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Tobol Kostanay vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 101-83
27-24 28-22 20-22 26-15
Position#4
Record10-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#8
Record1-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game88.5
KazakhstanNational League
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Pavlodar
04 Apr 2025
TOBO104
PAVL78
06 Jan 2025
TOBO89
PAVL75
05 Jan 2025
TOBO87
PAVL69
10 Jan 2024
TOBO111
PAVL82
09 Jan 2024
TOBO101
PAVL83
21 Nov 2016
TOBO95
PAVL53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Almaty
#6
W
95-81
95
81
+14
83avg 84
A14/11
National League
Almaty
#6
L
65-79
65
79
-14
61avg 84
A15/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
73avg 84
A19/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
58-97
58
97
-39
48avg 84
A20/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
99-86
99
86
+13
104avg 84
A05/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
82-70
82
70
+12
90avg 84
A06/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
94-92
94
92
+2
100avg 84
H15/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
95-101
95
101
-6
101avg 84
H16/12
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
95-88
95
88
+7
103avg 84
H23/12
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
79-66
79
66
+13
77avg 84
H24/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
35-25
26-20
19-15
17-14
15-25
16-18
17-22
26-25
20-22
16-16
17-23
17-27
17-33
12-23
12-14
28-18
25-17
27-17
19-34
23-21
13-14
25-11
21-24
29-15
19-33
29-22
17-22
28-27
26-16
21-24
20-34
24-21
29-15
18-20
24-32
23-18
18-17
20-15
18-16
168.7Avg total
84.1Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.981.6166.5+3.462%
Season at home (6)93.385.2178.5+8.283%
Season away (10)79.979.4159.3+0.550%
Last 10 (10)84.184.6168.7-0.560%
Last 5 (5)89.083.4172.4+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.084.1153.1-15.10%
vs Similar (13)82.985.4168.3-2.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)83.676.5160.1+7.170%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Almaty
#6
L
66-87
66
87
-21
53avg 59
A30/10
National League
Almaty
#6
L
71-82
71
82
-11
64avg 59
A31/10
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H05/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
73-82
73
82
-9
50avg 59
H06/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
74-96
74
96
-22
56avg 59
H18/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
59avg 59
H19/11
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
76-90
76
90
-14
61avg 59
H01/12
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
86-77
86
77
+9
77avg 59
H02/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 59
H14/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
76-104
76
104
-28
60avg 59
H15/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
10-23
22-11
19-26
15-23
21-14
22-18
13-27
18-21
15-22
25-23
25-20
10-25
20-19
17-22
26-16
22-24
17-35
21-19
14-18
16-19
29-17
17-29
15-20
22-23
22-24
16-23
16-20
19-26
35-15
16-11
16-25
20-23
15-26
18-23
18-15
16-25
25-20
12-32
23-27
162.9Avg total
75.3Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.488.5162.9-14.17%
Season at home (10)75.589.1164.6-13.610%
Season away (4)71.587.0158.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)75.387.6162.9-12.310%
Last 5 (5)77.288.6165.8-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.886.9159.7-14.111%
vs Similar (6)72.577.3149.8-4.833%
vs Weaker (5)80.272.0152.2+8.260%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -2.9-2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -2.9-2.9
Tobol KostanayPavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#6
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A14/11
National League
Almaty
#6
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A15/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A19/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
34-60
34
60
-26
A20/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A05/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A06/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H15/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H16/12
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H23/12
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H24/12
National League
87.1Avg total
44.7Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.682.9-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.941.287.2+4.758%-
Last 30 away (18)38.141.980.0-3.828%-
Last 10 (10)44.742.487.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)46.439.485.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.446.782.1-11.30%-
vs Similar (13)43.241.184.2+2.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.838.881.6+4.070%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#6
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A30/10
National League
Almaty
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A31/10
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H05/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H06/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H18/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H19/11
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H01/12
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H02/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H14/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H15/12
National League
83.3Avg total
38.2Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.642.380.9-3.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.944.184.1-4.233%-
Last 30 away (15)37.340.477.7-3.153%-
Last 10 (10)38.245.183.3-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.687.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.845.883.6-8.116%-
vs Similar (6)39.236.876.0+2.383%-
vs Weaker (5)41.035.276.2+5.8100%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tobol Kostanay wins
0
Pavlodar wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23HAstana 279-66
23/12/23HAstana 295-88
16/12/23HAtyrau95-101
15/12/23HAtyrau94-92
06/12/23AKaspiy Aktau82-70
05/12/23AKaspiy Aktau99-86
20/11/23AIrbis Almaty58-97
19/11/23AIrbis Almaty79-86
15/11/23AAlmaty65-79
14/11/23AAlmaty95-81
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/23HAktobe76-104
14/12/23HAktobe71-87
02/12/23HAstana 286-77
01/12/23HAstana 276-90
19/11/23HKaspiy Aktau77-85
18/11/23HKaspiy Aktau74-96
06/11/23HAtyrau73-82
05/11/23HAtyrau83-86
31/10/23AAlmaty71-82
30/10/23AAlmaty66-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay
National League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %62%83%50%
Points / game84.993.379.9
Allowed / game81.685.279.4
Point differential+3.4+8.2+0.5
Avg total166.5178.5159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pavlodar
National League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL7%
HomeLLWLL10%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %7%10%0%
Points / game74.475.571.5
Allowed / game88.589.187.0
Point differential-14.1-13.6-15.5
Avg total162.9164.6158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty1615194%88.472.1+16.3
2 Atyrau1612475%86.777.1+9.6
3 Tobol Kostanay1610662%84.981.6+3.4
4 Astana 2168850%76.976.2+0.7
5 Aktobe168850%83.583.8-0.2
6 Almaty145936%77.681.9-4.3
7 Kaspiy Aktau1631319%75.589.1-13.6
8 Pavlodar141137%74.488.5-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tobol Kostanay27282026101
Pavlodar2422221583
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