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Pato vs Uniao Corinthians Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 72-80
19-22 17-19 19-22 17-17
Position#17
Record5-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#12
Record9-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game81.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pato v Uniao Corinthians
12 Jan 2026
PATO72
UNIA80
22 Jan 2025
PATO81
UNIA74
27 Dec 2023
PATO79
UNIA63
22 Mar 2023
PATO66
UNIA68
06 Apr 2022
PATO90
UNIA89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Uniao Corinthians winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
68-87
68
87
-19
52avg 67
A19/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
57avg 67
A22/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
67-59
67
59
+8
55avg 67
H06/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
109-101 OT
109
101
+8
103avg 67
A09/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
61-69
61
69
-8
59avg 67
H15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
57avg 67
H18/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
82-67
82
67
+15
77avg 67
H20/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
69-84
69
84
-15
61avg 67
A23/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
67-94
67
94
-27
64avg 67
H29/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
78avg 67
H09/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
15-17
24-30
17-21
12-25
19-23
22-20
18-18
20-12
18-17
18-18
11-12
19-22
23-18
25-15
14-26
13-15
15-16
15-17
18-21
19-26
18-24
11-16
23-27
21-20
19-15
22-15
20-17
18-20
18-20
8-19
25-25
18-27
15-25
16-21
18-21
15-26
24-17
15-14
16-13
158.1Avg total
75.0Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)72.881.5154.2-8.825%
Season at home (10)72.177.6149.7-5.530%
Season away (10)73.485.4158.8-12.020%
Last 10 (10)75.083.1158.1-8.130%
Last 5 (5)74.885.8160.6-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)70.884.1154.8-13.35%
vs Similar (10)83.776.4160.1+7.380%
vs Weaker (1)76.090.0166.0-14.00%
This opponent (Uniao Corinthians) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Uniao CorinthiansBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCorinthians
Date
Competition
Osasco
#18
L
76-79
76
79
-3
71avg 72
A23/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
87-76
87
76
+11
84avg 72
H03/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
71-74
71
74
-3
66avg 72
H05/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
84-61
84
61
+23
81avg 72
A13/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
85-78
85
78
+7
85avg 72
A16/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
65-82
65
82
-17
56avg 72
A18/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
95-62
95
62
+33
95avg 72
H21/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 72
H23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
87-89
87
89
-2
83avg 72
A27/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
76-88
76
88
-12
67avg 72
A29/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-30
18-18
25-15
19-16
32-19
13-26
20-13
22-18
21-14
15-24
20-21
15-15
21-15
20-18
26-16
17-12
22-11
19-20
22-28
22-19
17-20
20-23
20-13
8-26
34-21
20-12
24-16
17-13
26-15
20-23
11-22
28-18
27-26
22-20
17-24
21-19
17-22
17-23
23-26
19-17
157.8Avg total
81.1Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.581.0159.5-2.547%
Season at home (8)83.875.2159.0+8.588%
Season away (11)74.785.2159.9-10.518%
Last 10 (10)81.176.7157.8+4.450%
Last 5 (5)81.679.8161.4+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.289.6164.8-14.59%
vs Similar (13)76.180.8156.9-4.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.074.5162.5+13.583%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
PatoUniao Corinthians
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A19/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A22/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H06/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A09/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H18/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H20/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A23/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H29/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H09/01
NBB
75.5Avg total
35.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.141.678.7-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.439.376.7-1.943%-
Last 30 away (16)36.843.780.5-6.925%-
Last 10 (10)35.140.475.5-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.044.081.0-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.541.877.4-6.321%-
vs Similar (10)40.340.080.3+0.360%-
vs Weaker (1)35.054.089.0-19.00%-
This opponent (Uniao Corinthians) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Uniao CorinthiansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osasco
#18
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A23/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H03/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H05/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A13/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A16/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A18/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H21/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A27/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A29/12
NBB
81.5Avg total
41.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.843.082.8-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.940.383.2+2.650%-
Last 30 away (18)37.844.782.5-6.928%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.081.5+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.085.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.445.584.9-6.218%-
vs Similar (13)38.142.380.4-4.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.539.784.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.915.6
47.4%
52.2%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.1
32.8%
32.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.112.7
70.2%
72.8%12.7
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Uniao Corinthianstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Uniao Corinthians: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.6
51.3%
52.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.9
34.0%
32.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.612.4
70.5%
72.8%12.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LLLWLLWWLL
Uniao Corinthians
LLWWLWWLWL
#17
League position
#12
-10.2
Net rating
-0.4
95.9
Offensive rating
103.7
106.1
Defensive rating
104.1
48.3%
Effective FG%
51.2%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
20.8%
Turnover %
17.2%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.8%
3-point %
34.0%
60.3%
Assist %
68.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 103.7Defence106.1 · 104.1Shooting48.3% · 51.2%3-point %32.8% · 34.0%Ball care20.8% · 17.2%Off. rebounds28.7% · 25.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Pato   ■ Uniao Corinthians
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pato wins
4
Uniao Corinthians wins
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HCaxias do Sul85-91 OT
29/12/25HPinheiros67-94
23/12/25ABrasilia69-84
20/12/25HOsasco82-67
18/12/25HFranca71-93
15/12/25HBauru61-69
09/12/25ARio Claro109-101 OT
06/12/25HPaulistano67-59
22/11/25ASao Jose71-86
19/11/25ACorinthians Paulista68-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25ACorinthians Paulista76-88
27/12/25ASao Jose87-89
23/12/25HUnifacisa85-78
21/12/25HCearense95-62
18/12/25AFlamengo65-82
16/12/25AVasco85-78
13/12/25ABotafogo84-61
05/12/25HMinas71-74
03/12/25HCruzeiro87-76
23/11/25AOsasco76-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLLWLL30%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %25%30%20%
Points / game72.872.173.4
Allowed / game81.577.685.4
Point differential-8.8-5.5-12.0
Avg total154.2149.7158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%10%10%
Uniao Corinthians
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL47%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %47%88%18%
Points / game78.583.874.7
Allowed / game81.075.285.2
Point differential-2.5+8.5-10.5
Avg total159.5159.0159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%25%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca2118386%88.273.6+14.7
2 Flamengo2118386%89.075.4+13.6
3 Pinheiros2017385%87.575.0+12.5
4 Minas2117481%86.778.6+8.1
5 Brasilia2015575%81.472.5+8.9
6 Corinthians Paulista2114767%83.277.6+5.7
7 Sao Jose2013765%81.277.5+3.8
8 Mogi2011955%76.869.3+7.5
9 Paulistano2011955%80.075.9+4.2
10 Unifacisa21111052%81.981.0+0.8
11 Bauru20101050%74.775.6-0.9
12 Caxias do Sul20101050%72.877.2-4.3
13 Uniao Corinthians1991047%78.581.0-2.5
14 Cruzeiro2061430%78.285.2-7.1
15 Pato2051525%72.881.5-8.8
16 Cearense2041620%77.888.7-10.8
17 Rio Claro2041620%76.088.1-12.1
18 Osasco2141719%75.787.3-11.6
19 Botafogo1931616%71.183.7-12.6
20 Vasco2021810%68.980.2-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato1917191772
Uniao Corinthians2219221780
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