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Cordon vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 92-104
23-31 19-30 25-17 25-26
Position#9
Record7-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
Position#3
Record11-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game73.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Cordon
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cordon v Penarol
09 Jan 2026
CORD58
PENA77
30 Jan 2025
CORD92
PENA104
23 Mar 2024
CORD68
PENA84
25 Nov 2023
CORD67
PENA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cordon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CordonUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordon
Date
Competition
Bigua
#6
W
104-97
104
97
+7
104avg 68
A04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
83-98
83
98
-15
79avg 68
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
77-97
77
97
-20
33avg 68
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
69-76
69
76
-7
54avg 68
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
L
74-78
74
78
-4
66avg 68
A03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 68
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
92-91
92
91
+1
61avg 68
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
71-87
71
87
-16
53avg 68
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
96-88
96
88
+8
91avg 68
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
87-77
87
77
+10
80avg 68
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-15
29-24
15-27
26-31
17-34
17-19
26-18
23-27
18-31
25-29
21-13
13-24
20-26
17-17
13-14
19-19
16-23
23-23
17-14
18-18
23-19
12-20
21-21
25-24
22-20
27-21
18-23
25-27
11-28
18-21
13-21
29-17
21-23
15-19
31-20
29-26
30-16
21-19
18-25
18-17
170.7Avg total
83.4Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.085.5169.5-1.544%
Season at home (7)84.081.9165.9+2.157%
Season away (9)84.088.3172.3-4.333%
Last 10 (10)83.487.3170.7-3.940%
Last 5 (5)85.485.4170.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.483.2159.6-6.825%
vs Similar (7)74.975.1150.0-0.357%
vs Weaker (3)83.379.0162.3+4.333%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Bigua
#6
W
76-73
76
73
+3
67avg 76
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
91-66
91
66
+25
96avg 76
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
70-64
70
64
+6
61avg 76
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
93-65
93
65
+28
94avg 76
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
97-56
97
56
+41
94avg 76
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
105-83
105
83
+22
107avg 76
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
59avg 76
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
85-89
85
89
-4
78avg 76
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 76
H25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
93-75
93
75
+18
94avg 76
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
19-17
22-16
12-16
17-21
28-18
21-12
25-15
14-19
14-17
24-14
18-14
31-15
18-24
21-17
23-9
27-7
27-15
18-22
25-12
28-16
25-24
26-25
26-18
10-19
22-16
23-21
14-21
23-24
17-26
25-22
20-17
15-21
19-16
20-16
25-17
23-16
22-24
21-18
27-17
157.6Avg total
85.8Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.673.0156.6+10.669%
Season at home (9)81.274.0155.2+7.278%
Season away (7)86.671.7158.3+14.957%
Last 10 (10)85.871.8157.6+14.080%
Last 5 (5)86.278.8165.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.584.5166.0-3.00%
vs Similar (10)76.578.3154.8-1.830%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.372.0158.3+14.383%
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +5.9+5.9
CordonPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CordonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#6
W
63-39
63
39
+24
A04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
43-60
43
60
-17
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
86.3Avg total
41.6Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.642.584.1-0.931%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.543.983.5-4.415%-
Last 30 away (16)43.341.484.7+1.944%-
Last 10 (10)41.644.786.3-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.281.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)40.843.584.3-2.720%-
vs Similar (6)43.339.883.2+3.567%-
vs Weaker (3)43.741.385.0+2.333%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
54-22
54
22
+32
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
80.1Avg total
42.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.681.2+3.953%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.239.881.0+1.344%-
Last 30 away (12)44.636.881.4+7.867%-
Last 10 (10)42.237.980.1+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.481.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.045.086.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (10)39.638.478.0+1.230%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.338.182.4+6.367%-
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cordontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cordon: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.6
48.0%
51.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.9
35.2%
33.0%32.7
🏀 Free throws14.710.5
71.4%
71.7%10.5
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.0
54.8%
51.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.2
35.2%
33.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.012.2
71.8%
71.7%12.2
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cordon
WWLWLLLLLW
Penarol
WWLLWWWWWW
#9
League position
#3
-5.1
Net rating
+18.6
102.8
Offensive rating
114.4
108.0
Defensive rating
95.8
50.1%
Effective FG%
53.9%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
16.4%
Turnover %
13.5%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.2%
3-point %
35.2%
57.0%
Assist %
70.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 114.4Defence108.0 · 95.8Shooting50.1% · 53.9%3-point %35.2% · 35.2%Ball care16.4% · 13.5%Off. rebounds27.2% · 28.7%Free throws0.20 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Cordon   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cordon wins
4
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
31/10/24Penarol v Cordon77-73
09/04/24Penarol v Cordon90-81
24/03/24Cordon v Penarol68-84
31/01/24Penarol v Cordon65-75
26/11/23Cordon v Penarol67-75
Cordonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/25AUrunday87-77
24/01/25HAguada96-88
16/01/25HDefensor71-87
13/01/25AUrupan92-91
10/01/25AWelcome81-84
03/01/25ATrouville74-78
19/12/24HMalvin69-76
13/12/24HHebraica y Macabi77-97
07/12/24ANacional83-98
04/12/24ABigua104-97
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/25HTrouville93-75
25/01/25HMalvin79-70
19/01/25HNacional85-89
15/01/25AAguada69-77
10/01/25AUrupan105-83
07/01/25ATrouville97-56
04/01/25AHebraica y Macabi93-65
20/12/24HDefensor70-64
11/12/24AWelcome91-66
06/12/24HBigua76-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cordon
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW44%
HomeWLLLW57%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %44%57%33%
Points / game84.084.084.0
Allowed / game85.581.988.3
Point differential-1.5+2.1-4.3
Avg total169.5165.9172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW69%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %69%78%57%
Points / game83.681.286.6
Allowed / game73.074.071.7
Point differential+10.6+7.2+14.9
Avg total156.6155.2158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%22%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional1615194%91.277.6+13.7
2 Aguada1612475%89.879.8+10.1
3 Penarol1611569%83.673.0+10.6
4 Malvin1611569%80.877.1+3.7
5 Defensor168850%85.981.9+4.0
6 Bigua167944%84.185.3-1.2
7 Cordon167944%84.085.5-1.5
8 Hebraica y Macabi167944%84.787.6-2.9
9 Urunday1661038%78.284.2-5.9
10 Urupan1651131%79.984.1-4.2
11 Trouville1641225%73.384.1-10.8
12 Welcome1631319%78.293.6-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cordon2319252592
Penarol31301726104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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