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Pato vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 89-60
23-11 25-15 21-19 20-15
Position#14
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game80.7
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#17
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game73.5
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pato v Cearense
14 Nov 2025
PATO82
CEAR79
22 Oct 2024
PATO89
CEAR60
29 Nov 2023
PATO75
CEAR76
02 Mar 2023
PATO82
CEAR87
01 Dec 2021
PATO66
CEAR63
14 Nov 2020
PATO69
CEAR76
26 Feb 2020
PATO84
CEAR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
100-87
100
87
+13
93avg 70
H28/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
83-79
83
79
+4
72avg 70
H30/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
57avg 70
H05/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 70
A10/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
85-68
85
68
+17
89avg 70
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
74-93
74
93
-19
66avg 70
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
62-71
62
71
-9
56avg 70
A27/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
67-68
67
68
-1
60avg 70
A12/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
89-86
89
86
+3
89avg 70
A14/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 70
H17/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-14
27-22
22-25
21-26
26-24
19-15
18-18
20-22
22-18
11-24
23-15
13-20
15-22
28-20
19-16
15-17
16-17
30-13
23-14
16-24
23-21
20-18
18-26
13-28
19-19
12-20
18-19
13-13
23-24
12-16
15-15
17-13
22-25
25-16
19-22
23-23
30-23
16-22
25-19
10-24
157.9Avg total
78.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.080.7159.7-1.733%
Season at home (1)81.088.0169.0-7.00%
Season away (2)78.077.0155.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)78.779.2157.9-0.550%
Last 5 (5)74.681.2155.8-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.481.9158.3-5.433%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.482.9160.3-5.421%
vs Weaker (7)84.772.0156.7+12.7100%
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
W
70-69 OT
70
69
+1
56avg 72
H06/04
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
68-69
68
69
-1
60avg 72
A11/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
84-83 OT
84
83
+1
82avg 72
A13/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
73-70
73
70
+3
69avg 72
A21/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
90-66
90
66
+24
96avg 72
H27/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
63avg 72
A03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
66-86
66
86
-20
52avg 72
H07/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
68-83
68
83
-15
57avg 72
H09/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
76-68
76
68
+8
66avg 72
H15/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
70-79
70
79
-9
65avg 72
H18/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
16-17
24-17
8-12
27-14
23-16
11-14
7-25
16-18
19-15
16-13
23-28
20-17
10-15
17-15
26-23
20-15
20-14
27-19
23-18
25-22
14-21
17-21
15-15
15-23
21-26
13-11
17-26
18-25
8-24
21-16
21-18
15-18
18-17
25-13
18-20
19-16
11-24
18-22
22-17
148.8Avg total
73.6Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.073.5146.5-0.550%
Season at home (2)73.073.5146.5-0.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.675.2148.8-1.650%
Last 5 (5)70.279.0149.2-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.081.1153.1-9.114%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.477.7156.1+0.754%
vs Weaker (9)82.775.2157.9+7.478%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -2.2-2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -2.2-2.2
PatoCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H28/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H30/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H05/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A10/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A27/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A14/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H17/10
NBB
81.9Avg total
42.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.379.0+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.838.579.2+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.540.178.6-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.381.9+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.881.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.641.680.1-3.044%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.140.078.1-1.936%-
vs Weaker (7)44.434.979.3+9.6100%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H06/04
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A11/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A13/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A21/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H27/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H07/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H09/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H18/10
NBB
71.8Avg total
34.7Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.238.775.9-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.538.373.8-2.841%-
Last 30 away (13)39.439.378.7+0.146%-
Last 10 (10)34.737.171.8-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.843.276.0-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.044.680.6-8.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.037.672.6-2.623%-
vs Weaker (9)41.435.076.4+6.489%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.1
50.7%
50.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.6
36.8%
33.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.012.1
71.2%
72.7%12.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.817.8
54.3%
50.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.1
31.8%
33.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws14.910.3
69.1%
72.7%10.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LWLLLWWLWW
Cearense
LWLLLWWWLW
#14
League position
#17
-1.0
Net rating
-1.1
107.9
Offensive rating
99.3
108.9
Defensive rating
100.4
52.6%
Effective FG%
51.2%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
17.5%
Turnover %
19.7%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.8%
3-point %
31.8%
56.7%
Assist %
53.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 99.3Defence108.9 · 100.4Shooting52.6% · 51.2%3-point %36.8% · 31.8%Ball care17.5% · 19.7%Off. rebounds28.4% · 24.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Pato   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pato wins
6
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Cearense v Pato90-69
29/11/23Pato v Cearense75-76
02/03/23Pato v Cearense82-87
21/11/22Cearense v Pato80-60
02/03/22Cearense v Pato78-84
01/12/21Pato v Cearense66-63
28/01/21Cearense v Pato68-71
14/11/20Pato v Cearense69-76
26/02/20Pato v Cearense84-72
18/10/19Cearense v Pato78-58
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/24HSao Paulo81-88
14/10/24ACorinthians Paulista89-86
12/10/24APinheiros67-68
27/04/24ABauru62-71
21/04/24HBauru74-93
12/04/24ACaxias do Sul85-68
10/04/24AUniao Corinthians77-75
05/04/24HMinas69-77
30/03/24HPinheiros83-79
28/03/24HCorinthians Paulista100-87
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/24HUniao Corinthians70-79
15/10/24HCaxias do Sul76-68
09/05/24HFlamengo68-83
07/05/24HFlamengo66-86
03/05/24AFlamengo71-79
27/04/24HSao Jose90-66
21/04/24ASao Jose73-70
13/04/24ACerrado84-83 OT
11/04/24ABrasilia68-69
06/04/24HVasco70-69 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game79.081.078.0
Allowed / game80.788.077.0
Point differential-1.7-7.0+1.0
Avg total159.7169.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cearense
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game73.073.0-
Allowed / game73.573.5-
Point differential-0.5-0.5-
Avg total146.5146.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo330100%81.359.7+21.7
2 Botafogo220100%76.570.0+6.5
3 Franca220100%80.575.0+5.5
4 Sao Paulo220100%85.080.5+4.5
5 Minas43175%80.873.2+7.5
6 Pinheiros32167%65.069.7-4.7
7 Paulistano21150%73.567.0+6.5
8 Caxias do Sul21150%74.569.5+5.0
9 Bauru21150%87.086.5+0.5
10 Cearense21150%73.073.5-0.5
11 Uniao Corinthians21150%75.076.5-1.5
12 Unifacisa21150%73.076.0-3.0
13 Mogi42250%68.579.5-11.0
14 Pato31233%79.080.7-1.7
15 Vasco41325%61.262.2-1.0
16 Corinthians Paulista2020%83.085.5-2.5
17 Brasilia3030%77.082.0-5.0
18 Sao Jose4040%64.077.8-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2325212089
Cearense1115191560
← all games of the day
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