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Pinheiros vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 61-69
13-16 19-15 15-20 14-18
Position#5
Record12-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#12
Record11-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game75.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Poliesportivo Henrique Villaboim
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pinheiros v Paulistano
04 May 2026
PINH101
PAUL92
19 Feb 2026
PINH80
PAUL68
05 Feb 2025
PINH61
PAUL69
09 Nov 2023
PINH68
PAUL72
14 Feb 2023
PINH67
PAUL74
14 Dec 2021
PINH83
PAUL73
07 Apr 2021
PINH47
PAUL69
25 Nov 2019
PINH76
PAUL81
07 Nov 2018
PINH71
PAUL82
06 Dec 2017
PINH81
PAUL65
14 Dec 2016
PINH77
PAUL92
18 Feb 2016
PINH80
PAUL84
11 Dec 2014
PINH89
PAUL93
08 Jan 2014
PINH91
PAUL93
14 Feb 2013
PINH88
PAUL86
05 Apr 2012
PINH82
PAUL87
01 Feb 2011
PINH111
PAUL88
03 Feb 2009
PINH82
PAUL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pinheiros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
78-82
78
82
-4
72avg 66
H12/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
76-74
76
74
+2
66avg 66
H14/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
77-76
77
76
+1
62avg 66
A17/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
101-92 OT
101
92
+9
98avg 66
A21/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
48avg 66
A23/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
86-90
86
90
-4
66avg 66
A27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
75-63
75
63
+12
69avg 66
H09/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
87-70
87
70
+17
85avg 66
H11/01
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
65-86
65
86
-21
60avg 66
H18/01
NBB
Franca
#4
L
59-91
59
91
-32
49avg 66
A26/01
Super 8
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
18-18
18-22
22-13
14-20
21-16
22-17
19-21
13-21
23-27
23-21
18-7
25-23
22-17
14-18
21-24
30-22
8-19
17-24
18-15
16-22
18-19
25-21
27-28
20-10
24-18
12-14
19-21
27-15
25-24
17-19
18-12
25-24
14-26
19-26
7-10
14-25
14-21
16-23
15-22
158.1Avg total
77.7Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.275.0151.2+1.257%
Season at home (10)75.877.1152.9-1.350%
Season away (11)76.673.1149.7+3.564%
Last 10 (10)77.780.4158.1-2.750%
Last 5 (5)74.480.0154.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)65.374.6139.9-9.222%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.677.9154.5-1.342%
vs Weaker (8)79.171.2150.4+7.988%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
63avg 71
H04/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
78-65
78
65
+13
73avg 71
H10/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
82-72
82
72
+10
83avg 71
H12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
102-87
102
87
+15
105avg 71
A18/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
73avg 71
A20/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
63avg 71
H23/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
76avg 71
H28/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
76-63
76
63
+13
73avg 71
H10/01
NBB
Franca
#2
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
79avg 71
A18/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
85-73
85
73
+12
85avg 71
A20/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
12-16
23-23
19-22
16-15
14-16
23-15
25-19
20-17
17-19
20-17
25-19
32-21
22-27
24-22
24-17
27-24
20-18
20-21
15-23
18-30
27-18
10-27
20-14
24-15
19-29
21-18
16-14
25-9
14-17
19-17
18-20
20-22
18-21
22-20
17-14
21-18
29-12
22-26
13-17
158.7Avg total
81.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.575.3153.8+3.152%
Season at home (11)78.875.5154.4+3.355%
Season away (10)78.175.1153.2+3.050%
Last 10 (10)81.677.1158.7+4.570%
Last 5 (5)80.477.0157.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.484.6162.0-7.114%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.572.4151.9+7.164%
vs Weaker (9)74.866.4141.2+8.367%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
PinheirosPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H12/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H14/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A17/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A23/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H09/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H11/01
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H18/01
NBB
Franca
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A26/01
Super 8
80.7Avg total
39.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.538.374.8-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.440.079.4-0.650%-
Last 30 away (18)34.637.171.7-2.544%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.680.7-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.880.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.737.070.7-3.344%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.541.679.1-4.133%-
vs Weaker (8)39.433.873.1+5.675%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H04/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H10/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A18/12
NBB
Minas
#1
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A20/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H23/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H28/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H10/01
NBB
Franca
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A18/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A20/01
NBB
79.0Avg total
41.1Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.377.0+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.937.876.6+1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)40.836.777.5+4.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.979.0+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.281.2+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.043.983.9-3.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.836.477.1+4.443%-
vs Weaker (9)38.033.671.6+4.467%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.4
51.1%
50.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.0
30.2%
33.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.314.1
69.5%
72.7%14.1
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.4
51.5%
50.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.6
39.2%
33.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.513.2
75.4%
72.7%13.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pinheiros
LLWWLLWWWL
Paulistano
WWWWLLWWWL
#5
League position
#12
-3.6
Net rating
+6.7
103.8
Offensive rating
110.8
107.4
Defensive rating
104.1
48.7%
Effective FG%
54.3%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
18.0%
Turnover %
19.6%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.2%
3-point %
39.2%
55.5%
Assist %
65.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 110.8Defence107.4 · 104.1Shooting48.7% · 54.3%3-point %30.2% · 39.2%Ball care18.0% · 19.6%Off. rebounds32.5% · 32.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Pinheiros   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pinheiros wins
8
Paulistano wins
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25AFranca59-91
18/01/25HFlamengo65-86
11/01/25HVasco87-70
09/01/25HBotafogo75-63
27/12/24APato86-90
23/12/24AUniao Corinthians73-80
21/12/24ACaxias do Sul101-92 OT
17/12/24ASao Jose77-76
14/12/24HCearense76-74
12/12/24HUnifacisa78-82
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25ABauru85-73
18/01/25AFranca86-84 OT
10/01/25HMogi76-63
28/12/24HSao Paulo80-76
23/12/24HFlamengo75-89
20/12/24AMinas82-86
18/12/24ABrasilia102-87
12/12/24HCaxias do Sul82-72
10/12/24HUniao Corinthians78-65
04/12/24HVasco70-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pinheiros
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%50%64%
Points / game76.275.876.6
Allowed / game75.077.173.1
Point differential+1.2-1.3+3.5
Avg total151.2152.9149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%30%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW52%
HomeWWLWW55%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game78.578.878.1
Allowed / game75.375.575.1
Point differential+3.1+3.3+3.0
Avg total153.8154.4153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%45%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2118386%83.371.2+12.1
2 Flamengo2116576%84.172.8+11.4
3 Brasilia2314961%81.981.3+0.6
4 Franca2112957%80.978.0+2.9
5 Pinheiros2112957%76.275.0+1.2
6 Uniao Corinthians2112957%78.178.6-0.5
7 Bauru22121055%78.580.2-1.7
8 Paulistano21111052%78.575.3+3.1
9 Sao Jose23121152%78.877.0+1.7
10 Unifacisa23121152%75.975.1+0.8
11 Vasco23121152%74.774.9-0.2
12 Corinthians Paulista23111248%81.480.2+1.2
13 Sao Paulo23101343%77.079.1-2.2
14 Pato2491538%81.883.9-2.1
15 Mogi2491538%73.879.2-5.4
16 Caxias do Sul2261627%72.879.1-6.4
17 Cearense2261627%70.577.0-6.5
18 Botafogo2261627%72.881.0-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pinheiros1319151461
Paulistano1615201869
← all games of the day
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