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Urupan vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 83-105
16-28 24-25 25-26 18-26
Position#10
Record3-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
Position#3
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game70.4
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Urupan
Other2024-25
Meetings · Urupan v Penarol
10 Jan 2025
URUP83
PENA105
15 Dec 2023
URUP64
PENA89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urupan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UrupanUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrupan
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 74
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
65-87
65
87
-22
52avg 74
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 74
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
85-95
85
95
-10
72avg 74
H06/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
95-104
95
104
-9
84avg 74
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
73-96
73
96
-23
58avg 74
H17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
88-62
88
62
+26
90avg 74
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
72avg 74
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
76avg 74
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 74
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
20-22
15-25
21-12
18-17
18-15
15-31
14-24
27-17
18-15
15-26
13-17
26-24
21-28
17-21
21-22
21-26
25-23
24-26
25-29
21-23
15-26
20-28
17-19
24-25
26-5
11-17
27-15
25-25
22-16
13-20
14-15
18-23
15-23
26-26
16-17
21-18
21-14
27-30
23-24
163.9Avg total
79.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.884.1163.9-4.330%
Season at home (5)83.891.4175.2-7.620%
Season away (5)75.876.8152.6-1.040%
Last 10 (10)79.884.1163.9-4.330%
Last 5 (5)80.481.8162.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.284.7163.9-5.425%
vs Similar (11)76.379.5155.7-3.236%
vs Weaker (7)77.667.9145.4+9.786%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
W
86-77 OT
86
77
+9
82avg 75
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
67avg 75
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
67avg 75
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
76avg 75
A13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
94-67
94
67
+27
97avg 75
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
76-73
76
73
+3
67avg 75
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
91-66
91
66
+25
96avg 75
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
70-64
70
64
+6
61avg 75
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
93-65
93
65
+28
94avg 75
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
97-56
97
56
+41
94avg 75
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-10
20-24
20-14
7-23
21-17
23-24
18-18
15-14
17-15
28-7
10-25
18-28
21-19
21-21
17-24
19-16
22-15
25-17
23-21
24-14
23-24
19-17
22-16
12-16
17-21
28-18
21-12
25-15
14-19
14-17
24-14
18-14
31-15
18-24
21-17
23-9
27-7
27-15
18-22
25-12
153.1Avg total
83.5Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.470.4152.7+12.073%
Season at home (6)79.072.0151.0+7.083%
Season away (5)86.468.4154.8+18.060%
Last 10 (10)83.569.6153.1+13.980%
Last 5 (5)85.464.8150.2+20.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.080.0158.0-2.00%
vs Similar (10)77.780.7158.4-3.030%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.772.0157.7+13.784%
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
UrupanPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UrupanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H06/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
82.1Avg total
42.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)42.042.584.5-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.845.688.5-2.838%-
Last 30 away (15)41.339.881.1+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.439.782.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.681.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.243.384.5-2.242%-
vs Similar (10)41.644.586.1-2.930%-
vs Weaker (6)44.537.582.0+7.067%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
45-22
45
22
+23
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
54-22
54
22
+32
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
78.6Avg total
44.0Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.238.681.8+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.839.381.1+2.550%-
Last 30 away (14)44.937.882.6+7.171%-
Last 10 (10)44.034.678.6+9.490%-
Last 5 (5)43.635.479.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.040.082.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (10)41.340.681.9+0.740%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.337.581.8+6.868%-
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Urupantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urupan: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.022.6
49.1%
51.5%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.3
34.1%
33.0%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.112.1
66.9%
71.7%12.1
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.4
56.4%
51.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.9
33.1%
33.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.412.0
69.0%
71.7%12.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Urupan
WLLWLLLLLW
Penarol
WWWWWWLLWW
#10
League position
#3
-5.1
Net rating
+18.7
99.2
Offensive rating
111.3
104.3
Defensive rating
92.5
49.8%
Effective FG%
53.3%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
44.2%
18.5%
Turnover %
14.8%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.1%
3-point %
33.1%
62.2%
Assist %
65.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 111.3Defence104.3 · 92.5Shooting49.8% · 53.3%3-point %34.1% · 33.1%Ball care18.5% · 14.8%Off. rebounds26.0% · 29.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Urupan   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Urupan wins
2
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
25/10/24Penarol v Urupan71-78
22/12/23Penarol v Urupan90-64
16/12/23Urupan v Penarol64-89
Urupanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HWelcome92-86
16/12/24ANacional75-89
10/12/24HMalvin74-76
07/12/24ATrouville88-62
17/11/24HAguada73-96
11/11/24HHebraica y Macabi95-104
06/11/24HUrunday85-95
31/10/24ABigua73-75
28/10/24ACordon65-87
25/10/24APenarol78-71
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/25ATrouville97-56
04/01/25AHebraica y Macabi93-65
20/12/24HDefensor70-64
11/12/24AWelcome91-66
06/12/24HBigua76-73
02/12/24HUrunday94-67
13/11/24ANacional78-80
07/11/24AMalvin73-75
31/10/24HCordon77-73
28/10/24HAguada86-77 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urupan
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW30%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game79.883.875.8
Allowed / game84.191.476.8
Point differential-4.3-7.6-1.0
Avg total163.9175.2152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game82.479.086.4
Allowed / game70.472.068.4
Point differential+12.0+7.0+18.0
Avg total152.7151.0154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%17%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional11110100%91.776.3+15.5
2 Penarol118373%82.470.4+12.0
3 Aguada118373%90.678.8+11.8
4 Malvin118373%79.274.8+4.4
5 Hebraica y Macabi116555%86.188.3-2.2
6 Urunday105550%77.881.0-3.2
7 Bigua125742%83.885.0-1.2
8 Defensor104640%85.181.9+3.2
9 Cordon124833%83.285.4-2.2
10 Urupan103730%79.884.1-4.3
11 Trouville113827%71.284.0-12.8
12 Welcome121118%76.295.4-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Urupan1624251883
Penarol28252626105
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