PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Paulistano vs Pinheiros Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 May 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 74-84
23-18 12-24 18-18 21-24
Position#7
Record27-17
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#2
Record35-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game74.9
BrazilNBBNBB - Quarter-finals· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2025-26
Meetings · Paulistano v Pinheiros
05 Dec 2026
PAUL v PINH
upcoming
09 May 2026
PAUL74
PINH84
07 May 2026
PAUL68
PINH76
06 Nov 2025
PAUL81
PINH76
14 Oct 2024
PAUL80
PINH62
16 Feb 2024
PAUL80
PINH51
17 Nov 2022
PAUL62
PINH76
24 Mar 2022
PAUL93
PINH82
09 Jan 2021
PAUL68
PINH46
26 Mar 2020
PAUL v PINH
upcoming
23 Jan 2019
PAUL85
PINH91
12 Feb 2018
PAUL73
PINH72
10 Mar 2017
PAUL67
PINH74
05 Dec 2015
PAUL101
PINH77
26 Feb 2015
PAUL84
PINH68
15 Mar 2014
PAUL100
PINH81
06 Dec 2012
PAUL89
PINH88
19 Jan 2012
PAUL80
PINH90
18 Mar 2011
PAUL80
PINH88
12 May 2009
PAUL93
PINH96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pinheiros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
W
86-72
86
72
+14
87avg 74
A03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
64avg 74
A09/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
70-84
70
84
-14
53avg 74
A15/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
92-71
92
71
+21
93avg 74
H18/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
80-77
80
77
+3
66avg 74
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
95-80
95
80
+15
105avg 74
A24/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
75-88
75
88
-13
66avg 74
A26/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
71-62
71
62
+9
67avg 74
H29/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
92-101 OT
92
101
-9
77avg 74
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
54avg 74
H07/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
27-11
18-17
23-22
22-16
14-22
26-21
22-21
16-18
19-21
19-24
16-21
24-15
27-18
28-18
13-20
21-13
16-8
25-28
18-28
31-17
20-22
25-15
19-26
14-24
17-29
26-16
18-19
15-16
20-16
20-18
16-12
23-16
24-26
22-24
20-23
24-20
14-16
24-28
6-12
160.4Avg total
81.3Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)82.878.5161.3+4.461%
Season at home (22)84.575.5160.0+9.077%
Season away (22)81.281.5162.6-0.345%
Last 10 (10)81.379.1160.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)80.281.4161.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.686.0165.6-6.420%
vs Similar (14)84.181.5165.6+2.671%
vs Weaker (11)86.575.2161.6+11.373%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
91-85
91
85
+6
73avg 76
H24/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
78avg 76
H01/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
69-74
69
74
-5
61avg 76
A04/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
75-76
75
76
-1
69avg 76
A10/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
88-55
88
55
+33
86avg 76
H16/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
95-80
95
80
+15
86avg 76
H21/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
88-79
88
79
+9
71avg 76
A25/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
94-88 OT
94
88
+6
83avg 76
A26/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
101-92 OT
101
92
+9
87avg 76
H04/05
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
76-68
76
68
+8
66avg 76
A07/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
24-26
15-14
23-23
22-21
24-18
20-23
17-19
20-16
22-21
17-21
10-16
25-22
16-20
16-8
18-26
25-12
19-16
27-16
17-11
19-20
22-18
31-20
23-22
24-25
21-16
27-16
16-22
23-16
14-25
17-19
27-21
16-23
26-24
24-22
23-20
20-24
16-14
28-24
12-6
163.8Avg total
86.0Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)85.974.9160.8+11.081%
Season at home (21)88.073.5161.5+14.495%
Season away (22)84.076.3160.2+7.768%
Last 10 (10)86.077.8163.8+8.280%
Last 5 (5)90.881.4172.2+9.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)79.281.0160.2-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)87.874.1161.9+13.785%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
PaulistanoPinheiros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A09/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A15/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H18/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A24/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A26/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H29/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/05
NBB
77.2Avg total
40.6Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.181.0+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.938.181.1+4.871%-
Last 30 away (16)40.939.980.9+1.044%-
