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Penarol vs Regatas Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 07 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Postponed
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game57.0
vs
Position#15
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game63.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2026-27
Meetings · Penarol v Regatas
07 Oct 2026
PENA v REGA
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
PENA80
REGA84
13 Dec 2024
PENA84
REGA65
24 Mar 2024
PENA88
REGA76
02 Apr 2023
PENA63
REGA58
06 Dec 2021
PENA79
REGA82
23 Dec 2020
PENA65
REGA88
13 Mar 2020
PENA95
REGA87
29 Mar 2019
PENA68
REGA84
29 Mar 2018
PENA99
REGA79
03 Apr 2017
PENA77
REGA76
03 Apr 2016
PENA73
REGA70
21 Jan 2015
PENA79
REGA73
05 Jun 2014
PENA88
REGA73
29 May 2014
PENA95
REGA91
27 May 2014
PENA94
REGA77
06 Dec 2013
PENA90
REGA86
01 Feb 2013
PENA90
REGA77
05 Dec 2012
PENA58
REGA65
20 Nov 2012
PENA88
REGA85
04 Dec 2011
PENA95
REGA79
07 May 2011
PENA99
REGA59
27 Apr 2011
PENA96
REGA76
25 Apr 2011
PENA78
REGA69
25 Jan 2011
PENA91
REGA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Regatas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atenas
#18
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A01/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H05/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A15/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A17/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
91-97
91
97
-6
A24/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A26/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H30/09
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
14-23
27-17
22-24
15-6
14-26
29-17
27-34
22-22
20-22
29-27
14-20
18-26
17-21
21-15
25-22
25-25
22-22
23-18
17-15
30-29
13-24
21-17
27-27
25-21
18-29
20-12
15-18
22-20
18-23
25-21
22-11
19-22
23-26
10-22
16-14
17-14
13-15
14-6
18-22
163.5Avg total
80.9Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)62.057.0119.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)62.057.0119.0+5.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.982.6163.5-1.740%
Last 5 (5)77.278.6155.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.085.0155.0-15.033%
vs Similar (22)83.181.7164.9+1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)77.275.4152.6+1.840%
This opponent (Regatas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RegatasArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#13
W
99-75
99
75
+24
H11/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
95-87
95
87
+8
A15/04
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A18/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
93-69
93
69
+24
A20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
89-95
89
95
-6
H08/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H11/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
A13/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A15/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
85-87
85
87
-2
H19/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H03/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
30-27
21-16
21-17
35-22
21-19
13-22
26-24
16-19
27-16
22-24
28-17
23-23
21-11
27-14
22-21
20-18
24-19
24-28
21-30
23-21
20-16
14-10
24-13
16-24
17-16
25-30
17-20
20-21
21-21
20-15
18-14
31-24
23-17
13-19
18-27
17-12
12-19
18-16
26-16
163.5Avg total
86.2Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.063.0136.0+10.0100%
Season at home (1)73.063.0136.0+10.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.277.3163.5+8.970%
Last 5 (5)78.674.2152.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)73.063.0136.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (18)76.277.4153.6-1.250%
vs Weaker (11)88.276.5164.6+11.782%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
PenarolRegatas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atenas
#18
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A01/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H05/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A15/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A17/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A26/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H30/09
Liga A
83.4Avg total
38.7Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.982.9-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.340.477.6-3.129%-
Last 30 away (16)42.545.187.6-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.744.783.4-6.010%-
Last 5 (5)39.644.684.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.045.789.7-1.733%-
vs Similar (22)40.843.484.2-2.536%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)34.439.073.4-4.620%-
This opponent (Regatas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RegatasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#13
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H11/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A15/04
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A18/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H08/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A15/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H19/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H03/10
Liga A
82.4Avg total
44.4Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.779.2+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.438.477.9+1.038%-
Last 30 away (14)41.738.980.6+2.864%-
Last 10 (10)44.438.082.4+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.278.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)29.031.060.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (18)37.940.478.3-2.628%-
vs Weaker (11)45.836.582.3+9.491%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.8
56.2%
54.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.6
31.5%
32.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws27.218.5
68.0%
72.7%18.5
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Regatastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Regatas: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.6
53.0%
54.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.1
36.5%
32.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.215.7
77.7%
72.7%15.7
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WLWLLWLLWL
Regatas
WLWLWLWWWW
#2
League position
#15
-2.3
Net rating
+16.5
111.3
Offensive rating
120.5
113.7
Defensive rating
104.0
52.6%
Effective FG%
53.8%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.5%
3-point %
36.5%
49.3%
Assist %
46.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 120.5Defence113.7 · 104.0Shooting52.6% · 53.8%3-point %31.5% · 36.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.46 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Penarol   ■ Regatas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Penarol wins
3
Regatas wins
DateGameScore
22/02/26Regatas v Penarol67-86
04/10/25Penarol v Regatas80-84
08/03/25Regatas v Penarol84-64
14/12/24Penarol v Regatas84-65
24/03/24Penarol v Regatas88-76
12/10/23Regatas v Penarol80-87
03/04/23Penarol v Regatas63-58
16/10/22Regatas v Penarol64-74
16/12/21Regatas v Penarol87-89
07/12/21Penarol v Regatas79-82
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/26HGimnasia62-57
03/05/26HFerro68-84
01/05/26HFerro87-75
26/04/26AFerro78-80
24/04/26AFerro91-97
20/04/26HFerro87-80
17/04/26AObera TC81-84
15/04/26ALa Union85-91
05/04/26HUnion De Santa Fe85-83
01/04/26AAtenas85-95
Regataslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HInstituto de Cordoba73-63
19/05/26HFerro85-87
15/05/26AFerro79-71
13/05/26AFerro75-90
11/05/26HFerro81-60
08/05/26HFerro89-95
20/04/26AArgentino93-69
18/04/26ARacing de Chivilcoy93-76
15/04/26APlatense95-87
11/04/26HOlimpico99-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game62.062.0-
Allowed / game57.057.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total119.0119.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Regatas
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game73.073.0-
Allowed / game63.063.0-
Point differential+10.0+10.0-
Avg total136.0136.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa220100%88.572.0+16.5
2 Argentino110100%79.068.0+11.0
3 Regatas110100%73.063.0+10.0
4 Penarol110100%62.057.0+5.0
5 Gimnasia32167%80.374.0+6.3
6 Instituto de Cordoba21150%72.073.0-1.0
7 La Union21150%88.089.0-1.0
8 Platense31233%78.386.0-7.7
9 Atenas1010%77.083.0-6.0
10 Olimpico1010%74.082.0-8.0
11 San Martin1010%73.081.0-8.0
12 Ferro1010%68.079.0-11.0
13 Lanus1010%74.092.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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