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Pato vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 75-76
17-27 22-8 14-20 22-21
Position#17
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#3
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game79.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pato v Minas
27 Oct 2025
PATO75
MINA76
03 Apr 2025
PATO72
MINA75
05 Apr 2024
PATO69
MINA77
21 Dec 2022
PATO74
MINA88
06 Feb 2022
PATO70
MINA101
14 Feb 2021
PATO67
MINA83
24 Oct 2019
PATO62
MINA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
W
69-65
69
65
+4
62avg 73
A28/03
NBB
Minas
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
64avg 73
H03/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
59avg 73
H05/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
76-90
76
90
-14
67avg 73
A16/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
89-77
89
77
+12
88avg 73
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
91-96
91
96
-5
82avg 73
H24/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
65-84
65
84
-19
50avg 73
A29/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
82-101
82
101
-19
69avg 73
A01/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
63-70
63
70
-7
43avg 73
A21/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
88-92
88
92
-4
75avg 73
A23/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
23-17
16-19
11-10
15-21
17-12
20-17
20-25
11-20
16-17
13-18
27-21
21-27
14-27
27-18
14-18
25-23
17-23
30-16
17-15
18-29
31-22
18-18
24-27
11-23
20-25
19-17
15-19
24-31
27-24
11-20
20-26
18-16
12-15
14-23
19-16
19-26
32-22
24-26
13-18
158.8Avg total
76.2Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.581.0156.5-5.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)75.581.0156.5-5.50%
Last 10 (10)76.282.6158.8-6.420%
Last 5 (5)77.888.6166.4-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)80.089.8169.8-9.80%
vs Similar (12)82.980.1163.0+2.867%
vs Weaker (5)83.686.0169.6-2.440%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
W
74-59
74
59
+15
77avg 74
A23/05
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
73-69
73
69
+4
63avg 74
H26/05
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
70-65
70
65
+5
57avg 74
H28/05
NBB
Franca
#2
W
69-65
69
65
+4
54avg 74
A07/06
NBB
Franca
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
67avg 74
H12/06
NBB
Franca
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
54avg 74
H14/06
NBB
Franca
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
52avg 74
A18/06
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
83-81
83
81
+2
80avg 74
H18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
86avg 74
H20/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
75avg 74
H23/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
18-13
23-18
15-11
19-13
16-19
15-24
23-13
18-11
24-16
9-20
19-18
19-23
19-18
15-11
16-13
17-30
19-17
13-29
29-18
17-24
16-14
16-20
24-25
21-23
21-22
27-20
4-21
23-20
21-22
12-20
27-19
20-21
16-16
17-13
22-25
12-17
24-15
22-18
21-21
151.9Avg total
76.0Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.379.3162.7+4.0100%
Season at home (3)83.379.3162.7+4.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.075.9151.9+0.170%
Last 5 (5)79.281.4160.6-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)78.478.6157.0-0.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)80.270.8151.0+9.487%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
PatoMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/03
NBB
Minas
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H03/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H05/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A16/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H24/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A01/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A21/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A23/10
NBB
82.9Avg total
39.0Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.584.3-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.140.681.8+0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)42.244.286.4-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.982.9-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)42.446.689.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.244.584.8-4.323%-
vs Similar (12)42.239.281.4+2.967%-
vs Weaker (5)44.645.289.8-0.660%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A23/05
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H26/05
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H28/05
NBB
Franca
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A07/06
NBB
Franca
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H12/06
NBB
Franca
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H14/06
NBB
Franca
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A18/06
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H20/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H23/10
NBB
74.9Avg total
37.8Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.436.575.9+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.736.276.8+4.572%-
Last 30 away (12)37.437.074.4+0.433%-
Last 10 (10)37.837.174.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.877.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)39.440.479.9-1.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)39.335.374.7+4.061%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.517.0
50.7%
52.2%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.5
33.3%
32.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws12.69.5
75.4%
72.8%9.5
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.5
50.3%
52.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.67.8
26.4%
32.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.015.0
71.4%
72.8%15.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LLLLLWLLLW
Minas
WWWLLLWWWW
#17
League position
#3
-9.4
Net rating
+1.2
101.0
Offensive rating
103.5
110.5
Defensive rating
102.3
50.4%
Effective FG%
45.5%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.3%
3-point %
26.4%
56.4%
Assist %
57.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 103.5Defence110.5 · 102.3Shooting50.4% · 45.5%3-point %33.3% · 26.4%Ball care16.5% · 14.9%Off. rebounds22.3% · 33.3%Free throws0.19 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Pato   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pato wins
9
Minas wins
DateGameScore
03/04/25Pato v Minas72-75
05/12/24Minas v Pato97-70
05/04/24Pato v Minas69-77
22/12/23Minas v Pato84-75
31/03/23Minas v Pato82-90
21/12/22Pato v Minas74-88
06/02/22Pato v Minas70-101
05/11/21Minas v Pato79-67
14/02/21Pato v Minas67-83
12/11/20Minas v Pato76-54
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/25AUniao Corinthians88-92
21/10/25ACaxias do Sul63-70
01/05/25AFranca82-101
29/04/25AFranca65-84
24/04/25HFranca91-96
18/04/25ASao Jose89-77
16/04/25AMogi76-90
05/04/25HFranca67-76
03/04/25HMinas72-75
28/03/25ASao Paulo69-65
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/25HMogi79-71
20/10/25HSao Jose88-86 OT
18/10/25HCorinthians Paulista83-81
18/06/25AFranca73-86
14/06/25HFranca73-83
12/06/25HFranca78-94
07/06/25AFranca69-65
28/05/25HBauru70-65
26/05/25HBauru73-69
23/05/25ABauru74-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game75.5-75.5
Allowed / game81.0-81.0
Point differential-5.5--5.5
Avg total156.5-156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.383.3-
Allowed / game79.379.3-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total162.7162.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %33%33%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brasilia220100%93.065.5+27.5
2 Franca330100%87.766.0+21.7
3 Flamengo330100%94.776.3+18.3
4 Caxias do Sul110100%70.063.0+7.0
5 Minas330100%83.379.3+4.0
6 Uniao Corinthians110100%92.088.0+4.0
7 Pinheiros32167%80.077.7+2.3
8 Unifacisa32167%79.777.3+2.3
9 Cearense32167%81.786.7-5.0
10 Sao Jose21150%85.575.0+10.5
11 Corinthians Paulista21150%81.074.0+7.0
12 Mogi21150%87.081.5+5.5
13 Paulistano21150%67.565.0+2.5
14 Botafogo31233%79.081.7-2.7
15 Bauru41325%71.880.0-8.2
16 Pato2020%75.581.0-5.5
17 Vasco3030%78.085.7-7.7
18 Cruzeiro3030%70.389.7-19.3
19 Osasco3030%67.788.0-20.3
20 Rio Claro2020%71.598.5-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato1722142275
Minas278202176
← all games of the day
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