Pavlodar vs Kaspiy Aktau Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2023

Tip-off: 12:00

Final 77-85

16-19 29-17 17-29 15-20

Position#8

Record0-9

FormLLLLL

Points / game72.8

Allowed / game88.4

Pavlodar

Kaspiy Aktau 🏆

Position#7

Record2-7

FormLWLLW

Points / game76.3

Allowed / game85.9

National League

Other2023-24

Meetings · Pavlodar v Kaspiy Aktau

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kaspiy Aktau winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pavlodar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPavlodar

Date

Competition

GOTOBELES Astana

78-71

no box

A11/04

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay

68-86

-18

53avg 57

H22/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

71-98

-27

55avg 57

H23/10

National League

Irbis Almaty

66-83

-17

57avg 57

A27/10

National League

Irbis Almaty

83-96

-13

71avg 57

A28/10

National League

Almaty

66-87

-21

53avg 57

A30/10

National League

Almaty

71-82

-11

64avg 57

A31/10

National League

Atyrau

83-86

-3

no box

H05/11

National League

Atyrau

73-82

-9

50avg 57

H06/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

74-96

-22

56avg 57

H18/11

National League

19-18

19-19

21-21

19-13

20-28

21-22

10-17

17-19

20-24

25-27

15-25

11-22

18-24

14-25

13-21

21-13

18-29

13-25

22-27

30-15

15-27

10-23

22-11

19-26

15-23

21-14

22-18

13-27

18-21

15-22

25-23

25-20

10-25

20-19

17-22

26-16

22-24

17-35

21-19

14-18

160.0Avg total

73.3Scored

86.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	72.8	88.4	161.2	-15.7	0%
Season at home (5)	73.8	89.6	163.4	-15.8	0%
Season away (4)	71.5	87.0	158.5	-15.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	73.3	86.7	160.0	-13.4	10%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	86.6	160.0	-13.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	72.3	86.6	158.9	-14.3	6%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	73.3	75.3	148.7	-2.0	50%
vs Weaker (7)	82.0	70.6	152.6	+11.4	71%

This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kaspiy Aktau Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAktau

Date

Competition

Karaganda

64-66

-2

no box

H11/04

Higher League

Atyrau

69-88

-19

60avg 70

A21/10

National League

Atyrau

60-78

-18

51avg 70

A22/10

National League

Aktobe

74-85

-11

no box

A26/10

National League

Aktobe

75-89

-14

63avg 70

A27/10

National League

Almaty

75-86

-11

64avg 70

H06/11

National League

Almaty

84-82

80avg 70

H07/11

National League

Astana 2

68-92

-24

61avg 70

H11/11

National League

Astana 2

86-99

-13

88avg 70

H12/11

National League

Pavlodar

96-74

+22

96avg 70

A18/11

National League

24-31

12-17

17-11

11-7

18-22

16-28

25-16

10-22

17-15

15-15

19-24

9-24

25-21

15-20

18-23

16-21

22-20

16-20

24-29

13-20

17-26

27-19

21-20

10-21

17-30

21-15

28-17

18-20

14-27

28-22

7-21

19-22

14-26

24-28

29-19

19-26

24-22

35-17

19-21

18-14

159.0Avg total

75.1Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	76.3	85.9	162.2	-9.6	22%
Season at home (4)	78.2	89.8	168.0	-11.5	25%
Season away (5)	74.8	82.8	157.6	-8.0	20%
Last 10 (10)	75.1	83.9	159.0	-8.8	20%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	86.6	168.4	-4.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	69.2	82.8	152.1	-13.6	20%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	71.0	70.8	141.8	+0.2	62%
vs Weaker (2)	79.5	55.5	135.0	+24.0	100%

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PavlodarKaspiy Aktau

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	21.5	40.2	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.5	23.1	41.5	-4.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (19)	18.8	20.5	39.4	-1.7	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	24.3	41.8	-6.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	24.0	40.0	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	17.6	24.4	42.1	-6.8	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.7	16.6	36.3	+3.1	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.2	38.5	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	18.1	21.9	40.0	-3.8	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.8	17.6	36.3	+1.2	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	24.0	43.2	-4.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	26.2	43.4	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	17.4	21.5	39.0	-4.1	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	9.5	34.0	+15.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.6	39.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.5	22.3	40.7	-3.8	18%	-
Last 30 away (19)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	23.1	40.6	-5.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	22.6	39.2	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	17.6	22.2	39.8	-4.6	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.4	17.7	39.1	+3.7	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	18.5	20.6	39.1	-2.1	28%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	20.2	47.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.4	21.4	39.8	-3.1	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.2	18.2	36.5	+0.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	18.5	41.5	+4.5	100%	-

PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

GOTOBELES Astana

38-37

A11/04

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay

41-50

-9

H22/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

45-51

-6

H23/10

National League

Irbis Almaty

32-49

-17

A27/10

National League

Irbis Almaty

31-54

-23

A28/10

National League

Almaty

25-50

-25

A30/10

National League

Almaty

36-37

-1

A31/10

National League

Atyrau

33-43

-10

H05/11

National League

Atyrau

30-44

-14

H06/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

39-59

-20

H18/11

National League

82.4Avg total

35.0Scored

47.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	42.1	79.7	-4.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	36.9	45.4	82.3	-8.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (19)	38.0	40.2	78.2	-2.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	47.4	82.4	-12.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	46.6	79.2	-14.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	35.2	46.6	81.9	-11.4	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	40.2	38.2	78.3	+2.0	83%	-
vs Weaker (7)	41.1	34.3	75.4	+6.9	86%	-

