Penarol vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Jan 2021

Tip-off: 22:00

Final 74-80

23-21 13-15 18-22 20-22

Position#14

Record7-11

FormWLLLW

Points / game73.1

Allowed / game81.3

Penarol

Boca Juniors 🏆

Position#4

Record13-7

FormWLWWL

Points / game81.3

Allowed / game76.6

Liga A

Other2020-21

Meetings · Penarol v Boca Juniors

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Boca Juniors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Instituto de Cordoba

58-83

-25

H15/12

Liga A

Atenas

#19

83-77

A18/12

Liga A

Obera TC

#17

74-68

H19/12

Liga A

Regatas

65-88

-23

H23/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

71-76

-5

A08/01

Liga A

Ferro

#18

111-101 OT

111

101

+10

H09/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

61-79

-18

A11/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

57-99

-42

H12/01

Liga A

Platense

#10

62-83

-21

A15/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

75-74

A17/01

Liga A

16-13

18-17

12-20

12-33

17-19

23-19

16-25

27-14

13-15

16-20

17-19

28-14

11-26

20-20

19-24

15-18

14-22

15-13

24-21

18-20

21-19

18-17

15-17

25-26

10-23

14-20

23-16

14-20

10-23

17-14

6-28

24-34

14-23

14-17

14-24

20-19

19-18

14-10

29-27

13-19

154.5Avg total

71.7Scored

82.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	73.1	81.3	154.4	-8.2	39%
Season at home (9)	77.4	84.8	162.2	-7.3	44%
Season away (9)	68.8	77.9	146.7	-9.1	33%
Last 10 (10)	71.7	82.8	154.5	-11.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.2	87.2	160.4	-14.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	72.0	85.5	157.5	-13.5	12%
vs Similar (10)	87.9	84.6	172.5	+3.3	70%
vs Weaker (3)	83.3	77.0	160.3	+6.3	67%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#16

96-65

+31

A14/12

Liga A

Regatas

71-67

H15/12

Liga A

San Martin

64-74

-10

A19/12

Liga A

Libertad

#13

72-74

-2

H19/12

Liga A

Olimpico

82-73

H23/12

Liga A

Penarol

#14

76-71

H08/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

87-90

-3

A09/01

Liga A

Argentino

#15

107-74

107

+33

H11/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

87-86

H15/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

74-87

-13

A16/01

Liga A

21-17

25-12

19-15

31-21

12-18

16-11

21-14

22-24

8-14

23-20

18-17

15-23

16-22

17-13

25-16

14-23

19-23

19-12

16-20

28-18

22-14

13-15

21-24

20-18

23-23

23-18

23-22

18-27

25-8

22-23

35-19

25-24

23-17

14-21

27-19

23-29

16-22

12-20

18-22

28-23

157.7Avg total

81.6Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	81.3	76.6	157.9	+4.7	65%
Season at home (10)	82.8	79.3	162.1	+3.5	80%
Season away (10)	79.8	73.9	153.7	+5.9	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	76.1	157.7	+5.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	81.6	167.8	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	71.0	83.0	154.0	-12.0	33%
vs Similar (12)	75.8	79.7	155.5	-3.8	42%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	84.7	75.7	160.4	+8.9	80%

This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolBoca Juniors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.5	39.2	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	20.4	38.8	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.5	20.1	34.6	-5.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	21.2	36.0	-6.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	16.5	22.6	39.1	-6.1	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.5	18.4	38.9	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.3	16.0	40.3	+8.3	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	17.9	35.8	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	18.1	36.8	+0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.0	17.7	34.7	-0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.8	36.3	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.8	38.6	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	16.0	31.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.2	18.7	34.9	-2.4	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.6	17.7	37.3	+1.9	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	18.1	38.2	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	16.7	33.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	15.6	31.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.6	17.7	35.3	-0.1	53%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	19.4	37.9	-0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	16.5	34.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.4	36.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.7	47%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Instituto de Cordoba

34-30

H15/12

Liga A

Atenas

#19

40-38

A18/12

Liga A

Obera TC

#17

29-35

-6

H19/12

Liga A

Regatas

31-46

-15

H23/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

29-35

-6

A08/01

Liga A

Ferro

#18

39-36

H09/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

24-43

-19

A11/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

27-37

-10

H12/01

Liga A

Platense

#10

28-40

-12

A15/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

33-28

A17/01

Liga A

68.2Avg total

31.4Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	39.3	76.5	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	38.7	77.9	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.6	39.8	75.4	-4.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.4	36.8	68.2	-5.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.2	36.8	67.0	-6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	34.1	40.3	74.4	-6.2	24%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.3	39.2	80.5	+2.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.3	34.0	75.3	+7.3	100%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#16

