Penarol vs Comunicaciones Mercedes Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 92-76

18-19 25-19 30-19 19-19

Position#11

Record3-10

FormLLLWW

Points / game75.4

Allowed / game87.7

Penarol 🏆

Comunicaciones Mercedes

Position#20

Record4-10

FormLLLLL

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game82.2

Liga A

Other2023-24

Meetings · Penarol v Comunicaciones Mercedes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Comunicaciones Mercedes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPenarol

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

89-106

106

-17

76avg 63

H19/10

Liga A

Argentino

#17

66-81

-15

55avg 63

A12/11

Liga A

Ferro

#13

73-80

-7

61avg 63

A14/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

65-88

-23

48avg 63

A15/11

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

67-79

-12

59avg 63

H21/11

Liga A

Olimpico

66-89

-23

48avg 63

A30/11

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

75-83

-8

67avg 63

A02/12

Liga A

Quimsa

75-98

-23

61avg 63

H06/12

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

87-74

+13

81avg 63

H08/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

87-85

74avg 63

H17/12

Liga A

18-26

21-29

17-25

33-26

15-17

21-28

14-18

16-18

13-23

22-14

25-20

10-25

20-20

17-21

18-22

30-20

13-18

8-21

16-20

15-18

20-24

15-21

16-26

17-18

17-25

16-21

25-19

19-22

14-23

30-23

12-30

20-14

23-23

25-23

19-14

29-12

16-29

18-25

24-19

161.3Avg total

75.0Scored

86.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	75.4	87.7	163.1	-12.3	23%
Season at home (6)	79.5	89.0	168.5	-9.5	33%
Season away (7)	71.9	86.6	158.4	-14.7	14%
Last 10 (10)	75.0	86.3	161.3	-11.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	85.8	163.8	-7.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	77.0	89.2	166.2	-12.2	18%
vs Similar (18)	80.2	86.7	166.9	-6.4	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	95.0	86.0	181.0	+9.0	100%

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Comunicaciones Mercedes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMercedes

Date

Competition

Argentino

#17

87-82

77avg 70

H28/10

Liga A

La Union

#16

76-75

71avg 70

H06/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

64-77

-13

47avg 70

H11/11

Liga A

Regatas

#10

75-80

-5

66avg 70

A20/11

Liga A

San Martin

69-83

-14

61avg 70

A23/11

Liga A

Olimpico

72-77

-5

65avg 70

A28/11

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

85-88

-3

76avg 70

A30/11

Liga A

Ferro

#13

87-89 OT

-2

no box

H04/12

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

71-78

-7

60avg 70

H09/12

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

93-94

-1

92avg 70

H12/12

Liga A

27-21

18-15

24-22

18-24

9-16

28-21

18-22

21-16

21-25

18-19

7-16

18-17

21-21

19-16

17-19

18-24

16-24

20-20

16-16

17-23

18-23

12-18

17-22

25-14

18-26

17-21

26-21

24-20

26-20

24-26

14-20

18-16

17-20

11-15

27-22

16-21

25-14

25-23

21-25

22-32

160.2Avg total

77.9Scored

82.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	78.6	82.2	160.9	-3.6	29%
Season at home (8)	81.6	81.0	162.6	+0.6	50%
Season away (6)	74.7	83.8	158.5	-9.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	82.3	160.2	-4.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	85.2	166.8	-3.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	78.9	87.1	166.0	-8.2	17%
vs Similar (5)	83.0	80.2	163.2	+2.8	60%
vs Weaker (1)	90.0	81.0	171.0	+9.0	100%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolComunicaciones Mercedes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.7	39.3	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	18.9	40.6	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	20.5	38.1	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.5	38.1	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.8	36.8	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	64%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	30.0	21.0	51.0	+9.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.9	41.9	-1.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	23.1	42.3	-3.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	20.2	22.1	42.3	-1.8	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	26.0	50.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	21.9	40.2	-3.6	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	20.9	38.4	-3.3	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	22.9	42.0	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	24.2	42.0	-6.4	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	24.8	42.8	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.3	23.7	41.0	-6.5	18%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.9	20.9	39.9	-2.0	28%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.0	39.1	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	21.1	39.7	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.7	20.8	39.4	-2.1	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	19.0	46.0	+8.0	100%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

39-55

-16

H19/10

Liga A

Argentino

#17

36-45

-9

A12/11

Liga A

Ferro

#13

26-46

-20

A14/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

30-45

-15

A15/11

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

43-38

H21/11

Liga A

Olimpico

35-42

-7

A30/11

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

34-43

-9

A02/12

Liga A

Quimsa

33-45

-12

H06/12

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

43-37

H08/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

45-41

H17/12

Liga A

80.1Avg total

36.4Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	41.6	79.5	-3.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	39.7	79.0	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	43.4	80.1	-6.7	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	43.7	80.1	-7.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	41.6	79.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	38.5	42.7	81.2	-4.3	27%	-
vs Similar (18)	37.1	40.9	78.1	-3.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	48.0	40.0	88.0	+8.0	100%	-

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Comunicaciones MercedesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

