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Pesaro vs Cento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-66
15-15 18-21 23-18 24-12
Position#3
Record11-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game77.6
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#18
Record8-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game79.3
ItalySerie A2Round 17· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pesaro v Cento
14 Dec 2025
PES80
CENT66
17 Nov 2024
PES78
CENT60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
65-86
65
86
-21
60avg 79
A26/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
82-73
82
73
+9
70avg 79
H29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
95-75
95
75
+20
96avg 79
A02/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
60avg 79
H09/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
93-72
93
72
+21
95avg 79
H12/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
93-72
93
72
+21
100avg 79
A15/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
68-79
68
79
-11
59avg 79
H23/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
91-88
91
88
+3
91avg 79
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
81-90
81
90
-9
75avg 79
H30/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
64-68
64
68
-4
52avg 79
A07/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
14-27
18-22
15-16
11-18
23-18
22-10
26-27
22-25
23-19
24-16
26-15
20-15
13-16
20-20
18-18
20-15
26-20
23-19
24-18
19-13
24-16
25-20
25-23
19-23
12-18
20-19
17-19
24-24
23-20
24-17
20-27
17-29
26-22
19-22
19-17
16-16
15-15
15-16
18-21
157.5Avg total
80.3Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.077.6159.6+4.469%
Season at home (8)79.177.0156.1+2.162%
Season away (8)84.978.2163.1+6.675%
Last 10 (10)80.377.2157.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)79.479.4158.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
vs Similar (20)78.880.0158.8-1.245%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)91.280.2171.4+11.089%
This opponent (Cento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
86-95
86
95
-9
78avg 70
A25/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
94-74
94
74
+20
84avg 70
H29/10
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
87-82
87
82
+5
82avg 70
A02/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
84-76
84
76
+8
77avg 70
H08/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
52avg 70
A12/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
80-67
80
67
+13
80avg 70
H16/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
69-90
69
90
-21
57avg 70
A22/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
73-78
73
78
-5
60avg 70
H26/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
80-91
80
91
-11
70avg 70
A30/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
101-90
101
90
+11
95avg 70
H07/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
14-29
19-23
28-30
19-11
26-23
20-22
29-18
18-14
18-33
21-15
30-20
17-17
21-23
22-22
24-14
19-12
21-15
11-20
17-27
15-19
27-27
20-11
18-10
22-27
19-18
12-22
16-23
10-24
20-17
24-13
19-24
17-26
17-24
23-14
23-27
29-18
28-26
24-21
20-25
163.9Avg total
82.2Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.479.3158.8+0.150%
Season at home (8)83.477.2160.6+6.175%
Season away (8)75.581.4156.9-5.925%
Last 10 (10)82.281.7163.9+0.550%
Last 5 (5)80.683.2163.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.877.3153.1-1.642%
vs Similar (16)79.479.1158.6+0.350%
vs Weaker (2)85.075.5160.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
PesaroCento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A26/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A02/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H09/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H12/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H23/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H30/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A07/12
Serie A2
77.5Avg total
38.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.081.6+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.238.379.5+2.846%-
Last 30 away (17)41.941.383.2+0.659%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.077.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.278.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (20)39.940.079.9-0.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.840.184.9+4.778%-
This opponent (Cento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A25/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H29/10
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A02/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H08/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A12/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H16/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A22/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H26/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A30/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H07/12
Serie A2
81.8Avg total
40.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.878.3+0.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.439.279.6+1.236%-
Last 30 away (16)38.738.477.1+0.231%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.681.8-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.286.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.638.278.8+2.342%-
vs Similar (16)38.938.977.9+0.031%-
vs Weaker (2)37.541.078.5-3.50%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.117.2
53.6%
50.8%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.5
35.4%
34.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.113.4
74.0%
74.4%13.4
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.9
49.9%
50.8%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.3
35.2%
34.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.912.5
74.0%
74.4%12.5
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLWLWWWWWL
Cento
WLLLWLWWWL
#3
League position
#18
+4.0
Net rating
+0.7
109.0
Offensive rating
110.1
105.0
Defensive rating
109.4
53.3%
Effective FG%
51.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.3%
Turnover %
13.8%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.4%
3-point %
35.2%
69.0%
Assist %
57.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 110.1Defence105.0 · 109.4Shooting53.3% · 51.1%3-point %35.4% · 35.2%Ball care15.3% · 13.8%Off. rebounds24.0% · 28.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Cento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
0
Cento wins
DateGameScore
19/02/25Cento v Pesaro76-97
17/11/24Pesaro v Cento78-60
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25ABrindisi64-68
30/11/25HBasket Torino81-90
26/11/25AForli91-88
23/11/25HCividale68-79
15/11/25AUrania Milano93-72
12/11/25HAvellino Basket93-72
09/11/25HScafati71-69
02/11/25AJuVi Cremona95-75
29/10/25HPistoia82-73
26/10/25ARimini65-86
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HAvellino Basket101-90
30/11/25APistoia80-91
26/11/25HRimini73-78
22/11/25ABrindisi69-90
16/11/25HFortitudo Bologna80-67
12/11/25ACividale68-74
08/11/25HRuvo Di Puglia84-76
02/11/25AScafati87-82
29/10/25HJuVi Cremona94-74
25/10/25ABlu Basket Bergamo86-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL69%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%62%75%
Points / game82.079.184.9
Allowed / game77.677.078.2
Point differential+4.4+2.1+6.6
Avg total159.6156.1163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%25%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cento
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game79.483.475.5
Allowed / game79.377.281.4
Point differential+0.1+6.1-5.9
Avg total158.8160.6156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi1511473%78.270.7+7.5
2 Pesaro1611569%82.077.6+4.4
3 Cividale1510567%78.275.1+3.1
4 Verona1711665%77.973.9+4.0
5 Libertas Livorno1610662%77.972.4+5.5
6 Fortitudo Bologna1610662%75.572.1+3.4
7 Rimini159660%82.377.6+4.7
8 Sebastiani Rieti159660%80.977.9+3.1
9 Avellino Basket169756%80.477.0+3.4
10 Scafati168850%82.180.1+2.0
11 Cento168850%79.479.3+0.1
12 Basket Torino168850%73.674.1-0.6
13 Blu Basket Bergamo157847%81.581.1+0.4
14 Mestre167944%78.881.1-2.3
15 Pistoia1661038%78.881.9-3.1
16 Forli1661038%75.980.2-4.4
17 JuVi Cremona1661038%73.580.0-6.5
18 Urania Milano1651131%77.384.2-6.9
19 Ruvo Di Puglia1641225%74.685.3-10.7
20 Roseto1631319%80.586.8-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1518232480
Cento1521181266
← all games of the day
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