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Paulistano vs Pinheiros Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game73.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2026-27
Meetings · Paulistano v Pinheiros
05 Dec 2026
PAUL v PINH
upcoming
09 May 2026
PAUL74
PINH84
07 May 2026
PAUL68
PINH76
06 Nov 2025
PAUL81
PINH76
14 Oct 2024
PAUL80
PINH62
16 Feb 2024
PAUL80
PINH51
17 Nov 2022
PAUL62
PINH76
24 Mar 2022
PAUL93
PINH82
09 Jan 2021
PAUL68
PINH46
26 Mar 2020
PAUL v PINH
upcoming
23 Jan 2019
PAUL85
PINH91
12 Feb 2018
PAUL73
PINH72
10 Mar 2017
PAUL67
PINH74
05 Dec 2015
PAUL101
PINH77
26 Feb 2015
PAUL84
PINH68
15 Mar 2014
PAUL100
PINH81
06 Dec 2012
PAUL89
PINH88
19 Jan 2012
PAUL80
PINH90
18 Mar 2011
PAUL80
PINH88
12 May 2009
PAUL93
PINH96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pinheiros win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
92-101 OT
92
101
-9
77avg 72
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
54avg 72
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
59avg 72
H09/05
NBB
Pato
#15
W
80-74
80
74
+6
70avg 72
A21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
L
73-91
73
91
-18
50avg 72
A24/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
65-62
65
62
+3
48avg 72
H28/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
H30/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
63-71
63
71
-8
no box
A04/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
58-65
58
65
-7
no box
A07/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
A13/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
24-26
22-24
20-23
24-20
14-16
24-28
6-12
23-18
12-24
18-18
21-24
13-10
20-18
30-13
17-33
22-29
16-25
16-18
19-19
20-14
16-12
22-21
7-15
26-23
26-12
16-21
15-19
19-22
16-18
15-20
13-11
15-18
14-10
16-25
13-12
22-26
20-16
7-17
16-20
149.9Avg total
72.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.673.9143.4-4.343%
Season at home (2)74.068.5142.5+5.5100%
Season away (5)67.876.0143.8-8.220%
Last 10 (10)72.177.8149.9-5.730%
Last 5 (5)66.870.4137.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.882.0156.8-7.222%
vs Similar (10)83.681.0164.6+2.670%
vs Weaker (11)84.074.5158.5+9.573%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
94-92
94
92
+2
83avg 76
H04/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
69avg 76
A07/06
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
65-81
65
81
-16
49avg 76
A19/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
98-63
98
63
+35
102avg 76
A22/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
75-63
75
63
+12
68avg 76
H27/10
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
89-74
89
74
+15
74avg 76
A29/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
91-53
91
53
+38
no box
H02/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
103-87
103
87
+16
no box
H07/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
70-85
70
85
-15
no box
H09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
A12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
28-19
27-32
20-17
24-18
22-32
8-10
22-25
19-19
11-23
15-19
20-20
24-15
22-17
26-18
26-13
22-13
13-10
24-22
16-18
25-21
24-18
26-19
14-16
25-6
20-15
23-14
23-18
22-21
28-19
30-16
23-31
14-22
20-15
24-23
12-25
16-22
21-17
37-24
17-16
161.4Avg total
85.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.273.1158.4+12.175%
Season at home (4)84.872.0156.8+12.875%
Season away (4)85.874.2160.0+11.575%
Last 10 (10)85.276.2161.4+9.070%
Last 5 (5)88.875.6164.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)79.183.9163.0-4.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.474.4160.9+12.083%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
PaulistanoPinheiros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/05
NBB
Pato
#15
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A24/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H28/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H30/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A04/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A07/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A13/11
NBB
75.8Avg total
38.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.679.8+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.237.882.1+6.477%-
Last 30 away (17)38.839.278.0-0.541%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.375.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.273.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.940.979.8-2.033%-
vs Similar (10)43.038.381.3+4.760%-
vs Weaker (11)41.337.178.4+4.273%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H04/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A07/06
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A19/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A22/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H27/10
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A29/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H02/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H07/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/11
NBB
78.5Avg total
41.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.781.7+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.637.181.7+7.577%-
Last 30 away (17)41.740.081.7+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)41.936.678.5+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.278.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)42.643.986.4-1.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.137.280.3+5.965%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.416.9
49.1%
49.8%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.2
33.7%
31.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.111.9
73.9%
71.3%11.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.7
51.7%
49.8%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.1
34.4%
31.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.412.7
69.0%
71.3%12.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
LLLWWLWLLL
Pinheiros
WLWWWWWLLW
#13
League position
#3
+2.1
Net rating
+6.1
89.1
Offensive rating
94.5
87.0
Defensive rating
88.4
49.8%
Effective FG%
51.6%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.7%
3-point %
34.4%
49.4%
Assist %
53.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence89.1 · 94.5Defence87.0 · 88.4Shooting49.8% · 51.6%3-point %33.7% · 34.4%Ball care17.5% · 15.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Paulistano   ■ Pinheiros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Paulistano wins
4
Pinheiros wins
DateGameScore
09/05/26Paulistano v Pinheiros74-84
07/05/26Paulistano v Pinheiros68-76
04/05/26Pinheiros v Paulistano101-92 OT
19/02/26Pinheiros v Paulistano80-68
06/11/25Paulistano v Pinheiros81-76
05/02/25Pinheiros v Paulistano61-69
14/10/24Paulistano v Pinheiros80-62
16/02/24Paulistano v Pinheiros80-51
09/11/23Pinheiros v Paulistano68-72
14/02/23Pinheiros v Paulistano67-74
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ASao Jose65-79
07/11/26ACearense58-65
04/11/26AUnifacisa63-71
30/10/26HBauru83-75
28/10/26HFranca65-62
24/10/26ABrasilia73-91
21/10/26APato80-74
09/05/26HPinheiros74-84
07/05/26HPinheiros68-76
04/05/26APinheiros92-101 OT
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ACorinthians Paulista91-79
09/11/26HMogi70-85
07/11/26HSao Jose103-87
02/11/26HCaxias do Sul91-53
29/10/26AOsasco89-74
27/10/26HUniao Corinthians75-63
22/10/26ACearense98-63
19/10/26AUnifacisa65-81
07/06/26AFranca76-85
04/06/26HFranca94-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%100%20%
Points / game69.674.067.8
Allowed / game73.968.576.0
Point differential-4.3+5.5-8.2
Avg total143.4142.5143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pinheiros
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game85.284.885.8
Allowed / game73.172.074.2
Point differential+12.1+12.8+11.5
Avg total158.4156.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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