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Penarol vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 68-72
21-18 15-20 17-15 15-19
Position#14
Record11-17
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#13
Record10-17
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game80.0
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2020-21
Meetings · Penarol v Libertad
06 Mar 2021
PENA68
LIBE72
27 Apr 2020
PENA v LIBE
upcoming
11 Jan 2019
PENA83
LIBE75
07 May 2017
PENA70
LIBE67
27 Feb 2016
PENA101
LIBE88
05 Mar 2015
PENA117
LIBE108
09 Mar 2014
PENA108
LIBE84
19 Dec 2013
PENA82
LIBE77
05 Feb 2013
PENA87
LIBE71
27 Apr 2012
PENA85
LIBE59
25 Apr 2012
PENA83
LIBE86
09 Dec 2011
PENA82
LIBE73
14 May 2011
PENA103
LIBE101
12 May 2011
PENA78
LIBE66
18 Feb 2011
PENA61
LIBE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Libertad winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#4
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H19/01
Liga A
Ferro
#18
W
98-90 OT
98
90
+8
A20/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H23/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H25/01
Liga A
San Martin
#6
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A27/01
Liga A
San Martin
#6
L
92-98 OT
92
98
-6
H07/02
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#11
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H08/02
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
L
86-104
86
104
-18
A11/02
Liga A
La Union
#16
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H12/02
Liga A
Regatas
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A14/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
13-15
18-22
20-22
28-14
10-19
21-26
22-22
11-23
15-21
17-13
29-21
16-17
9-13
17-18
17-16
10-13
19-14
18-19
10-9
19-11
14-21
16-19
29-27
12-19
22-22
22-20
30-22
23-27
20-25
28-32
15-20
22-14
23-22
18-20
27-20
15-25
13-16
28-24
21-16
160.0Avg total
79.1Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.281.2156.4-5.939%
Season at home (15)78.082.8160.8-4.840%
Season away (13)72.179.3151.4-7.238%
Last 10 (10)79.180.9160.0-1.840%
Last 5 (5)86.288.4174.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)69.280.6149.8-11.421%
vs Similar ◀ (10)88.083.6171.6+4.480%
vs Weaker (1)78.083.0161.0-5.00%
This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertadArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Platense
#10
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A23/12
Liga A
Regatas
#3
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A14/01
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A14/01
Liga A
Platense
#10
L
47-71
47
71
-24
H08/02
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A09/02
Liga A
Ferro
#18
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H11/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
66-95
66
95
-29
H12/02
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H14/02
Liga A
La Union
#16
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H16/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#9
L
88-92
88
92
-4
H18/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
20-23
14-22
20-26
18-19
15-16
18-16
15-23
18-18
14-21
26-20
19-16
13-6
6-16
16-25
12-24
21-22
15-13
16-21
27-15
13-11
11-18
20-14
20-15
18-17
12-24
15-26
21-28
23-21
8-22
22-21
13-17
28-10
23-15
23-20
10-22
17-20
25-27
22-21
24-24
149.9Avg total
72.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.980.0155.9-4.137%
Season at home (16)76.480.1156.4-3.744%
Season away (11)75.279.9155.1-4.727%
Last 10 (10)72.177.8149.9-5.740%
Last 5 (5)73.678.6152.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)70.981.0151.9-10.121%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.478.0156.4+0.447%
vs Weaker (1)92.078.0170.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -2.9-2.9
PenarolLibertad
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H19/01
Liga A
Ferro
#18
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A20/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H23/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H25/01
Liga A
San Martin
#6
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A27/01
Liga A
San Martin
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H07/02
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H08/02
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A11/02
Liga A
La Union
#16
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H12/02
Liga A
Regatas
#3
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A14/02
Liga A
70.9Avg total
33.7Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.037.572.5-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.637.774.3-1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)33.237.270.4-4.043%-
Last 10 (10)33.737.270.9-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.477.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)31.437.769.2-6.332%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.836.977.7+3.970%-
vs Weaker (1)46.038.084.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Platense
#10
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A23/12
Liga A
Regatas
#3
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A14/01
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A14/01
Liga A
Platense
#10
L
19-22
19
22
-3
H08/02
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A09/02
Liga A
Ferro
#18
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H11/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H12/02
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H14/02
Liga A
La Union
#16
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H16/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#9
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H18/02
Liga A
71.0Avg total
34.8Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.438.073.4-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.737.972.6-3.228%-
Last 30 away (12)36.438.274.7-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)34.836.271.0-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.072.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.939.372.1-6.421%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.137.174.2-0.133%-
vs Weaker (1)45.034.079.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Penarol wins
3
Libertad wins
DateGameScore
08/03/20Libertad v Penarol76-80
13/04/19Libertad v Penarol79-81
12/01/19Penarol v Libertad83-75
07/05/17Penarol v Libertad70-67
23/02/17Libertad v Penarol85-66
28/02/16Penarol v Libertad101-88
23/01/16Libertad v Penarol87-68
04/04/15Libertad v Penarol88-84
06/03/15Penarol v Libertad117-108 OT
10/03/14Penarol v Libertad108-84
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/21ARegatas77-81
12/02/21HLa Union90-76
11/02/21AObera TC86-104
08/02/21HComunicaciones Mercedes86-83
07/02/21HSan Martin92-98 OT
27/01/21ASan Martin57-55
25/01/21HGimnasia59-64
23/01/21HObras Sanitarias72-78
20/01/21AFerro98-90 OT
19/01/21HBoca Juniors74-80
Libertadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/21HOlimpico88-92
16/02/21HLa Union84-67
14/02/21HBoca Juniors66-81
12/02/21HSan Lorenzo66-95
11/02/21HFerro64-58
09/02/21AObras Sanitarias79-71
08/02/21HPlatense47-71
14/01/21AObera TC77-75
14/01/21ARegatas66-74
23/12/20APlatense84-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL39%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayWWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %39%40%38%
Points / game75.278.072.1
Allowed / game81.282.879.3
Point differential-5.9-4.8-7.2
Avg total156.4160.8151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %11%13%8%
Libertad
Liga A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL37%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayWLLWW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %37%44%27%
Points / game75.976.475.2
Allowed / game80.080.179.9
Point differential-4.1-3.7-4.7
Avg total155.9156.4155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%19%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa3025583%84.174.1+10.0
2 San Lorenzo3224875%83.473.6+9.8
3 Regatas3021970%83.775.2+8.4
4 San Martin3021970%74.670.5+4.2
5 Boca Juniors32221069%80.775.3+5.4
6 Obras Sanitarias32211166%76.973.1+3.9
7 Instituto de Cordoba2617965%81.678.5+3.1
8 Gimnasia31181358%76.573.1+3.4
9 Platense33161748%77.074.5+2.5
10 Olimpico31151648%80.179.7+0.4
11 Hispano Americano32141844%79.479.3+0.1
12 Argentino31131842%80.083.5-3.5
13 Comunicaciones Mercedes32131941%77.776.8+0.9
14 Penarol28111739%75.281.2-5.9
15 La Union32122038%76.582.7-6.2
16 Libertad27101737%75.980.0-4.1
17 Atenas29101934%72.279.1-6.9
18 Ferro31102132%73.378.5-5.3
19 Obera TC3082227%74.079.4-5.3
20 Weber Bahia3142713%74.790.5-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2115171568
Libertad1820151972
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