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Urunday vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 80-83
9-17 29-24 23-28 19-14
Position#8
Record6-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
Position#3
Record12-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game74.1
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Urunday Universitario
Other2024-25
Meetings · Urunday v Penarol
21 Oct 2026
URUN79
PENA91
08 May 2026
URUN86
PENA109
19 Feb 2026
URUN83
PENA100
03 Feb 2025
URUN80
PENA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urunday winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UrundayUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrunday
Date
Competition
Defensor
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
82avg 73
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
65avg 73
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
85-79
85
79
+6
76avg 73
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
71-68
71
68
+3
70avg 73
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
81avg 73
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
86-97 OT
86
97
-11
76avg 73
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
89-97
89
97
-8
89avg 73
A22/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
61-90
61
90
-29
50avg 73
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
77-87
77
87
-10
67avg 73
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
86-98
86
98
-12
82avg 73
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
20-19
25-16
18-14
18-30
18-21
23-22
13-17
24-21
12-22
29-16
20-20
27-15
11-18
19-21
14-14
25-25
13-28
25-24
27-21
26-8
23-23
19-26
13-24
22-23
21-22
20-23
26-29
16-27
18-25
14-22
13-16
16-30
19-21
25-18
17-18
20-27
28-31
15-13
23-27
168.0Avg total
79.8Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.785.0163.7-6.335%
Season at home (8)76.984.0160.9-7.138%
Season away (9)80.385.9166.2-5.633%
Last 10 (10)79.888.2168.0-8.430%
Last 5 (5)79.893.8173.6-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)83.187.1170.2-4.040%
vs Similar (15)75.379.5154.7-4.233%
vs Weaker (5)79.878.6158.4+1.260%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
91-66
91
66
+25
96avg 77
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
70-64
70
64
+6
61avg 77
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
93-65
93
65
+28
94avg 77
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
97-56
97
56
+41
94avg 77
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
105-83
105
83
+22
107avg 77
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
59avg 77
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
85-89
85
89
-4
78avg 77
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 77
H25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
93-75
93
75
+18
94avg 77
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
104-92
104
92
+12
99avg 77
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
28-18
21-12
25-15
14-19
14-17
24-14
18-14
31-15
18-24
21-17
23-9
27-7
27-15
18-22
25-12
28-16
25-24
26-25
26-18
10-19
22-16
23-21
14-21
23-24
17-26
25-22
20-17
15-21
19-16
20-16
25-17
23-16
22-24
21-18
27-17
31-23
30-19
17-25
26-25
162.3Avg total
88.6Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.874.1158.9+10.671%
Season at home (9)81.274.0155.2+7.278%
Season away (8)88.874.2163.0+14.562%
Last 10 (10)88.673.7162.3+14.980%
Last 5 (5)86.080.6166.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.584.5166.0-3.00%
vs Similar (9)78.079.6157.6-1.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.373.1160.3+14.284%
This opponent (Urunday) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +6.4+6.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +6.4+6.4
UrundayPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UrundayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
86.0Avg total
39.5Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.781.8-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.340.379.6-1.043%-
Last 30 away (16)40.942.983.8-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)39.546.586.0-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)41.847.489.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.945.785.6-5.820%-
vs Similar (15)39.539.779.3-0.253%-
vs Weaker (5)42.639.482.0+3.240%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
54-22
54
22
+32
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
61-42
61
42
+19
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
82.1Avg total
44.1Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.982.5+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.840.282.1+1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)45.837.283.1+8.669%-
Last 10 (10)44.138.082.1+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.883.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.045.086.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (9)40.739.079.7+1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.238.383.5+6.968%-
This opponent (Urunday) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Urundaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urunday: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.9
49.8%
51.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.9
37.6%
33.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.512.7
68.6%
71.7%12.7
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.221.7
55.4%
51.5%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.2
35.7%
33.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.413.4
72.8%
71.7%13.4
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Urunday
LLLLLLWWLW
Penarol
WWWLLWWWWW
#8
League position
#3
-10.8
Net rating
+19.1
99.6
Offensive rating
116.9
110.5
Defensive rating
97.7
52.2%
Effective FG%
54.6%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
19.6%
Turnover %
13.3%
22.6%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.6%
3-point %
35.7%
67.4%
Assist %
70.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 116.9Defence110.5 · 97.7Shooting52.2% · 54.6%3-point %37.6% · 35.7%Ball care19.6% · 13.3%Off. rebounds22.6% · 30.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Urunday   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Urunday wins
1
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
02/12/24Penarol v Urunday94-67
Urundaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/25AAguada86-98
27/01/25HCordon77-87
24/01/25HUrupan61-90
22/01/25AMalvin89-97
16/01/25HWelcome86-97 OT
13/01/25ADefensor90-98
10/01/25ATrouville71-68
07/01/25HBigua85-79
19/12/24HNacional72-90
10/12/24HDefensor81-78
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25ACordon104-92
27/01/25HTrouville93-75
25/01/25HMalvin79-70
19/01/25HNacional85-89
15/01/25AAguada69-77
10/01/25AUrupan105-83
07/01/25ATrouville97-56
04/01/25AHebraica y Macabi93-65
20/12/24HDefensor70-64
11/12/24AWelcome91-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urunday
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeLWLLL38%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%38%33%
Points / game78.776.980.3
Allowed / game85.084.085.9
Point differential-6.3-7.1-5.6
Avg total163.7160.9166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW71%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%78%62%
Points / game84.881.288.8
Allowed / game74.174.074.2
Point differential+10.6+7.2+14.5
Avg total158.9155.2163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%22%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional1716194%92.877.1+15.7
2 Aguada1713476%90.380.1+10.2
3 Penarol1712571%84.874.1+10.6
4 Malvin1712571%80.376.5+3.8
5 Defensor178947%85.982.4+3.5
6 Bigua178947%84.685.5-0.9
7 Hebraica y Macabi178947%85.087.5-2.5
8 Cordon1771041%84.586.6-2.1
9 Urunday1761135%78.785.0-6.3
10 Urupan1751229%80.584.6-4.2
11 Trouville1741324%73.083.4-10.4
12 Welcome1731418%77.695.0-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Urunday929231980
Penarol1724281483
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