Pato vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2022

Tip-off: 22:30

Final 74-88

21-21 9-25 27-18 17-24

Position#12

Record4-9

FormLWWWL

Points / game75.3

Allowed / game83.5

Pato

Minas 🏆

Position#4

Record9-4

FormLWWLW

Points / game87.2

Allowed / game77.2

NBB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Pato v Minas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Minas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pato

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sao Paulo

90-99 OT

-9

A28/10

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

61-59

H31/10

NBB

Franca

70-94

-24

H05/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

68-96

-28

H18/11

NBB

Cearense

#14

60-80

-20

A21/11

NBB

Unifacisa

79-89

-10

A23/11

NBB

Pinheiros

95-76

+19

H30/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

84-73

+11

A06/12

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

93-85

A08/12

NBB

Bauru

85-96

-11

H19/12

NBB

21-23

17-20

27-19

17-20

16-13

15-23

16-8

14-15

12-17

19-27

17-20

22-30

19-17

15-23

13-29

21-27

8-16

18-22

11-15

23-27

20-15

23-22

18-22

18-30

24-13

33-20

16-24

22-19

15-27

23-18

24-17

22-11

21-24

20-26

25-14

27-21

23-22

26-25

18-25

18-24

163.2Avg total

78.5Scored

84.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	75.3	83.5	158.8	-8.2	31%
Season at home (7)	72.0	83.3	155.3	-11.3	29%
Season away (6)	79.2	83.7	162.8	-4.5	33%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	84.7	163.2	-6.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	83.8	171.0	+3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	74.9	86.7	161.6	-11.8	11%
vs Similar (10)	76.9	79.1	156.0	-2.2	60%
vs Weaker (1)	61.0	59.0	120.0	+2.0	100%

This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Minas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Uniao Corinthians

#13

81-75

H05/11

NBB

Cerrado

#17

112-102 OT

112

102

+10

A17/11

NBB

Brasilia

#15

94-74

+20

A19/11

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

104-53

104

+51

H23/11

NBB

Cearense

#14

79-71

H29/11

NBB

Paulistano

73-90

-17

A03/12

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

90-61

+29

H08/12

NBB

Bigua

#11

93-75

+18

A12/12

Champions League Americas

Quimsa

93-95

-2

H13/12

Champions League Americas

Corinthians Paulista

94-65

+29

A19/12

NBB

25-20

17-20

17-18

22-17

20-21

20-25

30-30

27-21

29-24

23-11

18-14

24-25

24-15

32-13

30-8

18-17

15-16

21-18

24-18

19-19

26-19

16-22

16-28

15-21

21-9

23-15

25-14

21-23

26-22

33-23

18-20

16-10

15-15

28-34

20-18

30-28

23-11

27-12

28-20

16-22

167.4Avg total

91.3Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	87.2	77.2	164.4	+9.9	69%
Season at home (7)	86.6	74.3	160.9	+12.3	71%
Season away (6)	87.8	80.7	168.5	+7.2	67%
Last 10 (10)	91.3	76.1	167.4	+15.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	88.6	77.2	165.8	+11.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	77.0	85.6	162.6	-8.6	14%
vs Similar (9)	75.0	77.7	152.7	-2.7	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	90.4	78.0	168.4	+12.4	86%

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PatoMinas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.3	38.3	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	18.8	37.1	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	22.0	39.7	-4.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.7	36.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.1	20.3	39.4	-1.3	42%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.4	20.9	37.3	-4.5	20%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	13.0	29.0	+3.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	17.6	36.9	+1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	17.2	39.6	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	15.2	37.4	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	17.1	36.4	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.6	18.4	38.9	+2.2	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	19.3	37.6	-1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	19.6	38.9	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.6	43.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	22.2	47.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.5	32%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.9	17.6	36.5	+1.3	70%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	23.0	38.0	-8.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.7	40.4	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	20.5	39.4	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	19.3	43.3	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	21.2	46.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.7	21.1	38.9	-3.4	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.2	21.1	37.3	-4.9	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.0	20.1	43.1	+2.9	57%	-

PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sao Paulo

38-43

-5

A28/10

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

31-36

-5

H31/10

NBB

Franca

31-44

-13

H05/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

34-40

-6

H18/11

NBB

Cearense

#14

26-38

-12

A21/11

NBB

Unifacisa

43-37

A23/11

NBB

Pinheiros

57-33

+24

H30/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

38-45

-7

A06/12

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

41-50

-9

A08/12

NBB

Bauru

49-47

H19/12

NBB

80.1Avg total

38.8Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	39.7	76.5	-3.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.6	38.1	74.7	-1.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.9	41.6	78.6	-4.7	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	41.3	80.1	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	42.4	88.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	37.8	40.6	78.4	-2.7	32%	-
vs Similar (10)	35.3	38.5	73.8	-3.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (1)	31.0	36.0	67.0	-5.0	0%	-

