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Corinthians Paulista vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 87-68
19-12 17-15 30-24 21-17
Position#6
Record6-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#17
Record2-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game79.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Wlamir Marques
Other2025-26
Meetings · Corinthians Paulista v Pato
19 Nov 2025
CORI87
PATO68
14 Oct 2024
CORI86
PATO89
16 Dec 2023
CORI85
PATO81
15 Feb 2023
CORI102
PATO78
28 Jan 2022
CORI58
PATO60
24 Apr 2021
CORI89
PATO84
14 Mar 2021
CORI91
PATO82
06 Mar 2020
CORI93
PATO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Corinthians Paulista winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
78avg 78
A15/05
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
78-80
78
80
-2
78avg 78
H18/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
81-83
81
83
-2
73avg 78
A18/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
81-65
81
65
+16
77avg 78
A21/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
81-64
81
64
+17
73avg 78
H29/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
77-103
77
103
-26
68avg 78
H31/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
90-75
90
75
+15
94avg 78
H03/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
98-82
98
82
+16
99avg 78
A05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
105-75
105
75
+30
106avg 78
A08/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
78-64
78
64
+14
84avg 78
H11/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
20-17
22-25
15-21
23-24
15-24
20-14
20-18
20-23
22-21
20-12
19-27
23-11
21-14
17-23
20-17
29-17
15-11
19-21
18-15
23-22
11-24
19-22
24-35
20-12
28-17
17-23
25-23
27-24
24-14
30-22
17-22
19-18
28-15
34-18
24-24
15-19
26-20
21-9
16-16
162.7Avg total
85.1Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.476.4162.8+10.075%
Season at home (4)81.576.5158.0+5.075%
Season away (4)91.276.2167.5+15.075%
Last 10 (10)85.177.6162.7+7.560%
Last 5 (5)89.679.8169.4+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.982.9167.7+2.043%
vs Similar (15)82.079.4161.4+2.653%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.975.2163.1+12.688%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
63-70
63
70
-7
43avg 71
A21/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
88-92
88
92
-4
75avg 71
A23/10
NBB
Minas
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
65avg 71
H27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
69-71
69
71
-2
55avg 71
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
70-65
70
65
+5
60avg 71
A04/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
75-82
75
82
-7
57avg 71
A07/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
63-101
63
101
-38
42avg 71
A09/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
62-77
62
77
-15
36avg 71
H12/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
82-79
82
79
+3
75avg 71
H14/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
58-86
58
86
-28
49avg 71
A17/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
12-15
14-23
19-16
19-26
32-22
24-26
13-18
17-27
22-8
14-20
22-21
18-20
16-25
13-12
22-14
22-19
11-20
20-8
17-18
16-20
14-26
16-16
29-20
16-24
14-24
17-24
16-29
20-15
14-18
15-17
13-27
21-19
26-18
12-13
23-29
13-32
19-15
10-18
16-21
150.4Avg total
70.5Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.579.9150.4-9.420%
Season at home (4)72.075.8147.8-3.825%
Season away (6)69.582.7152.2-13.217%
Last 10 (10)70.579.9150.4-9.420%
Last 5 (5)68.085.0153.0-17.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.986.0159.9-12.10%
vs Similar (13)80.578.0158.5+2.562%
vs Weaker (3)76.782.0158.7-5.333%
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
Corinthians PaulistaPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A15/05
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H18/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A18/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A21/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H29/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H31/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H03/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A08/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H11/11
NBB
80.3Avg total
43.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.037.280.2+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.237.681.8+6.671%-
Last 30 away (16)41.936.978.8+4.969%-
Last 10 (10)43.436.980.3+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.081.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)46.343.189.4+3.171%-
vs Similar (15)40.737.878.5+2.960%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.431.075.4+13.488%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A21/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A23/10
NBB
Minas
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A04/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A07/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A09/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/11
NBB
76.9Avg total
36.0Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.881.1-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.238.577.8+0.754%-
Last 30 away (17)39.444.383.7-4.935%-
Last 10 (10)36.040.976.9-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.642.276.8-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.342.479.6-5.129%-
vs Similar (13)40.840.280.9+0.654%-
vs Weaker (3)42.746.389.0-3.767%-
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.0
53.5%
52.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.4
36.5%
32.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.412.9
78.7%
72.8%12.9
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 69.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.417.4
46.5%
52.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.47.1
24.1%
32.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.113.2
72.9%
72.8%13.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Corinthians Paulista
WWWWLWWLLL
Pato
LWLLLWLLLL
#6
League position
#17
+9.9
Net rating
-13.0
110.5
Offensive rating
92.1
100.6
Defensive rating
105.1
54.0%
Effective FG%
42.0%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
18.3%
Turnover %
18.6%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.5%
3-point %
24.1%
74.7%
Assist %
51.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 92.1Defence100.6 · 105.1Shooting54.0% · 42.0%3-point %36.5% · 24.1%Ball care18.3% · 18.6%Off. rebounds30.8% · 30.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Corinthians Paulista   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Corinthians Paulista wins
3
Pato wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/25HSao Jose78-64
08/11/25AUnifacisa105-75
05/11/25ACearense98-82
03/11/25HBotafogo90-75
31/10/25HFlamengo77-103
29/10/25HVasco81-64
21/10/25ACruzeiro81-65
18/10/25AMinas81-83
18/05/25HFlamengo78-80
15/05/25AFlamengo82-85
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/25AMogi58-86
14/11/25HCearense82-79
12/11/25HUnifacisa62-77
09/11/25AFlamengo63-101
07/11/25ABotafogo75-82
04/11/25AVasco70-65
29/10/25HCruzeiro69-71
27/10/25HMinas75-76
23/10/25AUniao Corinthians88-92
21/10/25ACaxias do Sul63-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game86.481.591.2
Allowed / game76.476.576.2
Point differential+10.0+5.0+15.0
Avg total162.8158.0167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %20%25%17%
Points / game70.572.069.5
Allowed / game79.975.882.7
Point differential-9.4-3.8-13.2
Avg total150.4147.8152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo10100100%90.172.7+17.4
2 Minas109190%86.275.7+10.5
3 Mogi97278%82.465.1+17.3
4 Brasilia97278%83.269.6+13.7
5 Corinthians Paulista86275%86.476.4+10.0
6 Pinheiros86275%82.574.9+7.6
7 Franca107370%85.872.5+13.3
8 Unifacisa95456%78.977.4+1.4
9 Sao Jose95456%76.675.4+1.1
10 Paulistano105550%77.575.9+1.6
11 Bauru105550%71.372.3-1.0
12 Uniao Corinthians84450%76.283.9-7.6
13 Caxias do Sul73443%71.377.9-6.6
14 Cruzeiro103730%75.584.1-8.6
15 Cearense82625%78.886.4-7.6
16 Rio Claro92722%78.192.0-13.9
17 Pato102820%70.579.9-9.4
18 Botafogo102820%70.582.0-11.5
19 Osasco102820%75.688.4-12.8
20 Vasco100100%65.279.7-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Corinthians Paulista1917302187
Pato1215241768
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