PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pesaro vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 89-82
29-16 21-24 22-24 17-18
Position#16
Record8-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game87.4
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record14-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game82.8
ItalyLega ARound 27· Vitrifrigo Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pesaro v Pistoia
30 Dec 2026
PES v PIS
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
PES82
PIS73
13 Apr 2024
PES89
PIS82
13 Apr 2020
PES v PIS
upcoming
07 Oct 2018
PES83
PIS77
08 Apr 2018
PES80
PIS72
27 Dec 2016
PES57
PIS59
11 Oct 2015
PES73
PIS74
26 Apr 2015
PES82
PIS86
09 Mar 2014
PES75
PIS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
65-85
65
85
-20
56avg 71
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 71
H28/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
82-83
82
83
-1
75avg 71
A04/02
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
80-91
80
91
-11
71avg 71
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
93-83
93
83
+10
90avg 71
H03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
82-109
82
109
-27
68avg 71
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
no box
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
56avg 71
H24/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 71
A30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
96-91
96
91
+5
85avg 71
A07/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
13-19
16-26
17-19
22-28
18-25
19-15
19-18
24-16
20-24
20-16
18-27
21-29
22-18
21-22
16-22
29-21
25-24
25-23
14-15
20-18
19-24
22-35
21-32
18-19
15-17
17-17
22-19
14-19
18-22
16-28
21-18
26-27
18-18
20-22
25-26
28-26
22-20
16-26
30-19
171.5Avg total
82.1Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.187.4167.5-7.331%
Season at home (13)80.886.8167.7-6.031%
Season away (13)79.388.0167.3-8.731%
Last 10 (10)82.189.4171.5-7.330%
Last 5 (5)84.693.2177.8-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)77.088.0165.0-11.029%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.286.9171.1-2.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
90-109
90
109
-19
78avg 69
A28/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-78
72
78
-6
62avg 69
H04/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
69-96
69
96
-27
56avg 69
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
71-86
71
86
-15
4avg 69
A14/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#9
W
84-71
84
71
+13
75avg 69
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
74-67
74
67
+7
70avg 69
A10/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
no box
A16/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
83-84
83
84
-1
71avg 69
H23/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
100-93
100
93
+7
98avg 69
A01/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 69
H07/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
32-29
26-18
19-35
24-21
9-20
23-16
16-21
12-27
10-24
21-27
26-18
16-19
18-17
16-25
21-25
23-17
22-13
12-24
27-17
18-17
21-11
17-19
18-20
21-18
17-23
21-20
20-18
19-24
19-19
22-15
23-26
14-26
27-29
27-28
32-10
16-25
24-19
30-18
13-20
168.0Avg total
82.1Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.982.8162.7-2.954%
Season at home (13)75.876.1151.9-0.254%
Season away (13)83.989.5173.5-5.654%
Last 10 (10)82.185.9168.0-3.850%
Last 5 (5)87.083.8170.8+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.583.7164.2-3.258%
vs Similar ◀ (17)77.679.4157.1-1.853%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
PesaroPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H28/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A04/02
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H24/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A07/04
Lega A
84.6Avg total
41.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.443.882.2-5.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.743.080.7-5.327%-
Last 30 away (15)39.144.783.8-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.584.6-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.081.6-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)37.345.082.3-7.719%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.941.182.0-0.244%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A28/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H04/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
22-51
22
51
-29
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A14/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#9
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A10/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A16/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H23/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A01/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/04
Lega A
80.0Avg total
37.5Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.142.280.3-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.638.975.6-2.336%-
Last 30 away (16)39.445.184.5-5.638%-
Last 10 (10)37.542.580.0-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)39.242.281.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.943.281.2-5.342%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.541.880.4-3.335%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.2
49.7%
53.1%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.8
33.9%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.816.3
78.4%
76.3%16.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.116.2
48.9%
53.1%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.9
42.0%
35.7%35.7
🏀 Free throws14.29.3
65.5%
76.3%9.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WLLWLWLLLL
Pistoia
WWLWWWLLLL
#16
League position
#10
-12.4
Net rating
-6.8
105.9
Offensive rating
107.9
118.3
Defensive rating
114.8
50.2%
Effective FG%
55.5%
60.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.0%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.9%
3-point %
42.0%
60.4%
Assist %
55.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 107.9Defence118.3 · 114.8Shooting50.2% · 55.5%3-point %33.9% · 42.0%Ball care15.6% · 16.0%Off. rebounds22.9% · 22.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pesaro wins
6
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
17/12/23Pistoia v Pesaro73-74
22/12/19Pistoia v Pesaro91-79
20/01/19Pistoia v Pesaro77-81
07/10/18Pesaro v Pistoia83-77
08/04/18Pesaro v Pistoia80-72 OT
09/12/17Pistoia v Pesaro86-83
23/04/17Pistoia v Pesaro87-83
27/12/16Pesaro v Pistoia57-59
25/01/16Pistoia v Pesaro77-75
11/10/15Pesaro v Pistoia73-74
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24ASassari96-91
30/03/24ATreviso89-93
24/03/24HReggiana69-87
17/03/24HVirtus Bologna87-86 OT
10/03/24ATrento82-109
03/03/24HBrescia93-83
11/02/24AVarese80-91
04/02/24AScafati82-83
28/01/24HBrindisi78-86
21/01/24HOlimpia Milano65-85
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24HReggiana83-82
01/04/24AVirtus Bologna100-93
23/03/24HTreviso83-84
16/03/24ABasket Napoli95-93 OT
10/03/24ACremona74-67
03/03/24HTortona84-71
14/02/24AVenezia71-86
11/02/24AVenezia69-96
04/02/24HOlimpia Milano72-78
28/01/24ABrescia90-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW31%
HomeLLWWL31%
AwayLLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %31%31%31%
Points / game80.180.879.3
Allowed / game87.486.888.0
Point differential-7.3-6.0-8.7
Avg total167.5167.7167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %8%15%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW54%
HomeWLWLW54%
AwayLLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %54%54%54%
Points / game79.975.883.9
Allowed / game82.876.189.5
Point differential-2.9-0.2-5.6
Avg total162.7151.9173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)57% (7)80% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2619773%87.778.0+9.7
2 Virtus Bologna2618869%88.577.3+11.2
3 Olimpia Milano2618869%79.573.8+5.6
4 Venezia2617965%82.477.9+4.5
5 Reggiana26141254%81.080.3+0.7
6 Pistoia26141254%79.982.8-2.9
7 Trento27141352%83.583.4+0.1
8 Tortona27131448%80.278.9+1.3
9 Basket Napoli26121446%85.886.6-0.8
10 Sassari26121446%78.282.5-4.3
11 Cremona26111542%80.079.0+0.9
12 Scafati26111542%82.286.0-3.8
13 Varese26101638%85.689.8-4.2
14 Treviso26101638%80.084.4-4.4
15 Brindisi2681831%75.281.4-6.3
16 Pesaro2681831%80.187.4-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2921221789
Pistoia1624241882
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.