Last 10 (10)40.636.677.2+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.480.8+0.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.241.282.4+0.040%-
vs Similar (14)41.838.280.0+3.657%-
vs Weaker (11)42.339.381.5+3.064%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H24/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H01/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A04/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H16/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A25/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A26/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H04/05
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A07/05
NBB
82.6Avg total
42.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.582.8+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.439.183.5+5.377%-
Last 30 away (17)42.539.882.3+2.641%-
Last 10 (10)42.739.982.6+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.081.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)42.542.585.0+0.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.439.082.5+4.454%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.1
49.3%
52.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.1
37.4%
32.5%33.3
🏀 Free throws16.211.2
69.1%
72.8%11.2
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.6
51.0%
52.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.5
35.0%
32.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws23.116.0
69.3%
72.8%16.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
LLWLWWWLWW
Pinheiros
WWWWWWLLWW
#7
League position
#2
+3.4
Net rating
+5.5
93.3
Offensive rating
92.5
90.0
Defensive rating
87.0
52.3%
Effective FG%
51.7%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
16.0%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.4%
3-point %
35.0%
56.5%
Assist %
61.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 92.5Defence90.0 · 87.0Shooting52.3% · 51.7%3-point %37.4% · 35.0%Ball care16.0% · 16.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Paulistano   ■ Pinheiros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Paulistano wins
4
Pinheiros wins
DateGameScore
07/05/26Paulistano v Pinheiros68-76
04/05/26Pinheiros v Paulistano101-92 OT
19/02/26Pinheiros v Paulistano80-68
06/11/25Paulistano v Pinheiros81-76
05/02/25Pinheiros v Paulistano61-69
14/10/24Paulistano v Pinheiros80-62
16/02/24Paulistano v Pinheiros80-51
09/11/23Pinheiros v Paulistano68-72
14/02/23Pinheiros v Paulistano67-74
17/11/22Paulistano v Pinheiros62-76
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/26HPinheiros68-76
04/05/26APinheiros92-101 OT
29/04/26HBauru71-62
26/04/26ABauru75-88
24/04/26ABauru95-80
21/04/26HBauru80-77
18/04/26HPato92-71
15/04/26AMogi70-84
09/04/26ACorinthians Paulista84-80
03/04/26ABotafogo86-72
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/26APaulistano76-68
04/05/26HPaulistano101-92 OT
26/04/26ARio Claro94-88 OT
25/04/26ARio Claro88-79
21/04/26HRio Claro95-80
16/04/26HPato88-55
10/04/26ASao Jose75-76
04/04/26ACorinthians Paulista69-74
01/04/26HUnifacisa83-81
24/03/26HMinas91-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL61%
HomeWWWWL77%
AwayWLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %61%77%45%
Points / game82.884.581.2
Allowed / game78.575.581.5
Point differential+4.4+9.0-0.3
Avg total161.3160.0162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%41%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)50% (8)60% (5)
Overtime %7%9%5%
Pinheiros
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayLLWWW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %81%95%68%
Points / game85.988.084.0
Allowed / game74.973.576.3
Point differential+11.0+14.4+7.7
Avg total160.8161.5160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+51%71%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (1)43% (7)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca4336784%90.876.9+13.9
2 Pinheiros4335881%85.974.9+11.0
3 Minas45331273%89.283.1+6.1
4 Flamengo44321273%87.978.7+9.2
5 Brasilia44321273%80.472.0+8.4
6 Corinthians Paulista45321371%85.480.0+5.4
7 Paulistano44271761%82.878.5+4.4
8 Mogi43251858%76.872.4+4.4
9 Sao Jose41221954%81.380.4+0.9
10 Bauru42222052%80.679.9+0.7
11 Unifacisa42212150%81.080.3+0.8
12 Uniao Corinthians42202248%79.983.1-3.2
13 Caxias do Sul42182443%73.476.2-2.9
14 Cruzeiro42142833%81.186.4-5.3
15 Rio Claro41122929%78.985.8-7.0
16 Botafogo41103124%73.684.1-10.5
17 Pato3873118%71.980.8-8.9
18 Osasco3873118%76.187.8-11.8
19 Cearense3873118%76.288.9-12.7
20 Vasco3863216%71.581.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano2312182174
Pinheiros1824182484
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.