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Penarol vs Instituto de Cordoba Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 23 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game74.8
Penarol
Argentina
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Instituto de Cordoba
Argentina
Position#4
Record6-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game76.5
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2026-27
Meetings · Penarol v Instituto de Cordoba
23 Mar 2027
PENA v INST
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
PENA85
INST83
09 Apr 2025
PENA89
INST71
20 Nov 2023
PENA67
INST79
16 Mar 2023
PENA69
INST83
13 Dec 2022
PENA64
INST56
28 Mar 2022
PENA80
INST90
15 Dec 2020
PENA58
INST83
01 Apr 2020
PENA v INST
upcoming
11 Mar 2019
PENA62
INST76
05 Mar 2018
PENA74
INST77
24 Jan 2017
PENA88
INST82
12 Jan 2016
PENA89
INST66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Instituto de Cordoba win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
83avg 78
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
61avg 78
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
62-57
62
57
+5
54avg 78
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 78
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 78
A17/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
95-76
95
76
+19
86avg 78
H28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A31/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
A03/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A11/11
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
A13/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
18-23
25-21
22-11
19-22
23-26
10-22
16-14
17-14
13-15
14-6
18-22
18-26
27-17
26-23
13-11
28-22
17-22
26-18
21-23
23-11
25-21
24-25
23-19
19-15
11-23
20-21
23-19
20-17
23-18
24-23
20-16
19-17
29-24
16-15
15-19
22-20
13-19
15-18
35-19
156.9Avg total
81.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.174.8156.9+7.488%
Season at home (2)78.566.5145.0+12.0100%
Season away (6)83.377.5160.8+5.883%
Last 10 (10)81.275.7156.9+5.580%
Last 5 (5)83.875.8159.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.581.0152.5-9.550%
vs Similar (19)82.580.7163.2+1.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.076.6158.6+5.478%
This opponent (Instituto de Cordoba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Instituto de CordobaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordoba
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
83-80
83
80
+3
76avg 71
H16/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
71-75
71
75
-4
68avg 71
A20/05
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
81-73
81
73
+8
74avg 71
A01/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
L
63-73
63
73
-10
55avg 71
A03/10
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
89avg 71
H10/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
75-73
75
73
+2
75avg 71
H22/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
57-58
57
58
-1
no box
H01/11
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
75-71
75
71
+4
no box
H04/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
no box
A08/11
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
83-82
83
82
+1
no box
A11/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
30-12
15-23
17-24
17-30
12-15
24-16
18-14
22-19
19-23
17-12
23-19
12-17
19-12
16-18
16-26
12-17
20-22
22-12
19-22
18-22
20-18
21-13
16-20
17-16
12-10
15-14
13-18
12-32
25-15
27-14
11-10
18-28
23-23
16-13
24-17
10-18
29-24
15-29
29-11
154.4Avg total
77.7Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.976.5154.4+1.475%
Season at home (4)76.074.0150.0+2.075%
Season away (4)79.879.0158.8+0.875%
Last 10 (10)77.776.7154.4+1.070%
Last 5 (5)76.474.4150.8+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.680.4155.0-5.933%
vs Similar (16)77.175.3152.4+1.856%
vs Weaker (5)84.875.6160.4+9.2100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
PenarolInstituto de Cordoba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A31/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A03/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A11/11
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A13/11
Liga A
79.8Avg total
40.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.481.9-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.238.676.8-0.442%-
Last 30 away (18)42.143.285.3-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.279.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.077.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.043.086.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (19)40.342.182.4-1.737%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.439.680.0+0.967%-
This opponent (Instituto de Cordoba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Instituto de CordobaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H16/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A20/05
Liga A
San Martin
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A01/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A03/10
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H10/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H22/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H01/11
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A08/11
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A11/11
Liga A
76.2Avg total
36.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.377.1+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.937.877.6+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)37.938.876.7-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.476.2-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.278.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.342.278.6-5.922%-
vs Similar (16)40.235.976.2+4.375%-
vs Weaker (5)38.838.877.6+0.040%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.9
56.2%
54.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
32.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.617.5
68.4%
72.7%17.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Instituto de Cordobatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Instituto de Cordoba: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.7
56.4%
54.4%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.7
31.0%
32.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.013.5
71.1%
72.7%13.5
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWWLWWWWLW
Instituto de Cordoba
WWWLWWLWLW
#2
League position
#4
+4.1
Net rating
-3.9
113.4
Offensive rating
104.7
109.3
Defensive rating
108.6
52.9%
Effective FG%
51.7%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.3%
3-point %
31.0%
48.4%
Assist %
53.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 104.7Defence109.3 · 108.6Shooting52.9% · 51.7%3-point %32.3% · 31.0%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.42 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Penarol   ■ Instituto de Cordoba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Penarol wins
5
Instituto de Cordoba wins
DateGameScore
29/03/26Instituto de Cordoba v Penarol68-83
12/10/25Penarol v Instituto de Cordoba85-83
10/04/25Penarol v Instituto de Cordoba89-71
23/12/24Instituto de Cordoba v Penarol86-64
15/02/24Instituto de Cordoba v Penarol74-67
21/11/23Penarol v Instituto de Cordoba67-79
17/03/23Penarol v Instituto de Cordoba69-83
08/02/23Instituto de Cordoba v Penarol78-71
14/01/23Instituto de Cordoba v Penarol80-89
13/12/22Penarol v Instituto de Cordoba64-56
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AFerro85-76
11/11/26APlatense79-75
03/11/26AOlimpico87-74
31/10/26AQuimsa73-78
28/10/26HSan Martin95-76
17/10/26ASan Lorenzo92-85
14/10/26ALanus84-77
30/09/26HGimnasia62-57
03/05/26HFerro68-84
01/05/26HFerro87-75
Instituto de Cordobalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AOlimpico83-82
08/11/26AQuimsa92-88 OT
04/11/26HRacing de Chivilcoy75-71
01/11/26HGimnasia57-58
22/10/26HLanus75-73
10/10/26HFerro97-94 OT
03/10/26ARegatas63-73
01/10/26ASan Martin81-73
20/05/26AQuimsa71-75
16/05/26HQuimsa83-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %88%100%83%
Points / game82.178.583.3
Allowed / game74.866.577.5
Point differential+7.4+12.0+5.8
Avg total156.9145.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Instituto de Cordoba
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game77.976.079.8
Allowed / game76.574.079.0
Point differential+1.4+2.0+0.8
Avg total154.4150.0158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %25%25%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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