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Penarol vs Argentino Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 22 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game74.8
Penarol
Argentina
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Argentino
Argentina
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game79.5
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2026-27
Meetings · Penarol v Argentino
23 Jan 2027
PENA v ARGE
upcoming
22 Dec 2026
PENA v ARGE
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
PENA69
ARGE74
05 Feb 2025
PENA94
ARGE62
10 May 2024
PENA84
ARGE77
12 Jan 2023
PENA92
ARGE82
04 Mar 2022
PENA73
ARGE71
10 Nov 2020
PENA92
ARGE71
21 Nov 2019
PENA85
ARGE82
09 Apr 2019
PENA74
ARGE81
26 Sep 2018
PENA95
ARGE62
07 Jan 2018
PENA68
ARGE72
25 Sep 2017
PENA98
ARGE77
23 Mar 2017
PENA74
ARGE83
16 Nov 2016
PENA70
ARGE71
16 Jan 2016
PENA95
ARGE74
20 Oct 2015
PENA90
ARGE78
30 Jan 2015
PENA100
ARGE67
10 Dec 2014
PENA99
ARGE77
18 Nov 2014
PENA78
ARGE65
19 Jan 2014
PENA108
ARGE86
14 Nov 2013
PENA74
ARGE64
10 Nov 2013
PENA74
ARGE50
19 Dec 2012
PENA70
ARGE75
07 Oct 2012
PENA81
ARGE72
27 Mar 2011
PENA79
ARGE62
01 Dec 2010
PENA107
ARGE77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Argentino win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
83avg 75
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
61avg 75
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
62-57
62
57
+5
54avg 75
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 75
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 75
A17/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
95-76
95
76
+19
86avg 75
H28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A31/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
A03/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A11/11
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
A13/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
18-23
25-21
22-11
19-22
23-26
10-22
16-14
17-14
13-15
14-6
18-22
18-26
27-17
26-23
13-11
28-22
17-22
26-18
21-23
23-11
25-21
24-25
23-19
19-15
11-23
20-21
23-19
20-17
23-18
24-23
20-16
19-17
29-24
16-15
15-19
22-20
13-19
15-18
35-19
156.9Avg total
81.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.174.8156.9+7.488%
Season at home (2)78.566.5145.0+12.0100%
Season away (6)83.377.5160.8+5.883%
Last 10 (10)81.275.7156.9+5.580%
Last 5 (5)83.875.8159.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.581.0152.5-9.550%
vs Similar (19)82.580.7163.2+1.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.076.6158.6+5.478%
This opponent (Argentino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArgentinoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArgentino
Date
Competition
Atenas
#18
W
61-53
61
53
+8
51avg 65
H10/05
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
88-77
88
77
+11
78avg 65
H13/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
79-68
79
68
+11
59avg 65
H01/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
82-79
82
79
+3
70avg 65
H11/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
82-87
82
87
-5
67avg 65
H12/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
W
84-82
84
82
+2
76avg 65
H22/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
76-78
76
78
-2
68avg 65
H24/10
Liga A
La Union
#14
L
57-75
57
75
-18
no box
A04/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
84-98
84
98
-14
no box
A06/11
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
H11/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
18-23
12-8
16-9
17-25
26-20
21-14
24-18
21-17
23-20
14-22
21-9
28-24
17-16
15-16
22-23
21-19
24-18
23-29
14-21
25-24
21-19
12-17
26-22
23-20
15-26
20-14
18-18
12-23
18-15
14-22
13-15
15-20
29-30
21-23
19-25
21-21
25-22
15-14
18-12
153.8Avg total
77.2Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.979.5157.4-1.650%
Season at home (6)80.377.2157.5+3.267%
Season away (2)70.586.5157.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)77.276.6153.8+0.660%
Last 5 (5)76.080.4156.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)76.985.9162.8-9.032%
vs Similar (4)74.877.5152.2-2.850%
vs Weaker (1)82.079.0161.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
PenarolArgentino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A31/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A03/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A11/11
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A13/11
Liga A
79.8Avg total
40.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.481.9-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.238.676.8-0.442%-
Last 30 away (18)42.143.285.3-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.279.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.077.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.043.086.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (19)40.342.182.4-1.737%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.439.680.0+0.967%-
This opponent (Argentino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArgentinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atenas
#18
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H10/05
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H13/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H01/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H11/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H12/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H22/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H24/10
Liga A
La Union
#14
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A04/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A06/11
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H11/11
Liga A
82.9Avg total
41.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.744.284.9-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.242.183.3-0.944%-
Last 30 away (12)39.947.387.2-7.425%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.582.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.084.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)40.444.785.2-4.332%-
vs Similar (4)41.042.083.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (1)45.040.085.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.9
56.2%
54.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
32.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.617.5
68.4%
72.7%17.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Argentinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Argentino: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.4
47.0%
54.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.8
35.2%
32.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.817.0
71.4%
72.7%17.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWWLWWWWLW
Argentino
WLLLWLWWWW
#2
League position
#9
+4.1
Net rating
-1.2
113.4
Offensive rating
108.5
109.3
Defensive rating
109.7
52.9%
Effective FG%
49.4%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.3%
3-point %
35.2%
48.4%
Assist %
35.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 108.5Defence109.3 · 109.7Shooting52.9% · 49.4%3-point %32.3% · 35.2%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.42 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Penarol   ■ Argentino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Penarol wins
4
Argentino wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26Penarol v Argentino69-74
13/01/26Argentino v Penarol84-83
06/02/25Penarol v Argentino94-62
22/10/24Argentino v Penarol83-85
11/05/24Penarol v Argentino84-77
12/11/23Argentino v Penarol81-66
13/01/23Penarol v Argentino92-82
11/12/22Argentino v Penarol72-73
16/04/22Argentino v Penarol92-66
05/03/22Penarol v Argentino73-71
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AFerro85-76
11/11/26APlatense79-75
03/11/26AOlimpico87-74
31/10/26AQuimsa73-78
28/10/26HSan Martin95-76
17/10/26ASan Lorenzo92-85
14/10/26ALanus84-77
30/09/26HGimnasia62-57
03/05/26HFerro68-84
01/05/26HFerro87-75
Argentinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HRegatas79-69
06/11/26AObera TC84-98
04/11/26ALa Union57-75
24/10/26HQuimsa76-78
22/10/26HBoca Juniors84-82
12/10/26HGimnasia82-87
11/10/26HSan Martin82-79
01/10/26HFerro79-68
13/05/26HAtenas88-77
10/05/26HAtenas61-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %88%100%83%
Points / game82.178.583.3
Allowed / game74.866.577.5
Point differential+7.4+12.0+5.8
Avg total156.9145.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Argentino
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game77.980.370.5
Allowed / game79.577.286.5
Point differential-1.6+3.2-16.0
Avg total157.4157.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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