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Pau-Orthez vs Le Mans Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game90.4
Pau-Orthez
France
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Le Mans
France
Position#3
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game87.9
FranceLNBRound 18· Palais des Sports de Pau
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v Le Mans
30 Jan 2027
POR v LMA
upcoming
17 Dec 2022
POR89
LMA85
30 Mar 2022
POR87
LMA77
28 Oct 2020
POR90
LMA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Le Mans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
W
81-72
81
72
+9
72avg 82
A15/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
86-73
86
73
+13
85avg 82
H18/06
Pro B
Nanterre
#5
L
64-78
64
78
-14
52avg 82
A26/09
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
61-89
61
89
-28
53avg 82
H03/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
78avg 82
A10/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
102-89
102
89
+13
96avg 82
H17/10
LNB
Limoges
#11
W
85-81
85
81
+4
73avg 82
H25/10
LNB
Le Mans
#3
L
97-106 OT
97
106
-9
86avg 82
A31/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
97-106
97
106
-9
no box
A07/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
H13/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
18-23
25-18
17-9
25-22
19-17
18-24
24-10
14-23
12-18
18-14
20-23
14-19
14-20
19-31
14-19
17-22
16-22
25-22
21-19
30-34
31-16
14-22
27-17
28-20
24-19
16-22
17-20
15-16
29-24
20-27
23-20
27-16
27-27
17-31
26-32
19-26
21-23
23-28
21-12
170.4Avg total
83.6Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.690.4174.0-6.825%
Season at home (4)83.087.0170.0-4.050%
Season away (4)84.293.8178.0-9.50%
Last 10 (10)83.686.8170.4-3.240%
Last 5 (5)93.094.2187.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)80.297.4177.6-17.20%
vs Similar (13)86.881.8168.6+5.177%
vs Weaker (12)86.877.9164.8+8.992%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#15
W
98-87
98
87
+11
90avg 81
A11/10
LNB
Rostock
#28
W
82-70
82
70
+12
73avg 81
H14/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#13
W
91-90
91
90
+1
91avg 81
H18/10
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
82avg 81
A21/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#10
W
97-72
97
72
+25
94avg 81
A24/10
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
70avg 81
H28/10
Eurocup
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
106-97 OT
106
97
+9
103avg 81
H31/10
LNB
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
71-65
71
65
+6
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
A08/11
LNB
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-33
25-18
25-16
24-20
19-18
32-16
20-18
11-18
26-28
22-24
26-20
17-18
22-16
21-22
28-14
13-14
16-19
27-28
27-10
27-15
19-21
21-27
27-17
16-25
16-15
24-29
27-20
20-23
18-27
10-13
19-9
24-16
20-19
32-17
18-22
24-11
18-25
27-20
24-16
19-19
168.0Avg total
89.4Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)98.687.9186.4+10.786%
Season at home (3)99.396.7196.0+2.767%
Season away (4)98.081.2179.2+16.8100%
Last 10 (10)89.478.6168.0+10.890%
Last 5 (5)88.480.2168.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.588.5167.0-10.00%
vs Similar (10)81.588.0169.5-6.520%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)93.881.4175.2+12.394%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +7.9+7.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +7.9+7.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
Pau-OrthezLe Mans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A15/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H18/06
Pro B
Nanterre
#5
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A26/09
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H03/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A10/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H17/10
LNB
Limoges
#11
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H25/10
LNB
Le Mans
#3
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A31/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A07/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H13/11
LNB
85.0Avg total
42.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.983.5-0.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.341.484.8+1.975%-
Last 30 away (14)39.742.482.1-2.743%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.985.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)50.244.294.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.443.682.0-5.240%-
vs Similar (13)44.044.288.2-0.254%-
vs Weaker (12)40.438.779.1+1.875%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A11/10
LNB
Rostock
#28
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H14/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#13
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H18/10
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A24/10
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H28/10
Eurocup
Pau-Orthez
#14
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H31/10
LNB
Rigas Zelli
#20
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A04/11
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A08/11
LNB
San Pablo Burgos
#30
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H11/11
Eurocup
87.4Avg total
43.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.386.7+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.043.287.2+0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.586.2-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.943.587.4+0.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.683.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.043.583.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (10)38.145.383.4-7.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.742.288.9+4.450%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.8
50.9%
55.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.2
28.7%
34.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.617.5
74.2%
74.2%17.5
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.5
55.1%
55.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.2
36.4%
34.3%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.215.3
72.2%
74.2%15.3
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
LLLWWLLLWW
Le Mans
WWWWLWWWWW
#14
League position
#3
-3.6
Net rating
+5.8
91.4
Offensive rating
98.7
95.1
Defensive rating
92.9
48.0%
Effective FG%
54.9%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.7%
3-point %
36.4%
65.2%
Assist %
57.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence91.4 · 98.7Defence95.1 · 92.9Shooting48.0% · 54.9%3-point %28.7% · 36.4%Ball care14.1% · 14.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ Le Mans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pau-Orthez wins
3
Le Mans wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26Le Mans v Pau-Orthez106-97 OT
28/01/23Le Mans v Pau-Orthez97-75
17/12/22Pau-Orthez v Le Mans89-85
30/03/22Pau-Orthez v Le Mans87-77
16/10/21Le Mans v Pau-Orthez100-106 OT
01/05/21Le Mans v Pau-Orthez88-78
28/10/20Pau-Orthez v Le Mans90-81 OT
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HStrasbourg84-89
07/11/26ALyon-Villeurbanne97-106
31/10/26ALe Mans97-106 OT
25/10/26HLimoges85-81
17/10/26HSaint Quentin102-89
10/10/26ACholet79-85
03/10/26HDijon61-89
26/09/26ANanterre64-78
18/06/26HPoitiers86-73
15/06/26APoitiers81-72
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos88-80
08/11/26AStrasbourg94-69
04/11/26ARigas Zelli71-65
31/10/26HPau-Orthez106-97 OT
28/10/26HHapoel Jerusalem83-90
24/10/26ABoulazac97-72
21/10/26ACedevita Olimpija84-66
18/10/26HJL Bourg91-90
14/10/26HRostock82-70
11/10/26ASaint Quentin98-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL25%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game83.683.084.2
Allowed / game90.487.093.8
Point differential-6.8-4.0-9.5
Avg total174.0170.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %12%0%25%
Le Mans
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%67%100%
Points / game98.699.398.0
Allowed / game87.996.781.2
Point differential+10.7+2.7+16.8
Avg total186.4196.0179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %29%33%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris98189%97.285.9+11.3
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone85362%93.683.8+9.9
7 Roanne85362%81.980.0+1.9
8 Strasbourg95456%82.087.1-5.1
9 Cholet94544%81.086.0-5.0
10 Boulazac83538%80.185.4-5.2
11 Limoges82625%85.990.0-4.1
12 Nancy82625%80.585.4-4.9
13 JL Bourg82625%87.192.1-5.0
14 Pau-Orthez82625%83.690.4-6.8
15 Saint Quentin92722%86.093.2-7.2
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque81712%79.189.5-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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