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Defensor vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 72-79
19-19 20-14 18-20 15-26
Position#4
Record6-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
Position#2
Record4-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game73.7
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Welcome
Other2023-24
Meetings · Defensor v Penarol
22 May 2026
DEFE61
PENA81
11 Apr 2026
DEFE92
PENA84
04 Feb 2026
DEFE81
PENA84
21 Apr 2025
DEFE96
PENA93
13 Apr 2025
DEFE73
PENA78
28 Feb 2025
DEFE84
PENA85
24 May 2024
DEFE61
PENA80
16 May 2024
DEFE87
PENA68
01 Apr 2024
DEFE67
PENA83
06 Dec 2023
DEFE72
PENA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Defensor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Nacional
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
no box
H05/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#7
L
71-81
71
81
-10
no box
A12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
87-73
87
73
+14
78avg 69
A27/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
85-70
85
70
+15
73avg 69
H02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
64-70
64
70
-6
45avg 69
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
78-67
78
67
+11
73avg 69
H09/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
82-87
82
87
-5
75avg 69
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
75-73
75
73
+2
63avg 69
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
75-67
75
67
+8
66avg 69
H29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
85-75
85
75
+10
76avg 69
A03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
27-19
23-20
23-15
17-13
18-30
18-15
18-23
19-20
28-21
26-18
14-14
23-15
23-23
18-14
21-18
17-18
10-22
17-11
20-19
17-22
26-13
16-18
19-14
26-22
21-18
13-23
22-24
24-18
17-17
15-18
19-20
17-19
25-16
19-20
14-12
10-28
24-12
23-13
28-22
153.0Avg total
79.4Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.972.8151.6+6.175%
Season at home (3)79.368.0147.3+11.3100%
Season away (5)78.675.6154.2+3.060%
Last 10 (10)79.473.6153.0+5.870%
Last 5 (5)79.073.8152.8+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)85.390.3175.7-5.033%
vs Similar (19)79.280.1159.3-0.947%
vs Weaker (5)81.469.6151.0+11.8100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
76-77
76
77
-1
63avg 66
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
90-73
90
73
+17
88avg 66
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
no box
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
72avg 66
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
88-52
88
52
+36
58avg 66
H23/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
75-67
75
67
+8
48avg 66
A26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
23-19
16-17
23-22
24-19
26-16
11-8
29-30
16-20
20-24
21-25
26-14
15-20
25-23
22-21
20-19
30-11
19-8
19-16
20-17
16-19
19-24
26-12
14-12
157.5Avg total
83.8Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.873.7157.5+10.267%
Season at home (2)90.071.0161.0+19.0100%
Season away (4)80.875.0155.8+5.850%
Last 10 (6)83.873.7157.5+10.267%
Last 5 (5)85.473.0158.4+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)76.077.0153.0-1.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)85.473.0158.4+12.480%
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
DefensorPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H05/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A27/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H09/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A03/12
Liga Uruguaya
79.3Avg total
40.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.781.7-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.140.481.4+0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)39.142.881.9-3.850%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.579.3+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.437.078.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)43.248.091.2-4.850%-
vs Similar (19)38.841.079.8-2.242%-
vs Weaker (5)40.636.677.2+4.080%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H23/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A26/11
Liga Uruguaya
78.2Avg total
41.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)41.237.078.2+4.233%-
Last 30 at home (2)42.531.574.0+11.050%-
Last 30 away (4)40.539.880.2+0.825%-
Last 10 (6)41.237.078.2+4.233%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.878.8+5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.036.878.8+5.240%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.1
47.4%
51.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.89.8
31.7%
33.3%29.2
🏀 Free throws18.912.8
67.5%
71.7%12.8
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.4
53.1%
51.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.6
31.8%
33.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws14.211.0
77.5%
71.7%11.0
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/5 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Defensor
WWWLWLWWLW
Penarol
WWLWWL
#4
League position
#2
+8.2
Net rating
+14.2
103.1
Offensive rating
107.7
94.9
Defensive rating
93.5
47.5%
Effective FG%
50.7%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
44.6%
12.6%
Turnover %
13.7%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.21
31.7%
3-point %
31.8%
60.1%
Assist %
64.7%
70%
Form (last 10/6)
67%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 107.7Defence94.9 · 93.5Shooting47.5% · 50.7%3-point %31.7% · 31.8%Ball care12.6% · 13.7%Off. rebounds26.8% · 27.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.21Form (last 10/6)70% · 67%
■ Defensor   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Defensor wins
0
Penarol wins
No previous meetings.
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23ALarre Borges85-75
29/11/23HCordon75-67
21/11/23AMalvin75-73
14/11/23ABigua82-87
09/11/23HUrupan78-67
05/11/23AHebraica y Macabi64-70
02/11/23HAguada85-70
27/10/23AGoes87-73
12/04/23ANacional71-81
05/04/23HNacional92-73
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23ACordon75-67
23/11/23HTrouville88-52
14/11/23AMalvin82-83
08/11/23HBigua92-90 OT
02/11/23AHebraica y Macabi90-73
28/10/23AAguada76-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %75%100%60%
Points / game78.979.378.6
Allowed / game72.868.075.6
Point differential+6.1+11.3+3.0
Avg total151.6147.3154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game83.890.080.8
Allowed / game73.771.075.0
Point differential+10.2+19.0+5.8
Avg total157.5161.0155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %17%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional98189%91.981.1+10.8
2 Defensor86275%78.972.8+6.1
3 Aguada118373%85.078.4+6.6
4 Penarol64267%83.873.7+10.2
5 Malvin116555%84.080.6+3.4
6 Hebraica y Macabi115645%82.681.9+0.7
7 Bigua115645%84.385.5-1.3
8 Trouville94544%80.483.0-2.6
9 Goes104640%82.786.8-4.1
10 Cordon103730%70.876.2-5.4
11 Urupan103730%77.386.0-8.7
12 Larre Borges102820%80.591.1-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Defensor1920181572
Penarol1914202679
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