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Pato vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 67-59
20-12 18-17 18-18 11-12
Position#17
Record2-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game81.0
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#7
Record8-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game76.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pato v Paulistano
21 Oct 2026
PATO74
PAUL80
06 Dec 2025
PATO67
PAUL59
17 Nov 2024
PATO66
PAUL65
09 Mar 2024
PATO83
PAUL73
18 Apr 2023
PATO82
PAUL70
17 Jan 2023
PATO75
PAUL87
30 Oct 2021
PATO55
PAUL68
02 Apr 2021
PATO49
PAUL87
17 Mar 2020
PATO v PAUL
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
65avg 69
H27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
69-71
69
71
-2
55avg 69
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
70-65
70
65
+5
60avg 69
A04/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
75-82
75
82
-7
57avg 69
A07/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
63-101
63
101
-38
42avg 69
A09/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
62-77
62
77
-15
36avg 69
H12/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
82-79
82
79
+3
75avg 69
H14/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
58-86
58
86
-28
49avg 69
A17/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
68-87
68
87
-19
52avg 69
A19/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
57avg 69
A22/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
22-8
14-20
22-21
18-20
16-25
13-12
22-14
22-19
11-20
20-8
17-18
16-20
14-26
16-16
29-20
16-24
14-24
17-24
16-29
20-15
14-18
15-17
13-27
21-19
26-18
12-13
23-29
13-32
19-15
10-18
16-21
12-19
15-17
24-30
17-21
12-25
19-23
22-20
18-18
150.3Avg total
69.3Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)70.381.0151.3-10.717%
Season at home (4)72.075.8147.8-3.825%
Season away (8)69.583.6153.1-14.112%
Last 10 (10)69.381.0150.3-11.720%
Last 5 (5)68.283.0151.2-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.186.1159.3-13.00%
vs Similar (12)79.777.3157.0+2.358%
vs Weaker (3)76.782.0158.7-5.333%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
54-71
54
71
-17
46avg 72
A30/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
80-71
80
71
+9
69avg 72
H04/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 72
H06/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
94-81
94
81
+13
92avg 72
A09/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
101-65
101
65
+36
99avg 72
H13/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
80-82
80
82
-2
69avg 72
H15/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
63-94
63
94
-31
50avg 72
A18/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
106-86
106
86
+20
108avg 72
A20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
77-66
77
66
+11
73avg 72
H23/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
101-77
101
77
+24
101avg 72
H04/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
18-20
14-14
9-17
18-15
19-13
17-26
26-17
18-12
23-18
26-22
14-24
23-17
24-29
19-18
28-17
28-17
23-19
19-17
31-12
15-21
19-23
29-25
17-13
18-28
24-25
13-23
8-18
29-11
23-18
28-26
26-31
26-13
14-16
20-13
17-24
28-19
28-20
22-21
23-17
160.6Avg total
83.7Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.576.0157.5+5.562%
Season at home (8)81.970.9152.8+11.075%
Season away (5)80.884.2165.0-3.440%
Last 10 (10)83.776.9160.6+6.870%
Last 5 (5)85.481.0166.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.875.0146.8-3.220%
vs Similar (16)71.977.2149.1-5.338%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)92.279.3171.6+12.967%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
PatoPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A04/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A07/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A09/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A19/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A22/11
NBB
75.1Avg total
33.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.542.180.7-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.938.877.7+0.145%-
Last 30 away (19)38.344.182.4-5.732%-
Last 10 (10)33.741.475.1-7.730%-
Last 5 (5)34.240.274.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.942.578.4-6.520%-
vs Similar (12)40.840.781.4+0.150%-
vs Weaker (3)42.746.389.0-3.767%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A30/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H04/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H06/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A09/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H13/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H15/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A18/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H04/12
NBB
80.5Avg total
43.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.977.6+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.237.878.0+2.556%-
Last 30 away (14)39.238.077.2+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)43.137.480.5+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.883.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.037.075.0+1.060%-
vs Similar (16)37.038.675.6-1.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.737.082.7+8.778%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.315.3
42.1%
52.2%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.98.2
27.4%
32.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.412.9
74.1%
72.8%12.9
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.8
50.4%
52.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.1
37.1%
32.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.215.0
78.1%
72.8%15.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LLLWLLLWLL
Paulistano
WWWLLWWWWL
#17
League position
#7
-16.1
Net rating
+9.7
90.7
Offensive rating
111.5
106.8
Defensive rating
101.9
41.7%
Effective FG%
52.6%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.4%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.4%
3-point %
37.1%
55.3%
Assist %
58.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.7 · 111.5Defence106.8 · 101.9Shooting41.7% · 52.6%3-point %27.4% · 37.1%Ball care19.0% · 17.4%Off. rebounds29.9% · 33.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Pato   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pato wins
5
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
26/03/25Paulistano v Pato77-94
17/11/24Pato v Paulistano66-65
09/03/24Pato v Paulistano83-73
22/11/23Paulistano v Pato79-68
23/04/23Paulistano v Pato92-78
21/04/23Paulistano v Pato90-57
18/04/23Pato v Paulistano82-70
17/01/23Pato v Paulistano75-87
24/10/22Paulistano v Pato76-69
26/01/22Paulistano v Pato82-86
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25ASao Jose71-86
19/11/25ACorinthians Paulista68-87
17/11/25AMogi58-86
14/11/25HCearense82-79
12/11/25HUnifacisa62-77
09/11/25AFlamengo63-101
07/11/25ABotafogo75-82
04/11/25AVasco70-65
29/10/25HCruzeiro69-71
27/10/25HMinas75-76
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HBotafogo101-77
23/11/25HCaxias do Sul77-66
20/11/25ACruzeiro106-86
18/11/25AMinas63-94
15/11/25HFlamengo80-82
13/11/25HUniao Corinthians101-65
09/11/25AOsasco94-81
06/11/25HPinheiros81-76
04/11/25HSao Jose80-71
30/10/25ABrasilia54-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %17%25%12%
Points / game70.372.069.5
Allowed / game81.075.883.6
Point differential-10.7-3.8-14.1
Avg total151.3147.8153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %62%75%40%
Points / game81.581.980.8
Allowed / game76.070.984.2
Point differential+5.5+11.0-3.4
Avg total157.5152.8165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%38%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1412286%87.673.8+13.8
2 Minas1412286%85.476.4+9.0
3 Brasilia1311285%84.972.2+12.7
4 Pinheiros119282%84.275.6+8.5
5 Franca1411379%86.973.7+13.2
6 Mogi129375%83.666.2+17.3
7 Corinthians Paulista118373%83.575.1+8.5
8 Paulistano138562%81.576.0+5.5
9 Sao Jose127558%79.278.2+1.1
10 Unifacisa126650%79.879.3+0.4
11 Caxias do Sul125742%71.778.2-6.6
12 Uniao Corinthians125742%76.283.4-7.2
13 Bauru135838%73.676.8-3.2
14 Osasco1441029%75.585.9-10.4
15 Cearense113827%80.186.4-6.3
16 Botafogo1331023%71.281.6-10.4
17 Rio Claro1331023%76.888.6-11.8
18 Cruzeiro1431121%76.486.7-10.4
19 Pato1221017%70.381.0-10.7
20 Vasco120120%66.080.2-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2018181167
Paulistano1217181259
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