46-29

+17

A14/12

Liga A

Regatas

28-29

-1

H15/12

Liga A

San Martin

31-34

-3

A19/12

Liga A

Libertad

#13

33-35

-2

H19/12

Liga A

Olimpico

38-35

H23/12

Liga A

Penarol

#14

35-29

H08/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

46-41

A09/01

Liga A

Argentino

#15

47-31

+16

H11/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

37-38

-1

H15/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

28-42

-14

A16/01

Liga A

71.2Avg total

36.9Scored

34.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	36.8	74.0	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.2	37.5	74.7	-0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.3	35.9	73.2	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	34.3	71.2	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	36.2	74.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	33.7	38.0	71.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	35.1	37.2	72.3	-2.2	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	39.7	36.1	75.8	+3.5	60%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	22.1	41.7	-2.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	21.4	39.5	-3.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	22.8	43.6	-1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	22.1	39.6	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.4	39.8	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	59%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.9	23.7	42.6	-4.8	20%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	20.7	39.3	-2.0	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	19.4	39.9	+1.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	18.8	41.1	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	21.2	46.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	21.7	40.0	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.5	18.9	42.4	+4.5	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.2	42.7	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	22.6	45.1	-0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.6	42.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.7	23.8	41.5	-6.1	12%	-
vs Similar (10)	24.5	19.5	44.0	+5.0	70%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.3	22.3	45.7	+1.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.7	42.8	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	23.2	45.6	-0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	23.0	45.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	24.2	47.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	23.3	42.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.9	22.7	43.6	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.5	20.7	42.2	+0.9	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	44.3	84.4	-4.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	44.0	84.6	-3.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.7	44.6	84.2	-4.9	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	43.8	80.9	-6.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	46.0	82.6	-9.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	37.9	45.2	83.1	-7.3	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	43.4	43.2	86.6	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	42.0	43.0	85.0	-1.0	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	41.3	83.8	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.7	42.9	87.6	+1.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.1	39.4	79.4	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	41.8	86.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	45.4	93.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.3	45.0	82.3	-7.7	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.8	42.4	83.2	-1.7	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	45.0	39.6	84.6	+5.4	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Boca Juniors wins

Date	Game	Score
08/01/21	Boca Juniors v Penarol	76-71
28/11/19	Boca Juniors v Penarol	77-74
09/10/19	Penarol v Boca Juniors	85-65
01/10/19	Boca Juniors v Penarol	74-69
21/04/19	Penarol v Boca Juniors	82-63
13/12/18	Boca Juniors v Penarol	79-77
11/02/18	Penarol v Boca Juniors	79-71
05/02/18	Boca Juniors v Penarol	71-76
18/04/17	Boca Juniors v Penarol	82-77
28/02/17	Penarol v Boca Juniors	89-71

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/01/21	A	San Lorenzo	75-74
15/01/21	A	Platense	62-83
12/01/21	H	San Lorenzo	57-99
11/01/21	A	Gimnasia	61-79
09/01/21	H	Ferro	111-101 OT
08/01/21	A	Boca Juniors	71-76
23/12/20	H	Regatas	65-88
19/12/20	H	Obera TC	74-68
18/12/20	A	Atenas	83-77
15/12/20	H	Instituto de Cordoba	58-83

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/01/21	A	Gimnasia	74-87
15/01/21	H	Hispano Americano	87-86
11/01/21	H	Argentino	107-74
09/01/21	A	Obras Sanitarias	87-90
08/01/21	H	Penarol	76-71
23/12/20	H	Olimpico	82-73
19/12/20	H	Libertad	72-74
19/12/20	A	San Martin	64-74
15/12/20	H	Regatas	71-67
14/12/20	A	La Union	96-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2020-21

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	39%
Home	LWLWL	44%
Away	WLLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	39%	44%	33%
Points / game	73.1	77.4	68.8
Allowed / game	81.3	84.8	77.9
Point differential	-8.2	-7.3	-9.1
Avg total	154.4	162.2	146.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2020-21

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	65%
Home	LWWWW	80%
Away	WWLLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	65%	80%	50%
Points / game	81.3	82.8	79.8
Allowed / game	76.6	79.3	73.9
Point differential	+4.7	+3.5	+5.9
Avg total	157.9	162.1	153.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	10%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	80% (5)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	23	19	4	83%	83.8	73.7	+10.1
2	San Martin	18	14	4	78%	75.5	68.9	+6.6
3	Obras Sanitarias	22	16	6	73%	77.5	71.4	+6.0
4	Instituto de Cordoba	22	16	6	73%	81.8	77.0	+4.8
5	San Lorenzo	21	14	7	67%	81.0	73.8	+7.3
6	Regatas	23	15	8	65%	82.5	75.3	+7.1
7	Gimnasia	20	13	7	65%	77.7	72.5	+5.2
8	Boca Juniors	20	13	7	65%	81.3	76.6	+4.7
9	Olimpico	23	12	11	52%	81.3	78.3	+2.9
10	Platense	19	9	10	47%	77.9	76.4	+1.6
11	Hispano Americano	22	10	12	45%	80.0	80.7	-0.7
12	Argentino	20	8	12	40%	81.1	84.3	-3.2
13	Penarol	18	7	11	39%	73.1	81.3	-8.2
14	Libertad	20	7	13	35%	77.8	81.2	-3.5
15	La Union	20	7	13	35%	76.1	83.0	-7.0
16	Ferro	21	7	14	33%	74.3	78.5	-4.2
17	Atenas	22	7	15	32%	72.7	81.7	-9.0
18	Comunicaciones Mercedes	21	6	15	29%	75.9	77.3	-1.4
19	Obera TC	22	6	16	27%	72.0	77.3	-5.3
20	Weber Bahia	21	3	18	14%	75.7	91.5	-15.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	23	13	18	20	74
Boca Juniors	21	15	22	22	80

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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