#17

45-36

H28/10

Liga A

La Union

#16

37-37

H06/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

39-44

-5

H11/11

Liga A

Regatas

#10

40-37

A20/11

Liga A

San Martin

36-44

-8

A23/11

Liga A

Olimpico

30-41

-11

A28/11

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

35-47

-12

A30/11

Liga A

Ferro

#13

50-46

H04/12

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

28-35

-7

H09/12

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

50-37

+13

H12/12

Liga A

79.4Avg total

39.0Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	41.9	81.0	-2.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.6	41.7	81.3	-2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.6	42.1	80.7	-3.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	40.4	79.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	41.2	79.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	38.9	42.8	81.8	-3.9	42%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.6	36.8	74.4	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	51.0	45.0	96.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	23.2	41.8	-4.6	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	24.0	42.5	-5.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	22.3	41.1	-3.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.2	39.4	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.4	23.8	41.2	-6.5	18%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.2	22.7	41.9	-3.6	28%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	22.0	24.0	46.0	-2.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.2	41.7	-0.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.5	39.2	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.8	21.3	41.1	-1.6	21%	-
vs Similar (5)	24.8	21.2	46.0	+3.6	80%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.7	43.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	19.9	41.5	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	23.6	45.9	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.2	22.6	43.8	-1.5	45%	-
vs Similar (18)	22.3	21.2	43.5	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	25.0	22.0	47.0	+3.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	22.4	42.6	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	23.6	44.9	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.7	40.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	20.0	22.6	42.7	-2.6	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.6	22.2	42.8	-1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	44.9	85.5	-4.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	43.9	84.0	-3.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	45.9	87.0	-4.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	42.6	81.2	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	44.2	84.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	38.5	46.5	85.0	-7.9	18%	-
vs Similar (18)	41.5	43.9	85.4	-2.4	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	47.0	46.0	93.0	+1.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	43.6	84.3	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	41.4	81.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	45.8	87.1	-4.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	41.2	79.6	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	42.6	84.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	39.8	44.0	83.8	-4.2	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	45.4	43.4	88.8	+2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	36.0	75.0	+3.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Comunicaciones Mercedes wins

Date	Game	Score
20/03/23	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Penarol	99-78
17/02/23	Penarol v Comunicaciones Mercedes	85-70
08/03/22	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Penarol	71-68
21/12/21	Penarol v Comunicaciones Mercedes	84-68
08/02/21	Penarol v Comunicaciones Mercedes	86-83
10/12/20	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Penarol	64-58
12/12/19	Penarol v Comunicaciones Mercedes	81-89
16/11/19	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Penarol	81-63
05/04/19	Penarol v Comunicaciones Mercedes	71-64
18/02/19	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Penarol	78-76

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/12/23	H	Gimnasia	87-85
08/12/23	H	Riachuelo	87-74
06/12/23	H	Quimsa	75-98
02/12/23	A	Independiente de Oliva	75-83
30/11/23	A	Olimpico	66-89
21/11/23	H	Instituto de Cordoba	67-79
15/11/23	A	San Lorenzo	65-88
14/11/23	A	Ferro	73-80
12/11/23	A	Argentino	66-81
19/10/23	H	Obras Sanitarias	89-106

Comunicaciones Mercedeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/12/23	H	Obera TC	93-94
09/12/23	H	Union De Santa Fe	71-78
04/12/23	H	Ferro	87-89 OT
30/11/23	A	Independiente de Oliva	85-88
28/11/23	A	Olimpico	72-77
23/11/23	A	San Martin	69-83
20/11/23	A	Regatas	75-80
11/11/23	H	San Lorenzo	64-77
06/11/23	H	La Union	76-75
28/10/23	H	Argentino	87-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	23%
Home	LLLWW	33%
Away	LLLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	23%	33%	14%
Points / game	75.4	79.5	71.9
Allowed / game	87.7	89.0	86.6
Point differential	-12.3	-9.5	-14.7
Avg total	163.1	168.5	158.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Comunicaciones Mercedes

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	29%
Home	WLLLL	50%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	29%	50%	0%
Points / game	78.6	81.6	74.7
Allowed / game	82.2	81.0	83.8
Point differential	-3.6	+0.6	-9.2
Avg total	160.9	162.6	158.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	12%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	60% (5)	0% (3)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	13	12	1	92%	83.8	75.6	+8.2
2	Olimpico	13	11	2	85%	87.7	75.3	+12.4
3	Platense	13	10	3	77%	80.2	74.1	+6.1
4	Obras Sanitarias	11	8	3	73%	87.6	85.4	+2.3
5	Instituto de Cordoba	13	9	4	69%	80.6	75.2	+5.4
6	San Lorenzo	14	9	5	64%	74.7	68.5	+6.2
7	Boca Juniors	13	8	5	62%	79.8	73.5	+6.3
8	San Martin	14	8	6	57%	78.1	73.1	+4.9
9	Regatas	14	8	6	57%	75.1	75.0	+0.1
10	Obera TC	13	7	6	54%	83.5	83.3	+0.2
11	Zarate	12	6	6	50%	71.2	78.2	-7.0
12	Gimnasia	15	7	8	47%	83.8	82.3	+1.5
13	Riachuelo	14	6	8	43%	81.6	81.9	-0.2
14	Independiente de Oliva	14	6	8	43%	77.4	80.8	-3.4
15	Comunicaciones Mercedes	14	4	10	29%	78.6	82.2	-3.6
16	Ferro	14	4	10	29%	75.1	81.4	-6.4
17	La Union	13	3	10	23%	75.8	81.8	-6.0
18	Penarol	13	3	10	23%	75.4	87.7	-12.3
19	Union De Santa Fe	13	2	11	15%	76.9	83.8	-6.8
20	Argentino	13	2	11	15%	77.1	85.2	-8.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	18	25	30	19	92
Comunicaciones Mercedes	19	19	19	19	76

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Penarol vs Comunicaciones Mercedes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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