This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Karaganda

36-48

-12

H11/04

Higher League

Atyrau

34-50

-16

A21/10

National League

Atyrau

32-30

A22/10

National League

Aktobe

40-41

-1

A26/10

National League

Aktobe

38-40

-2

A27/10

National League

Almaty

44-45

-1

H06/11

National League

Almaty

38-45

-7

H07/11

National League

Astana 2

42-49

-7

H11/11

National League

Astana 2

38-54

-16

H12/11

National League

Pavlodar

59-39

+20

A18/11

National League

84.2Avg total

40.1Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	40.6	77.6	-3.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	36.6	42.4	79.1	-5.8	17%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.7	37.8	75.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	44.1	84.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	46.4	90.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	35.9	43.0	78.8	-7.1	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	37.4	37.8	75.1	-0.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.5	28.0	75.5	+19.5	100%	-

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	17.5	21.3	38.8	-3.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (19)	18.7	19.3	38.1	-0.6	32%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.2	21.1	39.2	-2.9	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.3	19.0	37.3	-0.7	29%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.5	37.3	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	16.5	18.8	35.3	-2.3	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.4	20.5	39.0	-2.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	15.8	18.1	33.9	-2.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	14.5	35.0	+6.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.5	37.4	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.5	17.9	36.4	+0.5	45%	-
Last 30 away (19)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.9	18.9	37.8	+0.0	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	14.5	18.8	33.3	-4.3	17%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.6	17.3	39.9	+5.3	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.5	17.8	33.3	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	16.3	16.7	32.9	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	14.3	19.4	33.8	-5.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.3	19.7	34.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.6	37.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	14.9	19.4	34.3	-4.4	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.9	14.9	32.8	+3.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (2)	11.5	13.0	24.5	-1.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	38.5	75.7	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	36.0	39.2	75.2	-3.2	45%	-
Last 30 away (19)	37.8	38.2	76.0	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	39.3	77.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	40.0	80.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	37.1	39.9	77.0	-2.9	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	33.2	37.2	70.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.9	36.3	77.1	+4.6	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.4	37.2	70.6	-3.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	32.8	35.4	68.2	-2.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	34.2	39.9	74.2	-5.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	39.8	74.8	-4.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	40.2	77.8	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	33.4	39.9	73.3	-6.5	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	33.6	33.0	66.6	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.0	27.5	59.5	+4.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pavlodar wins

Kaspiy Aktau wins

Date	Game	Score
18/11/23	Pavlodar v Kaspiy Aktau	74-96
10/04/23	Pavlodar v Kaspiy Aktau	60-61
19/11/22	Pavlodar v Kaspiy Aktau	70-47
24/10/22	Pavlodar v Kaspiy Aktau	77-73
01/12/17	Pavlodar v Kaspiy Aktau	64-81
30/11/17	Kaspiy Aktau v Pavlodar	79-48
29/11/17	Kaspiy Aktau v Pavlodar	72-47
12/12/15	Kaspiy Aktau v Pavlodar	88-34

Pavlodarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/11/23	H	Kaspiy Aktau	74-96
06/11/23	H	Atyrau	73-82
05/11/23	H	Atyrau	83-86
31/10/23	A	Almaty	71-82
30/10/23	A	Almaty	66-87
28/10/23	A	Irbis Almaty	83-96
27/10/23	A	Irbis Almaty	66-83
23/10/23	H	Tobol Kostanay	71-98
22/10/23	H	Tobol Kostanay	68-86
11/04/23	A	GOTOBELES Astana	78-71

Kaspiy Aktaulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/11/23	A	Pavlodar	96-74
12/11/23	H	Astana 2	86-99
11/11/23	H	Astana 2	68-92
07/11/23	H	Almaty	84-82
06/11/23	H	Almaty	75-86
27/10/23	A	Aktobe	75-89
26/10/23	A	Aktobe	74-85
22/10/23	A	Atyrau	60-78
21/10/23	A	Atyrau	69-88
11/04/23	H	Karaganda	64-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar

National League 2023-24

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	72.8	73.8	71.5
Allowed / game	88.4	89.6	87.0
Point differential	-15.7	-15.8	-15.5
Avg total	161.2	163.4	158.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Kaspiy Aktau

National League 2023-24

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	22%
Home	LWLL	25%
Away	LLLLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	22%	25%	20%
Points / game	76.3	78.2	74.8
Allowed / game	85.9	89.8	82.8
Point differential	-9.6	-11.5	-8.0
Avg total	162.2	168.0	157.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Irbis Almaty	7	6	1	86%	87.4	79.6	+7.9
2	Atyrau	8	6	2	75%	79.4	70.1	+9.2
3	Aktobe	6	4	2	67%	84.0	82.0	+2.0
4	Astana 2	8	5	3	62%	77.6	73.9	+3.8
5	Tobol Kostanay	9	5	4	56%	84.1	78.3	+5.8
6	Almaty	8	4	4	50%	82.4	81.9	+0.5
7	Kaspiy Aktau	9	2	7	22%	76.3	85.9	-9.6
8	Pavlodar	9	0	9	0%	72.8	88.4	-15.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pavlodar	16	29	17	15	77
Kaspiy Aktau	19	17	29	20	85

← all games of the day

Pavlodar vs Kaspiy Aktau Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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