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Pesaro vs Avellino Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 93-72
20-15 26-20 23-19 24-18
Position#3
Record8-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game77.3
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#6
Record6-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game75.4
ItalySerie A2Round 11· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pesaro v Avellino Basket
21 Feb 2027
PES v AVEL
upcoming
12 Nov 2025
PES93
AVEL72
06 Oct 2024
PES82
AVEL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
62-78
62
78
-16
53avg 78
H30/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
86-71
86
71
+15
83avg 78
H05/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 78
A08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
78avg 78
A12/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
101-83
101
83
+18
108avg 78
A15/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
90-84
90
84
+6
85avg 78
H19/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
65-86
65
86
-21
60avg 78
A26/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
82-73
82
73
+9
70avg 78
H29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
95-75
95
75
+20
96avg 78
A02/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
60avg 78
H09/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-17
20-16
17-20
15-25
23-8
24-19
20-20
19-24
27-21
15-18
25-25
22-16
21-24
23-6
27-27
10-17
26-20
20-26
28-20
27-17
28-23
21-28
16-24
25-9
18-21
14-27
18-22
15-16
11-18
23-18
22-10
26-27
22-25
23-19
24-16
26-15
20-15
13-16
20-20
18-18
159.5Avg total
82.2Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.277.3159.5+4.980%
Season at home (5)78.275.0153.2+3.280%
Season away (5)86.279.6165.8+6.680%
Last 10 (10)82.277.3159.5+4.980%
Last 5 (5)80.677.4158.0+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.980.1161.0+0.953%
vs Weaker (10)93.280.0173.2+13.290%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
72-60
72
60
+12
70avg 75
A24/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
74-75
74
75
-1
64avg 75
H28/09
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
92-98
92
98
-6
86avg 75
A05/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
78-68
78
68
+10
77avg 75
A08/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
59-82
59
82
-23
47avg 75
H12/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
83-54
83
54
+29
90avg 75
H19/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
67-74
67
74
-7
53avg 75
A26/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
94-82
94
82
+12
88avg 75
H29/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
93-81
93
81
+12
88avg 75
A02/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 75
H08/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
22-13
17-11
16-14
13-22
16-17
26-18
19-18
28-25
19-24
22-20
23-29
24-16
17-21
17-21
20-10
20-21
16-20
11-25
12-16
27-12
20-10
15-17
21-15
14-25
15-19
19-14
19-16
22-17
22-21
27-23
23-21
25-20
23-27
26-14
19-20
25-20
13-26
23-11
26-23
155.3Avg total
79.9Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.975.4155.3+4.560%
Season at home (5)79.474.6154.0+4.860%
Season away (5)80.476.2156.6+4.260%
Last 10 (10)79.975.4155.3+4.560%
Last 5 (5)84.874.2159.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.590.0176.5-3.525%
vs Similar ◀ (20)80.678.6159.2+2.060%
vs Weaker (6)77.778.3156.0-0.733%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
PesaroAvellino Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H30/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H05/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A12/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A15/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H19/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A26/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A02/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H09/11
Serie A2
78.7Avg total
40.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.683.8+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.837.681.4+6.257%-
Last 30 away (16)42.643.385.9-0.756%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.578.7+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.080.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.839.880.6+1.147%-
vs Weaker (10)47.142.589.6+4.670%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A24/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H28/09
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A05/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A08/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H12/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
47-22
47
22
+25
H19/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A26/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H29/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A02/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H08/11
Serie A2
79.6Avg total
39.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.781.4-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.939.179.0+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)41.442.684.1-1.264%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.879.6+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.480.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.545.890.2-1.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.339.579.8+0.860%-
vs Weaker (6)39.241.580.7-2.367%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.9
57.2%
50.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.0
34.6%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.311.5
75.2%
74.4%11.5
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.2
50.5%
50.8%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.28.7
41.0%
34.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.914.4
72.4%
74.4%14.4
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WWWLWWWWWL
Avellino Basket
WWWLWLWLLW
#3
League position
#6
+6.4
Net rating
+5.6
109.0
Offensive rating
111.4
102.6
Defensive rating
105.8
54.8%
Effective FG%
54.5%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
16.7%
Turnover %
18.2%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.6%
3-point %
41.0%
64.5%
Assist %
58.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 111.4Defence102.6 · 105.8Shooting54.8% · 54.5%3-point %34.6% · 41.0%Ball care16.7% · 18.2%Off. rebounds24.3% · 30.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Avellino Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
1
Avellino Basket wins
DateGameScore
29/01/25Avellino Basket v Pesaro82-80
06/10/24Pesaro v Avellino Basket82-77
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HScafati71-69
02/11/25AJuVi Cremona95-75
29/10/25HPistoia82-73
26/10/25ARimini65-86
19/10/25HMestre90-84
15/10/25ABlu Basket Bergamo101-83
12/10/25AFortitudo Bologna81-74
08/10/25ARoseto89-80
05/10/25HRuvo Di Puglia86-71
30/09/25HLibertas Livorno62-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HLibertas Livorno87-80
02/11/25ARoseto93-81
29/10/25HBlu Basket Bergamo94-82
26/10/25ARuvo Di Puglia67-74
19/10/25HBasket Torino83-54
12/10/25HBrindisi59-82
08/10/25AJuVi Cremona78-68
05/10/25AVerona92-98
28/09/25HUrania Milano74-75
24/09/25ASebastiani Rieti72-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game82.278.286.2
Allowed / game77.375.079.6
Point differential+4.9+3.2+6.6
Avg total159.5153.2165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game79.979.480.4
Allowed / game75.474.676.2
Point differential+4.5+4.8+4.2
Avg total155.3154.0156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro108280%82.277.3+4.9
2 Sebastiani Rieti107370%82.575.3+7.2
3 Fortitudo Bologna107370%79.572.9+6.6
4 Brindisi106460%77.571.2+6.3
5 Libertas Livorno106460%79.474.1+5.3
6 Avellino Basket106460%79.975.4+4.5
7 Rimini106460%82.578.2+4.3
8 Cento106460%80.077.9+2.1
9 Verona106460%76.174.9+1.2
10 Cividale105550%77.477.7-0.3
11 Forli105550%75.478.1-2.7
12 JuVi Cremona105550%74.380.9-6.6
13 Scafati104640%79.480.2-0.8
14 Blu Basket Bergamo104640%82.683.7-1.1
15 Mestre104640%81.783.0-1.3
16 Pistoia104640%80.482.6-2.2
17 Basket Torino104640%70.576.1-5.6
18 Ruvo Di Puglia103730%75.984.3-8.4
19 Roseto102820%83.488.8-5.4
20 Urania Milano102820%76.284.2-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2026232493
Avellino Basket1520191872
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