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Michigan State vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 90-85
46-36 44-49
Position#17
Record14-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game66.0
Michigan State 🏆
USA
vs
Penn State
USA
Position#185
Record12-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Michigan State v Penn State
26 Jan 2027
MICH v PENN
upcoming
15 Jan 2025
MICH90
PENN85
04 Jan 2024
MICH92
PENN61
11 Dec 2021
MICH80
PENN64
09 Feb 2021
MICH60
PENN58
04 Feb 2020
MICH70
PENN75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#15
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H26/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
A28/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
90-72
90
72
+18
A05/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
89-52
89
52
+37
H07/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
88-54
88
54
+34
H10/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-34
32-37
43-34
39-48
42-30
48-42
41-31
48-21
31-30
46-28
42-29
44-40
37-24
43-38
37-29
32-33
42-13
46-41
47-28
31-40
147.3Avg total
81.4Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.366.0147.3+15.388%
Season at home (12)80.863.6144.4+17.283%
Season away (4)82.873.2156.0+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)81.465.9147.3+15.590%
Last 5 (5)80.263.0143.2+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.377.3145.7-9.00%
vs Similar (9)68.663.7132.2+4.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)79.765.6145.3+14.183%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#333
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H01/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H05/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A11/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
W
99-51
99
51
+48
H14/12
NCAA
Drexel
#161
W
75-64
75
64
+11
A21/12
NCAA
Penn
#331
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H29/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H05/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
52-91
52
91
-39
A09/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-28
49-36
40-24
41-46
33-48
43-32
52-21
47-30
37-29
38-35
34-31
52-35
37-34
47-46
29-29
42-48
21-45
31-46
34-41
47-41
151.7Avg total
79.2Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.470.6155.1+13.871%
Season at home (13)89.668.5158.2+21.185%
Season away (4)67.577.5145.0-10.025%
Last 10 (10)79.272.5151.7+6.760%
Last 5 (5)74.879.2154.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)69.578.0147.5-8.525%
vs Similar (16)76.474.1150.5+2.256%
vs Weaker (10)88.863.0151.8+25.890%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.1+11.11st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +4.2+4.2
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.1+11.11st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +4.2+4.2
Michigan StatePenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H26/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A28/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A05/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
42-13
42
13
+29
H10/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A12/01
NCAA
67.5Avg total
39.3Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.031.167.1+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.730.466.1+5.367%-
Last 30 away (12)36.532.268.7+4.367%-
Last 10 (10)39.328.267.5+11.190%-
Last 5 (5)41.024.665.6+16.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.037.368.3-6.30%-
vs Similar (9)32.630.362.9+2.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)38.630.469.1+8.278%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#333
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H01/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H05/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A11/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H14/12
NCAA
Drexel
#161
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A21/12
NCAA
Penn
#331
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H05/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A09/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H12/01
NCAA
68.5Avg total
35.5Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.533.770.3+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.432.772.1+6.774%-
Last 30 away (11)31.535.567.1-4.027%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.068.5+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)31.036.067.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)32.539.872.2-7.20%-
vs Similar (16)34.734.469.1+0.250%-
vs Weaker (10)41.130.271.3+10.990%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Michigan State wins
2
Penn State wins
DateGameScore
14/02/24Penn State v Michigan State72-80
05/01/24Michigan State v Penn State92-61
07/12/22Penn State v Michigan State58-67
15/02/22Penn State v Michigan State62-58
11/12/21Michigan State v Penn State80-64
10/02/21Michigan State v Penn State60-58
04/03/20Penn State v Michigan State71-79
05/02/20Michigan State v Penn State70-75
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25ANorthwestern78-68
10/01/25HWashington88-54
04/01/25AOhio State69-62
30/12/24HWestern Michigan80-62
21/12/24HFlorida Atlantic86-69
18/12/24HOakland77-58
07/12/24HNebraska89-52
05/12/24AMinnesota90-72
28/11/24ANorth Carolina94-91 OT
26/11/24HMemphis63-71
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HOregon81-82
09/01/25AIllinois52-91
05/01/25HIndiana71-77
03/01/25HNorthwestern84-80
29/12/24HPenn86-66
21/12/24ADrexel75-64
14/12/24HCoppin State99-51
11/12/24ARutgers76-80
05/12/24HPurdue81-70
01/12/24HBuffalo87-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %88%83%100%
Points / game81.380.882.8
Allowed / game66.063.673.2
Point differential+15.3+17.2+9.5
Avg total147.3144.4156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%25%
Penn State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL71%
HomeWWWLL85%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17134
Win %71%85%25%
Points / game84.489.667.5
Allowed / game70.668.577.5
Point differential+13.8+21.1-10.0
Avg total155.1158.2145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%77%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon1715288%79.470.2+9.2
2 Michigan State1614288%81.366.0+15.3
3 Wisconsin1714382%82.470.4+11.9
4 Michigan1613381%85.168.1+17.0
5 Maryland1713476%84.663.8+20.8
6 Illinois1713476%87.367.3+20.0
7 Purdue1713476%78.468.5+9.9
8 Nebraska1612475%76.969.1+7.9
9 Indiana1813572%77.572.3+5.2
10 Penn State1712571%84.470.6+13.8
11 Iowa1712571%89.578.0+11.5
12 UCLA1711665%74.663.4+11.2
13 USC1711665%77.571.6+5.9
14 Northwestern1610662%73.766.9+6.8
15 Ohio State1710759%80.471.1+9.3
16 Washington169756%73.072.4+0.6
17 Rutgers179853%76.474.2+2.2
18 Minnesota178947%68.468.1+0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State464490
Penn State364985
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