This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Uniao Corinthians

#13

42-40

H05/11

NBB

Cerrado

#17

40-46

-6

A17/11

NBB

Brasilia

#15

52-35

+17

A19/11

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

56-28

+28

H23/11

NBB

Cearense

#14

36-34

H29/11

NBB

Paulistano

42-41

A03/12

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

44-24

+20

H08/12

NBB

Bigua

#11

59-45

+14

A12/12

Champions League Americas

Quimsa

43-49

-6

H13/12

Champions League Americas

Corinthians Paulista

50-23

+27

A19/12

NBB

82.9Avg total

46.4Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	39.0	78.6	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	38.5	78.3	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	39.5	78.9	+0.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	36.5	82.9	+9.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	36.4	84.0	+11.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.1	40.9	78.0	-3.7	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.6	38.2	73.8	-2.7	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	43.6	38.5	82.1	+5.1	71%	-

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	21.1	39.3	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.4	22.2	39.7	-4.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.3	37.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.7	22.5	40.2	-4.8	32%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	8.0	24.0	+8.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	21.3	42.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	18.8	41.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.0	19.7	36.7	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.7	21.1	40.8	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.9	18.1	41.9	+5.8	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.8	41.7	-2.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	22.1	41.6	-2.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.9	22.7	41.6	-3.7	21%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.2	20.9	43.1	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	15.0	29.0	-1.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	21.1	42.1	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	20.4	41.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.3	23.1	44.4	-1.9	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.8	18.3	38.1	+1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.9	21.1	42.9	+0.8	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	42.9	81.0	-4.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.0	44.3	81.3	-7.3	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.3	41.4	80.6	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	41.7	80.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	41.4	83.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	36.6	45.2	81.8	-8.6	16%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.6	40.6	82.2	+1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	30.0	23.0	53.0	+7.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	40.1	82.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.6	38.5	80.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.6	41.7	84.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	39.1	82.5	+4.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	40.8	81.8	+0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	38.3	42.9	81.1	-4.6	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.4	39.4	78.9	+0.0	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	45.7	39.1	84.9	+6.6	93%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pato wins

Minas wins

Date	Game	Score
06/02/22	Pato v Minas	70-101
05/11/21	Minas v Pato	79-67
14/02/21	Pato v Minas	67-83
12/11/20	Minas v Pato	76-54
15/01/20	Minas v Pato	86-76
24/10/19	Pato v Minas	62-80

Patolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/12/22	H	Bauru	85-96
08/12/22	A	Uniao Corinthians	93-85
06/12/22	A	Caxias do Sul	84-73
30/11/22	H	Pinheiros	95-76
23/11/22	A	Unifacisa	79-89
21/11/22	A	Cearense	60-80
18/11/22	H	Corinthians Paulista	68-96
05/11/22	H	Franca	70-94
31/10/22	H	Rio Claro	61-59
28/10/22	A	Sao Paulo	90-99 OT

Minaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/12/22	A	Corinthians Paulista	94-65
13/12/22	H	Quimsa	93-95
12/12/22	A	Bigua	93-75
08/12/22	H	Rio Claro	90-61
03/12/22	A	Paulistano	73-90
29/11/22	H	Cearense	79-71
23/11/22	H	Sao Jose	104-53
19/11/22	A	Brasilia	94-74
17/11/22	A	Cerrado	112-102 OT
05/11/22	H	Uniao Corinthians	81-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	31%
Home	WLLWL	29%
Away	LLLWW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	31%	29%	33%
Points / game	75.3	72.0	79.2
Allowed / game	83.5	83.3	83.7
Point differential	-8.2	-11.3	-4.5
Avg total	158.8	155.3	162.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	14%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

Minas

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	69%
Home	WWWWW	71%
Away	WWWLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	69%	71%	67%
Points / game	87.2	86.6	87.8
Allowed / game	77.2	74.3	80.7
Point differential	+9.9	+12.3	+7.2
Avg total	164.4	160.9	168.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	46%	29%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	15%	14%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	13	13	0	100%	90.3	76.1	+14.2
2	Flamengo	13	12	1	92%	82.8	67.7	+15.2
3	Sao Paulo	13	10	3	77%	86.9	79.7	+7.2
4	Minas	13	9	4	69%	87.2	77.2	+9.9
5	Corinthians Paulista	13	9	4	69%	81.2	76.1	+5.2
6	Paulistano	14	9	5	64%	74.6	70.8	+3.8
7	Pinheiros	13	8	5	62%	81.7	80.2	+1.5
8	Bauru	12	7	5	58%	80.9	72.5	+8.4
9	Unifacisa	13	6	7	46%	76.6	81.7	-5.1
10	Caxias do Sul	13	5	8	38%	73.2	75.4	-2.2
11	Sao Jose	13	5	8	38%	77.4	82.3	-4.9
12	Brasilia	13	5	8	38%	76.3	82.1	-5.8
13	Pato	13	4	9	31%	75.3	83.5	-8.2
14	Uniao Corinthians	13	3	10	23%	78.2	84.8	-6.6
15	Cerrado	13	2	11	15%	83.2	91.6	-8.5
16	Rio Claro	13	2	11	15%	73.6	85.3	-11.7
17	Cearense	14	2	12	14%	70.0	81.4	-11.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pato	21	9	27	17	74
Minas	21	25	18	24	88

← all games of the day

Pato vs Minas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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