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Penarol vs Larre Borges Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 89-62
24-15 27-12 14-14 24-21
Position#2
Record7-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game72.8
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#13
Record2-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game91.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Larre Borges winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
76-77
76
77
-1
63avg 72
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
90-73
90
73
+17
88avg 72
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
no box
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
72avg 72
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
88-52
88
52
+36
58avg 72
H23/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
75-67
75
67
+8
48avg 72
A26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
79-72
79
72
+7
67avg 72
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
97-77
97
77
+20
94avg 72
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
89-64
89
64
+25
87avg 72
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
23-19
16-17
23-22
24-19
26-16
11-8
29-30
16-20
20-24
21-25
26-14
15-20
25-23
22-21
20-19
30-11
19-8
19-16
20-17
16-19
19-24
26-12
14-12
19-19
14-20
20-18
26-15
20-30
26-17
22-18
29-12
23-11
20-10
30-21
16-22
158.1Avg total
85.3Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.372.8158.1+12.678%
Season at home (2)90.071.0161.0+19.0100%
Season away (7)84.073.3157.3+10.771%
Last 10 (9)85.372.8158.1+12.678%
Last 5 (5)85.666.4152.0+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)86.577.0163.5+9.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)85.071.6156.6+13.486%
This opponent (Larre Borges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Larre BorgesUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBorges
Date
Competition
Nacional
#3
L
67-95
67
95
-28
49avg 69
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 69
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
86-94
86
94
-8
82avg 69
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 69
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
82-97
82
97
-15
73avg 69
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
80-106
80
106
-26
64avg 69
H25/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
63avg 69
H03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
75-93
75
93
-18
56avg 69
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
66-81
66
81
-15
59avg 69
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
70-103
70
103
-33
59avg 69
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-26
23-23
14-24
20-22
26-17
15-22
23-15
16-29
21-27
23-20
19-22
23-25
22-25
19-19
27-18
20-21
28-34
13-17
16-23
25-23
14-35
24-21
18-34
24-16
28-10
12-24
13-23
22-28
21-25
20-25
13-30
21-13
20-25
19-21
17-18
10-17
14-25
17-23
25-32
14-23
168.9Avg total
76.9Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.491.2169.7-12.817%
Season at home (6)82.588.7171.2-6.233%
Season away (6)74.393.8168.2-19.50%
Last 10 (10)76.992.0168.9-15.110%
Last 5 (5)73.293.6166.8-20.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)80.990.8171.6-9.923%
vs Similar (7)81.185.1166.3-4.029%
vs Weaker (1)81.066.0147.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -2.2-2.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -2.2-2.2
PenarolLarre Borges
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H23/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
77.6Avg total
41.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)41.036.677.6+4.433%-
Last 30 at home (2)42.531.574.0+11.050%-
Last 30 away (7)40.638.078.6+2.629%-
Last 10 (9)41.036.677.6+4.433%-
Last 5 (5)41.233.875.0+7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)41.542.584.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.934.975.7+6.043%-
This opponent (Larre Borges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Larre BorgesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H25/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
85.3Avg total
38.9Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.344.584.8-4.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.041.982.9-0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)39.746.886.4-7.125%-
Last 10 (10)38.946.485.3-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)37.846.884.6-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.945.585.4-5.736%-
vs Similar (7)42.641.984.4+0.757%-
vs Weaker (1)34.039.073.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.4
51.9%
51.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.1
33.2%
33.3%30.4
🏀 Free throws15.411.6
75.6%
71.7%11.6
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Larre Borgestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larre Borges: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.521.8
51.3%
51.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.96.2
24.9%
33.3%18.6
🏀 Free throws19.213.6
70.8%
71.7%13.6
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWWWWLWWL
Larre Borges
LLLLLLWLLL
#2
League position
#13
+16.6
Net rating
-20.6
111.0
Offensive rating
93.5
94.4
Defensive rating
114.1
51.0%
Effective FG%
46.1%
45.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
12.4%
Turnover %
17.9%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.2%
3-point %
24.9%
61.1%
Assist %
54.6%
78%
Form (last 9/10)
10%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 93.5Defence94.4 · 114.1Shooting51.0% · 46.1%3-point %33.2% · 24.9%Ball care12.4% · 17.9%Off. rebounds29.0% · 22.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 9/10)78% · 10%
■ Penarol   ■ Larre Borges
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penarol wins
0
Larre Borges wins
No previous meetings.
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AUrupan89-64
13/12/23ANacional97-77
07/12/23ADefensor79-72
26/11/23ACordon75-67
23/11/23HTrouville88-52
14/11/23AMalvin82-83
08/11/23HBigua92-90 OT
02/11/23AHebraica y Macabi90-73
28/10/23AAguada76-77
Larre Borgeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23AMalvin70-103
09/12/23ACordon66-81
06/12/23ATrouville75-93
03/12/23HDefensor75-85
25/11/23HBigua80-106
21/11/23AUrupan82-97
18/11/23HHebraica y Macabi88-83
14/11/23AAguada86-94
08/11/23HGoes80-83
03/11/23ANacional67-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games927
Win %78%100%71%
Points / game85.390.084.0
Allowed / game72.871.073.3
Point differential+12.6+19.0+10.7
Avg total158.1161.0157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %11%50%0%
Larre Borges
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game78.482.574.3
Allowed / game91.288.793.8
Point differential-12.8-6.2-19.5
Avg total169.7171.2168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional119282%91.283.5+7.7
2 Penarol97278%85.372.8+12.6
3 Aguada129375%85.678.2+7.3
4 Defensor127558%80.277.4+2.8
5 Malvin147750%83.180.4+2.7
6 Hebraica y Macabi126650%82.480.7+1.8
7 Bigua147750%84.484.7-0.3
8 Trouville115645%81.384.0-2.7
9 Cordon114736%71.775.3-3.5
10 Goes114736%82.987.4-4.5
11 Urupan134931%77.485.3-7.9
12 Larre Borges1221017%78.491.2-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2427142489
Larre Borges1512142162
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