position#3
Record13-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game80.3
BrazilNBB
Other2022-23
Meetings · Pato v Sao Paulo
17 Oct 2024
PATO81
SAO 88
07 Feb 2024
PATO74
SAO 80
14 Jan 2023
PATO69
SAO 84
23 Mar 2022
PATO62
SAO 82
05 Dec 2020
PATO71
SAO 80
03 Feb 2020
PATO86
SAO 106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Paulo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#8
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A23/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
W
95-76
95
76
+19
H30/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A06/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
93-85
93
85
+8
A08/12
NBB
Bauru
#7
L
85-96
85
96
-11
H19/12
NBB
Minas
#4
L
74-88
74
88
-14
H21/12
NBB
Brasilia
#15
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A03/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
110-109
110
109
+1
A05/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A08/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
69-96
69
96
-27
A10/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
23-22
18-22
18-30
24-13
33-20
16-24
22-19
15-27
23-18
24-17
22-11
21-24
20-26
25-14
27-21
23-22
26-25
18-25
18-24
21-21
9-25
27-18
17-24
13-24
13-20
17-21
23-14
22-27
27-36
32-22
29-24
17-14
20-27
18-24
20-24
18-28
18-17
14-31
19-20
171.0Avg total
83.0Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.385.9162.2-9.628%
Season at home (8)72.283.9156.1-11.625%
Season away (10)79.587.5167.0-8.030%
Last 10 (10)83.088.0171.0-5.040%
Last 5 (5)78.892.2171.0-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)73.985.7159.6-11.811%
vs Similar (9)77.079.6156.6-2.656%
vs Weaker (2)85.584.0169.5+1.5100%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#14
W
111-81
111
81
+30
A08/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#8
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A10/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
94-101
94
101
-7
A15/12
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
96-89
96
89
+7
A17/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
66-91
66
91
-25
H20/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
96-68
96
68
+28
H22/12
NBB
Minas
#4
W
100-83
100
83
+17
H27/12
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H05/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
102-105 OT
102
105
-3
H07/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H10/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
29-18
31-15
25-23
23-18
13-16
26-9
20-30
17-17
27-31
24-28
26-25
28-24
31-17
21-20
16-28
21-27
11-17
16-23
18-24
28-26
20-11
27-14
21-17
25-22
18-21
30-18
27-22
15-27
26-15
22-20
14-16
24-26
26-20
12-24
27-19
26-19
19-24
32-10
15-23
176.1Avg total
91.6Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.780.3169.1+8.472%
Season at home (10)86.880.8167.6+6.070%
Season away (8)91.179.8170.9+11.475%
Last 10 (10)91.684.5176.1+7.160%
Last 5 (5)93.482.0175.4+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.092.5173.5-11.50%
vs Similar (10)77.975.9153.8+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)92.275.6167.9+16.688%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
PatoSao Paulo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#8
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H30/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A06/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A08/12
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H19/12
NBB
Minas
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H21/12
NBB
Brasilia
#15
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A03/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A05/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A10/01
NBB
85.7Avg total
40.6Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.140.776.8-4.623%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.137.872.9-2.636%-
Last 30 away (16)36.943.280.1-6.212%-
Last 10 (10)40.645.185.7-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.647.883.4-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.440.476.7-4.026%-
vs Similar (9)34.739.374.0-4.722%-
vs Weaker (2)40.049.589.5-9.50%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#14
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A08/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A10/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A15/12
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A17/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H20/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H22/12
NBB
Minas
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H27/12
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H05/01
NBB
Franca
#1
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H07/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H10/01
NBB
87.4Avg total
45.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.837.380.1+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.837.681.4+6.271%-
Last 30 away (16)41.937.078.9+4.969%-
Last 10 (10)45.342.187.4+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.287.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.045.284.2-6.225%-
vs Similar (10)38.635.273.8+3.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.436.682.9+9.894%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pato wins
6
Sao Paulo wins
DateGameScore
28/10/22Sao Paulo v Pato99-90 OT
23/03/22Pato v Sao Paulo62-82
12/01/22Sao Paulo v Pato86-77
01/03/21Sao Paulo v Pato84-85
05/12/20Pato v Sao Paulo71-80
03/02/20Pato v Sao Paulo86-106
29/12/19Sao Paulo v Pato87-63
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/23ASao Jose69-96
08/01/23AFlamengo75-89
05/01/23ACerrado110-109
03/01/23ABrasilia66-79
21/12/22HMinas74-88
19/12/22HBauru85-96
08/12/22AUniao Corinthians93-85
06/12/22ACaxias do Sul84-73
30/11/22HPinheiros95-76
23/11/22AUnifacisa79-89
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/23HRio Claro92-76
07/01/23HFranca102-105 OT
05/01/23HPaulistano77-78
27/12/22HMinas100-83
22/12/22HSao Jose96-68
20/12/22HFlamengo66-91
17/12/22ABrasilia96-89
15/12/22ACerrado94-101
10/12/22AUnifacisa82-73
08/12/22ACearense111-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL28%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayWLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %28%25%30%
Points / game76.372.279.5
Allowed / game85.983.987.5
Point differential-9.6-11.6-8.0
Avg total162.2156.1167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%12%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Sao Paulo
NBB 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW72%
HomeWWLLW70%
AwayWWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %72%70%75%
Points / game88.786.891.1
Allowed / game80.380.879.8
Point differential+8.4+6.0+11.4
Avg total169.1167.6170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%30%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca18180100%88.976.7+12.2
2 Flamengo1816289%83.168.4+14.7
3 Sao Paulo1813572%88.780.3+8.4
4 Minas1813572%84.977.2+7.7
5 Corinthians Paulista1711665%82.078.0+4.0
6 Paulistano1811761%74.871.9+2.9
7 Pinheiros1811761%78.877.2+1.6
8 Bauru179853%77.670.9+6.6
9 Unifacisa189950%78.781.4-2.7
10 Sao Jose1881044%79.481.2-1.8
11 Brasilia1861233%78.984.2-5.3
12 Caxias do Sul1651131%72.275.9-3.8
13 Cearense1851328%72.381.1-8.7
14 Pato1851328%76.385.9-9.6
15 Cerrado1841422%85.090.2-5.2
16 Uniao Corinthians1631319%76.283.2-7.0
17 Rio Claro1831517%72.987.5-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato1619171769
Sao Paulo1722242184
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