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Penarol vs Trouville Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 93-75
23-16 22-24 21-18 27-17
Position#3
Record10-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game72.9
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#13
Record4-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game83.5
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2024-25
Meetings · Penarol v Trouville
27 Jan 2025
PENA93
TROU75
06 May 2024
PENA87
TROU77
30 Apr 2024
PENA92
TROU87
22 Nov 2023
PENA88
TROU52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trouville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Urunday
#8
W
94-67
94
67
+27
97avg 75
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
76-73
76
73
+3
67avg 75
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
91-66
91
66
+25
96avg 75
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
70-64
70
64
+6
61avg 75
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
93-65
93
65
+28
94avg 75
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
97-56
97
56
+41
94avg 75
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
105-83
105
83
+22
107avg 75
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
59avg 75
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
85-89
85
89
-4
78avg 75
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 75
H25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
25-17
23-21
24-14
23-24
19-17
22-16
12-16
17-21
28-18
21-12
25-15
14-19
14-17
24-14
18-14
31-15
18-24
21-17
23-9
27-7
27-15
18-22
25-12
28-16
25-24
26-25
26-18
10-19
22-16
23-21
14-21
23-24
17-26
25-22
20-17
15-21
19-16
20-16
25-17
156.9Avg total
85.9Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.972.9155.8+10.167%
Season at home (8)79.873.9153.6+5.975%
Season away (7)86.671.7158.3+14.957%
Last 10 (10)85.971.0156.9+14.980%
Last 5 (5)87.075.0162.0+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.584.5166.0-3.00%
vs Similar (10)76.578.3154.8-1.830%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.772.4159.1+14.383%
This opponent (Trouville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrouvilleUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrouville
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
83-77
83
77
+6
72avg 68
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
62-88
62
88
-26
45avg 68
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
59-90
59
90
-31
44avg 68
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
65-83
65
83
-18
59avg 68
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
78-74
78
74
+4
68avg 68
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
56-97
56
97
-41
52avg 68
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
68-71
68
71
-3
58avg 68
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
79-88
79
88
-9
50avg 68
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
87-92
87
92
-5
77avg 68
A18/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
81-77
81
77
+4
73avg 68
A23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
19-21
26-19
22-19
25-24
5-26
17-11
15-27
6-28
15-26
14-18
24-18
20-19
12-19
18-22
15-23
23-16
23-23
14-17
18-18
7-27
15-27
22-18
12-25
15-27
18-11
21-19
14-14
25-24
22-18
17-26
15-20
27-26
16-23
15-21
29-22
13-16
20-22
13-21
35-18
155.5Avg total
71.8Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.283.5156.7-10.327%
Season at home (8)72.283.5155.8-11.225%
Season away (7)74.383.4157.7-9.129%
Last 10 (10)71.883.7155.5-11.930%
Last 5 (5)74.285.0159.2-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)74.983.5158.4-8.632%
vs Similar (4)49.546.095.5+3.575%
vs Weaker (1)20.00.020.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
PenarolTrouville
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#8
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
54-22
54
22
+32
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H25/01
Liga Uruguaya
79.5Avg total
42.4Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.938.681.5+4.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.939.880.8+1.141%-
Last 30 away (13)45.537.082.5+8.569%-
Last 10 (10)42.437.179.5+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.879.4+5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.045.086.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (10)39.638.478.0+1.230%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.938.082.9+6.967%-
This opponent (Trouville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrouvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
21-54
21
54
-33
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
22-54
22
54
-32
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A18/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A23/01
Liga Uruguaya
78.3Avg total
34.2Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)36.845.181.9-8.322%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.545.479.9-10.815%-
Last 30 away (14)38.944.983.8-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)34.244.178.3-9.920%-
Last 5 (5)35.644.279.8-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.345.481.7-9.120%-
vs Similar (2)43.041.584.5+1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.8
53.7%
51.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.0
37.0%
33.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.512.3
70.3%
71.7%12.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trouvilletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trouville: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.616.2
48.2%
51.5%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.89.8
30.8%
33.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.59.4
64.8%
71.7%9.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WLLWWWWWWW
Trouville
WLLLLWLLLW
#3
League position
#13
+19.7
Net rating
-15.4
113.6
Offensive rating
96.8
94.0
Defensive rating
112.2
54.5%
Effective FG%
47.2%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
13.7%
Turnover %
18.3%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.0%
3-point %
30.8%
71.4%
Assist %
61.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 96.8Defence94.0 · 112.2Shooting54.5% · 47.2%3-point %37.0% · 30.8%Ball care13.7% · 18.3%Off. rebounds27.2% · 29.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Penarol   ■ Trouville
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Penarol wins
0
Trouville wins
DateGameScore
07/01/25Trouville v Penarol56-97
07/05/24Penarol v Trouville87-77
04/05/24Trouville v Penarol64-92
01/05/24Penarol v Trouville92-87
28/01/24Trouville v Penarol83-91
23/11/23Penarol v Trouville88-52
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HMalvin79-70
19/01/25HNacional85-89
15/01/25AAguada69-77
10/01/25AUrupan105-83
07/01/25ATrouville97-56
04/01/25AHebraica y Macabi93-65
20/12/24HDefensor70-64
11/12/24AWelcome91-66
06/12/24HBigua76-73
02/12/24HUrunday94-67
Trouvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25ANacional81-77
18/01/25ABigua87-92
13/01/25HHebraica y Macabi79-88
10/01/25HUrunday68-71
07/01/25HPenarol56-97
03/01/25HCordon78-74
17/12/24AAguada65-83
13/12/24ADefensor59-90
07/12/24HUrupan62-88
02/12/24HWelcome83-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%75%57%
Points / game82.979.886.6
Allowed / game72.973.971.7
Point differential+10.1+5.9+14.9
Avg total155.8153.6158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%12%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Trouville
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW27%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%25%29%
Points / game73.272.274.3
Allowed / game83.583.583.4
Point differential-10.3-11.2-9.1
Avg total156.7155.8157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional1514193%90.977.3+13.6
2 Aguada1511473%89.579.7+9.8
3 Penarol1510567%82.972.9+10.1
4 Malvin1510567%79.777.5+2.1
5 Defensor158753%86.280.9+5.3
6 Bigua157847%84.384.7-0.4
7 Hebraica y Macabi157847%86.088.6-2.6
8 Cordon156940%83.886.1-2.3
9 Urunday156940%78.384.0-5.7
10 Urupan1541127%80.485.4-5.0
11 Trouville1541127%73.283.5-10.3
12 Welcome1531220%78.793.4-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2322212793
Trouville1624181775
← all games of the day
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