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Pesaro vs Avellino Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 21 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record5-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
6.5/10
Above normal
Position#2
Record9-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game73.9
ItalySerie A2Round 28· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pesaro v Avellino Basket
21 Feb 2027
PES v AVEL
upcoming
12 Nov 2025
PES93
AVEL72
06 Oct 2024
PES82
AVEL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 75
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
87-84
87
84
+3
32avg 75
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
87avg 75
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
86-76
86
76
+10
67avg 75
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
76-68
76
68
+8
76avg 75
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
71-73
71
73
-2
61avg 75
H25/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 75
A01/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#11
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H07/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
L
87-96 OT
87
96
-9
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
67-78
67
78
-11
no box
H15/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
25-25
20-19
20-23
24-23
21-18
15-26
27-17
23-24
23-15
16-21
21-17
13-15
27-31
22-17
24-13
22-21
20-18
13-15
21-14
15-20
21-20
18-19
17-14
19-21
18-27
13-16
20-15
22-22
18-30
19-12
14-21
25-21
15-22
19-19
20-17
23-24
22-14
13-27
9-13
159.3Avg total
79.6Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.679.7159.3-0.150%
Season at home (6)76.277.5153.7-1.350%
Season away (4)84.883.0167.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)79.679.7159.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)73.682.2155.8-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)70.079.0149.0-9.00%
vs Similar (21)82.285.0167.2-2.848%
vs Weaker (8)85.976.4162.2+9.5100%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#14
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 72
H27/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
W
73-72
73
72
+1
23avg 72
A04/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
94-81
94
81
+13
96avg 72
H11/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
77-62
77
62
+15
82avg 72
A17/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
85-74
85
74
+11
105avg 72
H21/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
L
70-83
70
83
-13
55avg 72
A25/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#12
W
79-70
79
70
+9
78avg 72
H01/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
82-76
82
76
+6
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
93-85 OT
93
85
+8
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
W
68-67
68
67
+1
no box
A15/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-10
26-16
11-23
21-20
23-23
11-22
21-11
18-16
25-19
24-21
24-23
21-18
31-13
20-16
14-14
12-19
24-11
21-21
19-16
21-26
19-27
18-24
23-17
10-15
21-19
27-18
16-13
15-20
22-25
22-22
22-16
16-13
34-23
17-26
16-14
15-19
12-19
24-14
19-13
13-21
154.7Avg total
80.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.873.9154.7+6.990%
Season at home (5)87.675.8163.4+11.8100%
Season away (5)74.072.0146.0+2.080%
Last 10 (10)80.873.9154.7+6.990%
Last 5 (5)78.476.2154.6+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.582.0153.5-10.550%
vs Similar (16)76.678.7155.2-2.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.674.0157.6+9.692%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
PesaroAvellino Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H25/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A01/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#11
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H07/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/11
Serie A2
85.2Avg total
42.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.584.0+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.640.683.2+1.969%-
Last 30 away (14)42.442.484.9+0.043%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.585.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.644.283.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)37.048.085.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (21)42.242.484.6-0.248%-
vs Weaker (8)44.038.182.1+5.988%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#14
W
55-26
55
26
+29
H27/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A04/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H11/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A17/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H21/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A25/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H01/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A08/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H11/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A15/11
Serie A2
83.9Avg total
45.0Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.881.8+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.139.083.1+5.160%-
Last 30 away (15)37.942.580.5-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)45.038.983.9+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.486.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.546.085.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (16)38.142.480.5-4.231%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.137.882.8+7.375%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.5
50.7%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.78.5
41.1%
34.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.114.8
77.5%
71.0%14.8
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.414.4
54.5%
51.2%28.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.8
34.8%
34.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.213.4
77.9%
71.0%13.4
They take 54.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLLLWWWWW
Avellino Basket
WWWWLWWWWW
#12
League position
#2
-1.4
Net rating
+2.9
105.1
Offensive rating
102.4
106.5
Defensive rating
99.5
54.8%
Effective FG%
53.3%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
10.0%
Turnover %
10.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
41.1%
3-point %
34.8%
53.1%
Assist %
66.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 102.4Defence106.5 · 99.5Shooting54.8% · 53.3%3-point %41.1% · 34.8%Ball care10.0% · 10.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Pesaro   ■ Avellino Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
3
Avellino Basket wins
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HVigevano67-78
11/11/26ASassari87-96 OT
07/11/26HMestre73-85
01/11/26AAvellino Basket70-79
25/10/26HBasket Torino71-73
21/10/26HCividale76-68
18/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia86-76
11/10/26HCaserta83-77
04/10/26HJuVi Cremona87-84
27/09/26ACento96-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ASassari68-67
11/11/26HUrania Milano93-85 OT
08/11/26ACaserta82-76
01/11/26HPesaro79-70
25/10/26ABrindisi70-83
21/10/26HMontecatini85-74
17/10/26ACividale77-62
11/10/26HForli94-81
04/10/26ARimini73-72
27/09/26HVigevano87-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game79.676.284.8
Allowed / game79.777.583.0
Point differential-0.1-1.3+1.8
Avg total159.3153.7167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %10%0%25%
Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game80.887.674.0
Allowed / game73.975.872.0
Point differential+6.9+11.8+2.0
Avg total154.7163.4146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno109190%80.968.5+12.4
2 Avellino Basket109190%80.873.9+6.9
3 Fortitudo Bologna108280%80.474.7+5.7
4 Rimini107370%81.272.5+8.7
5 Brindisi107370%78.274.4+3.8
6 Sebastiani Rieti107370%75.173.8+1.3
7 Basket Torino96367%72.972.0+0.9
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli105550%82.078.9+3.1
10 Sassari105550%76.275.6+0.6
11 Mestre105550%76.076.1-0.1
12 Pesaro105550%79.679.7-0.1
13 Cividale105550%72.575.5-3.0
14 Vigevano104640%76.580.3-3.8
15 Caserta93633%79.682.2-2.7
16 JuVi Cremona102820%75.178.6-3.5
17 Ruvo Di Puglia102820%74.080.9-6.9
18 Cento102820%73.482.5-9.1
19 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
20 Montecatini101910%67.181.9-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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