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Tortona vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-76
21-22 23-11 24-21 26-22
Position#9
Record13-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game78.9
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record9-18
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game87.2
ItalyLega ARound 28· PalaFerraris
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tortona v Pesaro
20 Apr 2024
TOR94
PES76
15 Oct 2022
TOR81
PES73
02 Apr 2022
TOR70
PES86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
W
93-64
93
64
+29
94avg 71
H28/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
86-77
86
77
+9
79avg 71
A04/02
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
79-62
79
62
+17
72avg 71
H10/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
71-84
71
84
-13
61avg 71
A03/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
97-72
97
72
+25
95avg 71
H10/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
91-94
91
94
-3
89avg 71
A17/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
90-83
90
83
+7
77avg 71
H24/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
87-76
87
76
+11
80avg 71
H30/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
65-72
65
72
-7
53avg 71
A06/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
81-83
81
83
-2
69avg 71
A13/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-4
20-15
20-17
27-28
16-18
26-21
21-11
23-27
22-25
15-12
22-13
20-12
17-23
13-22
24-12
17-27
21-11
23-22
34-17
19-22
20-31
23-19
26-18
22-26
21-15
20-16
27-28
22-24
20-18
21-18
25-19
21-21
14-13
22-20
14-17
15-22
24-16
23-25
17-23
17-19
160.7Avg total
84.0Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.278.9159.1+1.348%
Season at home (13)81.674.9156.5+6.769%
Season away (14)78.982.6161.6-3.729%
Last 10 (10)84.076.7160.7+7.360%
Last 5 (5)82.881.6164.4+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.285.6155.8-15.40%
vs Similar (17)83.477.5160.9+5.965%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.882.6169.4+4.150%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 71
H28/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
82-83
82
83
-1
75avg 71
A04/02
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
80-91
80
91
-11
71avg 71
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
93-83
93
83
+10
90avg 71
H03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
82-109
82
109
-27
68avg 71
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
no box
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
56avg 71
H24/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 71
A30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
96-91
96
91
+5
85avg 71
A07/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
80avg 71
H13/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
18-25
19-15
19-18
24-16
20-24
20-16
18-27
21-29
22-18
21-22
16-22
29-21
25-24
25-23
14-15
20-18
19-24
22-35
21-32
18-19
15-17
17-17
22-19
14-19
18-22
16-28
21-18
26-27
18-18
20-22
25-26
28-26
22-20
16-26
30-19
29-16
21-24
22-24
17-18
173.6Avg total
84.5Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.487.2167.6-6.833%
Season at home (14)81.486.5167.9-5.136%
Season away (13)79.388.0167.3-8.731%
Last 10 (10)84.589.1173.6-4.640%
Last 5 (5)86.087.8173.8-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)77.587.7165.2-10.230%
vs Similar (10)84.786.4171.1-1.740%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
TortonaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
W
46-19
46
19
+27
H28/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A04/02
Lega A
Sassari
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A03/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H24/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H30/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A06/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A13/04
Lega A
77.1Avg total
40.7Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.578.1+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.735.476.1+5.364%-
Last 30 away (16)38.641.279.8-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)40.736.477.1+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.279.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.640.874.4-7.220%-
vs Similar (17)40.136.476.4+3.759%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.241.683.9+0.650%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H28/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A04/02
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H24/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A07/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/04
Lega A
86.4Avg total
42.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.043.482.3-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.442.881.2-4.431%-
Last 30 away (14)39.644.083.6-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.586.4-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.683.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.544.582.1-7.020%-
vs Similar (10)41.841.082.8+0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.916.1
50.5%
53.1%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.212.2
36.7%
35.7%36.6
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
76.3%14.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.717.8
49.9%
53.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.0
35.3%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.416.1
78.9%
76.3%16.1
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
LLWWLWLWWW
Pesaro
WWLLWLWLLL
#9
League position
#16
+9.2
Net rating
-8.6
112.8
Offensive rating
108.3
103.6
Defensive rating
116.9
52.8%
Effective FG%
51.2%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.3%
13.7%
Turnover %
15.0%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.7%
3-point %
35.3%
65.7%
Assist %
58.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 108.3Defence103.6 · 116.9Shooting52.8% · 51.2%3-point %36.7% · 35.3%Ball care13.7% · 15.0%Off. rebounds26.4% · 23.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Tortona   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tortona wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23Pesaro v Tortona96-92
07/05/23Pesaro v Tortona82-78
15/10/22Tortona v Pesaro81-73
02/04/22Tortona v Pesaro70-86
17/10/21Pesaro v Tortona81-90
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24ATrento81-83
06/04/24ABrescia65-72
30/03/24HCremona87-76
24/03/24HVarese90-83
17/03/24AScafati91-94
10/03/24HBasket Napoli97-72
03/03/24APistoia71-84
10/02/24HSassari79-62
04/02/24ABrindisi86-77
28/01/24HReggiana93-64
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24HPistoia89-82
07/04/24ASassari96-91
30/03/24ATreviso89-93
24/03/24HReggiana69-87
17/03/24HVirtus Bologna87-86 OT
10/03/24ATrento82-109
03/03/24HBrescia93-83
11/02/24AVarese80-91
04/02/24AScafati82-83
28/01/24HBrindisi78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL48%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %48%69%29%
Points / game80.281.678.9
Allowed / game78.974.982.6
Point differential+1.3+6.7-3.7
Avg total159.1156.5161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)50% (4)17% (6)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW33%
HomeLWWLW36%
AwayLLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %33%36%31%
Points / game80.481.479.3
Allowed / game87.286.588.0
Point differential-6.8-5.1-8.7
Avg total167.6167.9167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2720774%87.878.2+9.6
2 Virtus Bologna2719870%88.677.6+11.1
3 Olimpia Milano2719870%79.974.4+5.5
4 Venezia27171063%82.478.3+4.1
5 Reggiana27151256%80.779.8+0.9
6 Trento27141352%83.583.4+0.1
7 Pistoia27141352%80.083.0-3.1
8 Tortona27131448%80.278.9+1.3
9 Basket Napoli27131448%85.986.3-0.4
10 Scafati27121544%82.986.1-3.3
11 Sassari27121544%78.282.7-4.5
12 Cremona27111641%80.179.6+0.6
13 Treviso27101737%80.384.6-4.3
14 Varese27101737%85.790.2-4.5
15 Pesaro2791833%80.487.2-6.8
16 Brindisi2781930%74.881.1-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2123242694
Pesaro2211212276
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