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Penarol vs Hebraica y Macabi Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 82-68
27-14 13-17 20-19 22-18
Position#3
Record16-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game74.0
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#7
Record9-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game88.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2024-25
Meetings · Penarol v Hebraica y Macabi
02 May 2026
PENA74
HEBR62
13 Jan 2026
PENA79
HEBR69
05 Mar 2025
PENA82
HEBR68
26 Mar 2024
PENA99
HEBR74
09 Jan 2024
PENA73
HEBR52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hebraica y Macabi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Urupan
#10
W
105-83
105
83
+22
107avg 79
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
59avg 79
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
85-89
85
89
-4
78avg 79
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 79
H25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
93-75
93
75
+18
94avg 79
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
104-92
104
92
+12
99avg 79
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
83-80
83
80
+3
83avg 79
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
88-59
88
59
+29
84avg 79
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
83-72
83
72
+11
82avg 79
A14/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
85-84
85
84
+1
78avg 79
A01/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
25-24
26-25
26-18
10-19
22-16
23-21
14-21
23-24
17-26
25-22
20-17
15-21
19-16
20-16
25-17
23-16
22-24
21-18
27-17
31-23
30-19
17-25
26-25
17-9
24-29
28-23
14-19
22-9
23-13
21-13
22-24
27-24
19-16
29-16
8-16
26-26
25-14
20-21
14-23
165.5Avg total
87.4Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.874.0158.8+10.776%
Season at home (10)81.972.5154.4+9.480%
Season away (11)87.475.5162.8+11.973%
Last 10 (10)87.478.1165.5+9.380%
Last 5 (5)88.677.4166.0+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.584.5166.0-3.00%
vs Similar (9)78.079.6157.6-1.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.272.7158.8+13.584%
This opponent (Hebraica y Macabi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hebraica y MacabiUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMacabi
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
L
88-101
88
101
-13
89avg 75
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
88-79
88
79
+9
77avg 75
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
84-90
84
90
-6
76avg 75
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
83-88
83
88
-5
81avg 75
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
65-73
65
73
-8
52avg 75
H28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
79avg 75
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
71avg 75
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
89-77
89
77
+12
89avg 75
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
84avg 75
H10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
87-95
87
95
-8
79avg 75
H02/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
22-25
17-32
19-23
24-25
18-22
26-17
20-15
15-26
15-28
23-16
31-20
25-16
26-19
17-28
15-25
14-24
15-15
22-16
14-18
16-25
18-15
23-22
23-18
26-34
24-16
20-24
16-21
20-19
23-19
25-20
21-19
19-25
23-24
20-15
11-9
29-19
29-33
18-27
11-16
173.6Avg total
85.4Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.888.2174.0-2.543%
Season at home (11)80.586.9167.5-6.427%
Season away (10)91.589.7181.2+1.860%
Last 10 (10)85.488.2173.6-2.830%
Last 5 (5)89.290.2179.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)81.794.9176.5-13.213%
vs Similar (11)77.277.5154.6-0.345%
vs Weaker (4)90.281.5171.8+8.875%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
PenarolHebraica y Macabi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#10
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
61-42
61
42
+19
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A14/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/03
Liga Uruguaya
83.2Avg total
44.8Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.738.482.0+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.538.379.7+3.253%-
Last 30 away (15)45.938.584.3+7.473%-
Last 10 (10)44.838.483.2+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)48.836.485.2+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.045.086.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (9)40.739.079.7+1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.437.482.7+8.079%-
This opponent (Hebraica y Macabi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hebraica y MacabiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
30-54
30
54
-24
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H02/03
Liga Uruguaya
88.1Avg total
43.1Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.743.986.6-1.245%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.144.884.9-4.743%-
Last 30 away (15)45.243.188.3+2.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.145.088.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.891.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)41.546.988.4-5.333%-
vs Similar (10)42.242.584.7-0.350%-
vs Weaker (4)48.536.284.8+12.275%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.0
54.7%
51.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.0
36.4%
33.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.612.4
70.5%
71.7%12.4
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hebraica y Macabitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hebraica y Macabi: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.423.1
52.0%
51.5%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.5
36.0%
33.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.612.7
72.2%
71.7%12.7
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWWWWWWLLW
Hebraica y Macabi
LLWLWLLLWL
#3
League position
#7
+11.4
Net rating
-3.6
111.0
Offensive rating
108.2
99.6
Defensive rating
111.7
54.7%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.0%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.4%
3-point %
36.0%
68.4%
Assist %
53.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 108.2Defence99.6 · 111.7Shooting54.7% · 52.7%3-point %36.4% · 36.0%Ball care15.7% · 17.0%Off. rebounds26.7% · 28.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Penarol   ■ Hebraica y Macabi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Penarol wins
0
Hebraica y Macabi wins
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ADefensor85-84
14/02/25ABigua83-72
12/02/25HWelcome88-59
03/02/25AUrunday83-80
30/01/25ACordon104-92
27/01/25HTrouville93-75
25/01/25HMalvin79-70
19/01/25HNacional85-89
15/01/25AAguada69-77
10/01/25AUrupan105-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HBigua87-95
10/02/25HCordon94-98 OT
07/02/25AUrunday89-77
04/02/25AAguada86-95
31/01/25ADefensor90-86 OT
28/01/25HUrupan65-73
24/01/25HWelcome83-88
17/01/25HMalvin84-90
13/01/25ATrouville88-79
10/01/25ANacional88-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%80%73%
Points / game84.881.987.4
Allowed / game74.072.575.5
Point differential+10.7+9.4+11.9
Avg total158.8154.4162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%30%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Hebraica y Macabi
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %43%27%60%
Points / game85.880.591.5
Allowed / game88.286.989.7
Point differential-2.5-6.4+1.8
Avg total174.0167.5181.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %10%9%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional2119290%94.077.5+16.5
2 Aguada2218482%89.779.8+9.9
3 Penarol2116576%84.874.0+10.7
4 Malvin2214864%80.776.5+4.1
5 Defensor22111150%87.682.7+4.9
6 Bigua2191243%84.385.6-1.3
7 Hebraica y Macabi2191243%85.888.2-2.5
8 Cordon2191243%83.686.4-2.8
9 Urunday2281436%80.085.8-5.9
10 Urupan2271532%81.187.8-6.7
11 Welcome2251723%77.294.1-16.9
12 Trouville2141719%74.183.6-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2713202282
Hebraica y Macabi1417191868
← all games of the day
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