PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Urupan vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 64-89
11-23 10-20 21-30 22-16
Position#9
Record4-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
Position#2
Record6-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game73.9
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Urupan
Other2023-24
Meetings · Urupan v Penarol
10 Jan 2025
URUP83
PENA105
15 Dec 2023
URUP64
PENA89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urupan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UrupanUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrupan
Date
Competition
Defensor
#4
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 69
A09/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
88-84
88
84
+4
90avg 69
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
63-82
63
82
-19
45avg 69
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
97-82
97
82
+15
97avg 69
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 69
A24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
85-87
85
87
-2
76avg 69
H28/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
58-91
58
91
-33
43avg 69
A01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
80-98
80
98
-18
73avg 69
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
79-61
79
61
+18
66avg 69
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
90-99
90
99
-9
90avg 69
H12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
13-26
18-16
14-19
22-19
23-12
23-22
20-31
10-19
14-24
21-16
18-23
34-28
17-13
23-16
23-25
21-24
19-26
18-22
20-19
19-28
19-22
32-14
15-23
10-23
23-23
17-20
8-25
17-16
22-30
17-25
24-27
15-15
23-19
18-16
23-11
26-26
31-25
20-18
13-30
163.8Avg total
78.5Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.585.0163.5-6.533%
Season at home (7)83.184.7167.9-1.643%
Season away (5)72.085.4157.4-13.420%
Last 10 (10)78.585.3163.8-6.830%
Last 5 (5)78.487.2165.6-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.583.2158.7-7.733%
vs Similar (17)79.982.6162.5-2.841%
vs Weaker (7)78.669.7148.3+8.971%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
76-77
76
77
-1
63avg 70
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
90-73
90
73
+17
88avg 70
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
no box
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
72avg 70
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
88-52
88
52
+36
58avg 70
H23/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
75-67
75
67
+8
48avg 70
A26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
79-72
79
72
+7
67avg 70
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
97-77
97
77
+20
94avg 70
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
23-19
16-17
23-22
24-19
26-16
11-8
29-30
16-20
20-24
21-25
26-14
15-20
25-23
22-21
20-19
30-11
19-8
19-16
20-17
16-19
19-24
26-12
14-12
19-19
14-20
20-18
26-15
20-30
26-17
22-18
29-12
158.8Avg total
84.9Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.973.9158.8+11.075%
Season at home (2)90.071.0161.0+19.0100%
Season away (6)83.274.8158.0+8.367%
Last 10 (8)84.973.9158.8+11.075%
Last 5 (5)84.270.2154.4+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)86.577.0163.5+9.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)84.372.8157.2+11.583%
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: +5.8+5.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: +5.8+5.8
UrupanPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UrupanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A09/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
24-43
24
43
-19
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H28/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H12/12
Liga Uruguaya
83.5Avg total
40.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)42.443.686.0-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.642.486.0+1.164%-
Last 30 away (14)41.344.886.1-3.536%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.583.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.045.486.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.046.285.2-7.233%-
vs Similar (16)42.843.286.0-0.550%-
vs Weaker (6)45.042.087.0+3.067%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H23/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
79.2Avg total
40.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)40.838.579.2+2.225%-
Last 30 at home (2)42.531.574.0+11.050%-
Last 30 away (6)40.240.881.0-0.717%-
Last 10 (8)40.838.579.2+2.225%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.278.8+2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)41.542.584.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.537.277.7+3.333%-
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Urupantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urupan: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.1
50.9%
51.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.9
33.7%
33.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.211.0
67.9%
71.7%11.0
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.1 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.6
52.9%
51.0%41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.6
32.1%
33.3%28.7
🏀 Free throws16.112.3
76.1%
71.7%12.3
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Urupan
LWLLLLWLWL
Penarol
WWWWLWWL
#9
League position
#2
-8.1
Net rating
+14.6
101.6
Offensive rating
110.3
109.7
Defensive rating
95.7
50.8%
Effective FG%
50.8%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
16.3%
Turnover %
12.7%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.7%
3-point %
32.1%
62.8%
Assist %
61.1%
30%
Form (last 10/8)
75%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 110.3Defence109.7 · 95.7Shooting50.8% · 50.8%3-point %33.7% · 32.1%Ball care16.3% · 12.7%Off. rebounds22.9% · 28.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/8)30% · 75%
■ Urupan   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Urupan wins
0
Penarol wins
No previous meetings.
Urupanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/23HBigua90-99
09/12/23HMalvin79-61
06/12/23HHebraica y Macabi80-98
01/12/23AAguada58-91
28/11/23HGoes85-87
24/11/23ANacional78-91
21/11/23HLarre Borges97-82
18/11/23HCordon63-82
14/11/23HTrouville88-84
09/11/23ADefensor67-78
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23ANacional97-77
07/12/23ADefensor79-72
26/11/23ACordon75-67
23/11/23HTrouville88-52
14/11/23AMalvin82-83
08/11/23HBigua92-90 OT
02/11/23AHebraica y Macabi90-73
28/10/23AAguada76-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urupan
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWLLWL43%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %33%43%20%
Points / game78.583.172.0
Allowed / game85.084.785.4
Point differential-6.5-1.6-13.4
Avg total163.5167.9157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game84.990.083.2
Allowed / game73.971.074.8
Point differential+11.0+19.0+8.3
Avg total158.8161.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %12%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional119282%91.283.5+7.7
2 Penarol86275%84.973.9+11.0
3 Aguada129375%85.678.2+7.3
4 Defensor127558%80.277.4+2.8
5 Malvin137654%83.779.7+4.0
6 Hebraica y Macabi126650%82.480.7+1.8
7 Bigua136746%84.185.5-1.4
8 Trouville115645%81.384.0-2.7
9 Cordon114736%71.775.3-3.5
10 Goes114736%82.987.4-4.5
11 Urupan124833%78.585.0-6.5
12 Larre Borges1221017%78.491.2-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Urupan1110212264
Penarol2320301689
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.